Forensic Analyst, Trudence Capital Advisors

Nitin Mangal

Forensic Analyst

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Forensic Accounting

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yatra-online-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40288:1" rel="noopener">Yatra (YATRA IN)</a> had its IPO recently and is the third largest OTA players in India (among key OTA players) in F23. </li>
<li>When it comes to the financials and forensics, there are several red alarms that catch our attention. </li>
<li>These include weak internal controls as highlighted by auditors, poor earnings quality, revenue recognition woes, high litigation liabilities off the books, etc. </li>
</ul>



Yatra (YATRA IN) had its IPO recently and is the third largest OTA players in India (among key OTA players) in F23. 
When it comes to the financials and forensics, there are several red alarms that catch our attention. 
These include weak internal controls as highlighted by auditors, poor earnings quality, revenue recognition woes, high litigation liabilities off the books, etc. 


Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We visited the core of the Hindi Hinterland, the "City of Patna," the capital and largest city of Bihar, the country's third most populous state.</li>
<li>While the trip paints an opportunistic and optimistic picture of Bihar, the situation of unemployment is something that still warrants attention.</li>
<li>Focus companies: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aditya-vision-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40299:1" rel="noopener">Aditya Vision (AVL IN)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eicher-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18316:1" rel="noopener">Eicher Motors (EIM IN)</a>  , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hero-motocorp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2391:1" rel="noopener">Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fino-payments-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35042:1" rel="noopener">Fino Payments Bank Ltd (FINOPB IN)</a>. </li>
</ul>


We visited the core of the Hindi Hinterland, the "City of Patna," the capital and largest city of Bihar, the country's third most populous state.
While the trip paints an opportunistic and optimistic picture of Bihar, the situation of unemployment is something that still warrants attention.
Focus companies: Aditya Vision (AVL IN) , Eicher Motors (EIM IN)  , Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN) and Fino Payments Bank Ltd (FINOPB IN). 


Postcard from Patna | Breaking Sterotypes

<ul>
<li>The Indian Market (~$4 trillion) has now overtaken Hong Kong as the 4th most-valued stock market after the US, China, and Japan. </li>
<li>We recently concluded an exploratory trip to Patna, the capital, and also the largest city of the state of Bihar, Summarized thoughts on companies focused in this insight. </li>
<li>Multiple stocks covered in the Insight. The future of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/easy-trip-planners-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34149:1" rel="noopener">Easy Trip Planners (EASEMYTR IN)</a>, especially if it's banking on franchisee expansion, could go the other way around.</li>
</ul>


The Indian Market (~$4 trillion) has now overtaken Hong Kong as the 4th most-valued stock market after the US, China, and Japan. 
We recently concluded an exploratory trip to Patna, the capital, and also the largest city of the state of Bihar, Summarized thoughts on companies focused in this insight. 
Multiple stocks covered in the Insight. The future of Easy Trip Planners (EASEMYTR IN), especially if it's banking on franchisee expansion, could go the other way around.


[Week 14] Namaste India 🙏 | EASEMYTR IN | Easy Trip's Ghost Franchise?

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ebixcash" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36390:1" rel="noopener">EbixCash (EBIXC IN)</a>, a subsidiary of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ebix-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4022:1" rel="noopener">Ebix Inc (EBIX US)</a> and India’s largest end-to-end financial exchange, is seeking to launch an Rs60 billion (US$730 million) in July. </li>
<li>In <strong><em><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ebixcash-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:108206" rel="noopener">EbixCash IPO: The Bull Case</a></em></strong>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The key elements of the bear case rest on margin pressure due to rising operating costs, a related party being the largest customer, declining revenue visibility and deteriorating cash generation.</li>
</ul>



EbixCash (EBIXC IN), a subsidiary of Ebix Inc (EBIX US) and India’s largest end-to-end financial exchange, is seeking to launch an Rs60 billion (US$730 million) in July. 
In EbixCash IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The key elements of the bear case rest on margin pressure due to rising operating costs, a related party being the largest customer, declining revenue visibility and deteriorating cash generation.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ebixcash" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36390:1" rel="noopener">EbixCash (EBIXC IN)</a>, a subsidiary of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ebix-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4022:1" rel="noopener">Ebix Inc (EBIX US)</a> and India’s largest end-to-end financial exchange, is seeking to launch an Rs60 billion (US$730 million) in July.   </li>
<li>EbixCash’s Forex operations have emerged as a leader in India’s airport Forex business. Also, EbixCash’s inward remittance business in India is the clear market leader.</li>
<li>The key elements of the bull case rest on fast-paced growth, growth runaway from the post-COVID recovery, declining contract assets, improving balance sheet, and declining leverage.</li>
</ul>



EbixCash (EBIXC IN), a subsidiary of Ebix Inc (EBIX US) and India’s largest end-to-end financial exchange, is seeking to launch an Rs60 billion (US$730 million) in July.   
EbixCash’s Forex operations have emerged as a leader in India’s airport Forex business. Also, EbixCash’s inward remittance business in India is the clear market leader.
The key elements of the bull case rest on fast-paced growth, growth runaway from the post-COVID recovery, declining contract assets, improving balance sheet, and declining leverage.


India

Easy Trip Planners Ltd. (EaseMyTrip) is an Indian online travel company that provides a comprehensive range of travel-related products and services. These include airline tickets, hotel reservations, holiday packages, train and bus bookings, and ancillary services like travel insurance. The company operates through B2C, B2B2C, and B2E channels, offering a 'no-convenience-fee' strategy for customers. Headquartered in New Delhi, India, the company was founded in 2008.

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Easy Trip Planners (EASEMYTR IN)

Yatra Online Ltd- Forensic Analysis

Yatra's recent IPO reveals concerning financials and red flags including weak internal controls, poor earnings quality, revenue recognition...

Nitin Mangal

Postcard from Patna | Breaking Sterotypes

Visited Patna, the capital of Bihar, showcasing its potential but highlighting the issue of unemployment. Focus companies: Aditya Vision, Eicher...

Pranav Bhavsar

[Week 14] Namaste India 🙏 | EASEMYTR IN | Easy Trip's Ghost Franchise?

Indian stock market surpasses Hong Kong to become the 4th most valuable market. Insight on Easy Trip Planners suggests franchisee expansion may...

Pranav Bhavsar

EbixCash IPO: The Bear Case

The key elements of the bear case rest on margin pressure due to rising operating costs, a related party being the largest customer, declining...

Arun George

EbixCash IPO: The Bull Case

The key elements of the bull case rest on fast-paced growth, growth runaway from the post-COVID recovery, declining contract assets, improving...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Yatra Online Ltd- Forensic Analysis

​Yatra's recent IPO reveals concerning financials and red flags including weak internal controls, poor earnings quality, revenue recognition...

Nitin Mangal

Postcard from Patna | Breaking Sterotypes

​Visited Patna, the capital of Bihar, showcasing its potential but highlighting the issue of unemployment. Focus companies: Aditya Vision, Eicher...

Pranav Bhavsar

[Week 14] Namaste India 🙏 | EASEMYTR IN | Easy Trip's Ghost Franchise?

​Indian stock market surpasses Hong Kong to become the 4th most valuable market. Insight on Easy Trip Planners suggests franchisee expansion may...

Pranav Bhavsar

EbixCash IPO: The Bear Case

The key elements of the bear case rest on margin pressure due to rising operating costs, a related party being the largest customer, declining...

Arun George

EbixCash IPO: The Bull Case

The key elements of the bull case rest on fast-paced growth, growth runaway from the post-COVID recovery, declining contract assets, improving...

Arun George

Yatra's recent IPO reveals concerning financials and red flags including weak internal controls, poor earnings quality, revenue recognition...

Visited Patna, the capital of Bihar, showcasing its potential but highlighting the issue of unemployment. Focus companies: Aditya Vision, Eicher...

Indian stock market surpasses Hong Kong to become the 4th most valuable market. Insight on Easy Trip Planners suggests franchisee expansion may...