Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI ACWI ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>On March 2 we discussed how the pullback in global equities was in full swing as Europe/UK indexes displayed 4.5-month uptrend breaks, joining the pullback in the MSCI ACWI.</li>
<li>At the time, we expected this pullback in the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) to move down to $86-87 at minimum, and potentially $84 (December 2022 low) or $75-77 (the 2022 lows).</li>
<li>ACWI-US broke below $86 and is approaching $84. $84 will be an important support level to monitor, but if it breaks, the $75-77 level is still firmly in the cards.</li>
</ul>


On March 2 we discussed how the pullback in global equities was in full swing as Europe/UK indexes displayed 4.5-month uptrend breaks, joining the pullback in the MSCI ACWI.
At the time, we expected this pullback in the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) to move down to $86-87 at minimum, and potentially $84 (December 2022 low) or $75-77 (the 2022 lows).
ACWI-US broke below $86 and is approaching $84. $84 will be an important support level to monitor, but if it breaks, the $75-77 level is still firmly in the cards.


Global Pullback Continues; Focus on Defensives: Buys in Staples, Utilities, Precious Metals Miners

<ul>
<li>In our latest int'l reports we have preached caution, and since January we have discussed our expectations for $93 to cap upside on the ACWI-US</li>
<li>Thus far, $93 has proven to be rock-solid resistance, and ACWI-US now displays a 4.5-month uptrend violation signaling the pullback has officially begun.</li>
<li>We would expect this pullback to continue down to $86-87 at minimum, and potentially $84 (December 2022 low). Even $75-77 (the 2022 lows) is not out of the question.</li>
</ul>


In our latest int'l reports we have preached caution, and since January we have discussed our expectations for $93 to cap upside on the ACWI-US
Thus far, $93 has proven to be rock-solid resistance, and ACWI-US now displays a 4.5-month uptrend violation signaling the pullback has officially begun.
We would expect this pullback to continue down to $86-87 at minimum, and potentially $84 (December 2022 low). Even $75-77 (the 2022 lows) is not out of the question.


MSCI ACWI Uptrend Break; Defensives to Shine; Ideas in Staples, Health Care, Telecomm, Utilities

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

SHEIN Global Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shein-global-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:55372:1" rel="noopener">SHEIN Global Holdings</a>, a global online fashion and lifestyle company, aims to raise up to US$3bn in its Hong Kong listing.</li>
<li>Shein is a global online fashion and lifestyle company serving approximately 273m active customers in approximately 160 markets in 2025.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance and undertaken a peer comparison in our previous notes. In this note, we talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>



SHEIN Global Holdings, a global online fashion and lifestyle company, aims to raise up to US$3bn in its Hong Kong listing.
Shein is a global online fashion and lifestyle company serving approximately 273m active customers in approximately 160 markets in 2025.
We have looked at the company’s past performance and undertaken a peer comparison in our previous notes. In this note, we talk about valuations.


Aequitas: Shein Global Holdings Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shein-global-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:55372:1" rel="noopener">SHEIN Global Holdings (SHEIN HK)</a>, a global online fashion and lifestyle company, aims to raise up to US$3bn in its Hong Kong listing.</li>
<li>Shein is a global online fashion and lifestyle company serving approximately 273m active customers in approximately 160 markets in 2025.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous note. In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison.</li>
</ul>



SHEIN Global Holdings (SHEIN HK), a global online fashion and lifestyle company, aims to raise up to US$3bn in its Hong Kong listing.
Shein is a global online fashion and lifestyle company serving approximately 273m active customers in approximately 160 markets in 2025.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous note. In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison.


Aequitas: Shein Global Holdings Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 195 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 81.4% as of Jul 31st.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 1.9ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, materials, energy and offset by communication services, information technology.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Hua Hong Semi, CMB, Shandong Gold Mining Co Lt-H, Eastroc.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 195 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 81.4% as of Jul 31st.
The average A-H premium changed by 1.9ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, materials, energy and offset by communication services, information technology.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Hua Hong Semi, CMB, Shandong Gold Mining Co Lt-H, Eastroc.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 31st): Hua Hong Semi, CMB, Shandong Gold Mining Co Lt-H, Eastroc

China

Eastroc Beverage (Group) Co.,Ltd. manufactures and distributes drinks. The Company produces functional drinks, citrus lemon tea, citrus drinks, packaged drinking water, and other products. Eastroc Beverage (Group) markets its products throughout China.

Price Gauge
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Eastroc Beverage Group (605499 CH)

Global Pullback Continues; Focus on Defensives: Buys in Staples, Utilities, Precious Metals Miners

Europe/UK STOXX Europe 50/FTSE 100 with concerning breakdowns below 3800 and 7700, joining the pullback that had already started in the MSCI ACWI....

Vermilion Research

MSCI ACWI Uptrend Break; Defensives to Shine; Ideas in Staples, Health Care, Telecomm, Utilities

$93 on $ACWI has proven to be rock-solid resistance, and it now displays a 4.5-month uptrend violation signaling the pullback has officially begun....

Vermilion Research

Aequitas: Shein Global Holdings Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

SHEIN Global Holdings, a global online fashion and lifestyle company, aims to raise up to US$3bn in its Hong Kong listing. In this note, we talk...

Sumeet Singh

Aequitas: Shein Global Holdings Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison

SHEIN Global Holdings (SHEIN HK), a global online fashion and lifestyle company, aims to raise up to US$3bn in its Hong Kong listing. In this note,...

Sumeet Singh

A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 31st): Hua Hong Semi, CMB, Shandong Gold Mining Co Lt-H, Eastroc

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Hua Hong Semi, CMB, Shandong Gold Mining Co Lt-H, Eastroc.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)