Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we make comparisons between EcoPro Materials (450080 KS) and HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS) post their IPOs</li>
<li>Ecopro Materials' share price is likely to face continued weakness, especially with the potential for a major block deal sale by BRV Capital and end of the lock up period.</li>
<li>We believe that HD Hyundai Marine Solution's share price has surged above its intrinsic value. More insiders are likely to start selling HD Hyundai Marine Solution in the coming months.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we make comparisons between EcoPro Materials (450080 KS) and HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS) post their IPOs
Ecopro Materials' share price is likely to face continued weakness, especially with the potential for a major block deal sale by BRV Capital and end of the lock up period.
We believe that HD Hyundai Marine Solution's share price has surged above its intrinsic value. More insiders are likely to start selling HD Hyundai Marine Solution in the coming months.


A Comparison Between Ecopro Materials & HD Hyundai Marine Solution Post IPO

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

HD Hyundai Marine Solution  / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>After a 96.5% gain on listing day, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hd-hyundai-marine-solution-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41002:1" rel="noopener">HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS)</a> is very close to levels needed for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> inclusion in June.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hd-hyundai-marine-solution-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41002:1" rel="noopener">HD Hyundai Marine Solution</a> needs to outperform the 50th ranked stock in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI2 INDEX</a> by 11.4% on average over the next 15 trading days to be added to the index.</li>
<li>Retail investors sold 25% of their allocation on listing day while foreign investors sold 22% of their IPO allocation with local institutions mopping up the shares.</li>
</ul>


After a 96.5% gain on listing day, HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS) is very close to levels needed for Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) inclusion in June.

HD Hyundai Marine Solution needs to outperform the 50th ranked stock in the KOSPI2 INDEX by 11.4% on average over the next 15 trading days to be added to the index.
Retail investors sold 25% of their allocation on listing day while foreign investors sold 22% of their IPO allocation with local institutions mopping up the shares.


HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS): Nearing KOSPI200 Index Inclusion in June

<ul>
<li>We discuss the end of the mandatory lock-up periods for 54 stocks in Korea in May 2024, among which 4 are in KOSPI and 50 are in KOSDAQ.</li>
<li>These 54 stocks on average could be subject to further selling pressures in May and could underperform relative to the market.</li>
<li>The top three market cap stocks including those of which at least 1% of outstanding shares could be sold in May include EcoPro Materials, Enchem, and Gaonchips. </li>
</ul>


We discuss the end of the mandatory lock-up periods for 54 stocks in Korea in May 2024, among which 4 are in KOSPI and 50 are in KOSDAQ.
These 54 stocks on average could be subject to further selling pressures in May and could underperform relative to the market.
The top three market cap stocks including those of which at least 1% of outstanding shares could be sold in May include EcoPro Materials, Enchem, and Gaonchips. 


End of Mandatory Lock-Up Periods for 54 Companies in Korea in May 2024

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>May 17th, all eyes on EcoPro Materials for a buzzed-about lockup release. BRV Capital holds 24.5% stake, 17M shares. Lockup ends May 16th; they're free to sell off without constraints.</li>
<li>Apparently, they're eager to cash out, with a profit margin around 30 times and 7 years invested. Many at Yeouido bet they'll sell out once the lockup's over.</li>
<li>We might start building a shorting position with futures targeting this lockup release from April 22nd. This could stir up some weird backwardation, which could give us another trading opportunity.</li>
</ul>


May 17th, all eyes on EcoPro Materials for a buzzed-about lockup release. BRV Capital holds 24.5% stake, 17M shares. Lockup ends May 16th; they're free to sell off without constraints.
Apparently, they're eager to cash out, with a profit margin around 30 times and 7 years invested. Many at Yeouido bet they'll sell out once the lockup's over.
We might start building a shorting position with futures targeting this lockup release from April 22nd. This could stir up some weird backwardation, which could give us another trading opportunity.


May Lockup Release & April SSF Listing May Lead to Weird Trading Dynamics for Ecopro Materials

Equity Capital Markets

HD Hyundai Marine Solution  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we review the share price performances of the top 13 IPOs (in terms of market cap) in Korea in the past 8 months. </li>
<li>We review the the share price performances over different time periods (1 day, 1 week,  and 1 month). We also analyze the demand ratios and lock-up periods of the IPOs. </li>
<li>On average, 12.7% of the IPO shares are under lockup periods for the 13 companies listed below. HD Hyundai Marine Solution IPO has 45.8% of shares under lock-up.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we review the share price performances of the top 13 IPOs (in terms of market cap) in Korea in the past 8 months. 
We review the the share price performances over different time periods (1 day, 1 week,  and 1 month). We also analyze the demand ratios and lock-up periods of the IPOs. 
On average, 12.7% of the IPO shares are under lockup periods for the 13 companies listed below. HD Hyundai Marine Solution IPO has 45.8% of shares under lock-up.


A Review of Post IPO Price Performance of Top 13 IPOs in Korea Past 8 Months

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EcoPro Materials (450080 KS)

A Comparison Between Ecopro Materials & HD Hyundai Marine Solution Post IPO

In this insight, we make comparisons between EcoPro Materials (450080 KS) and HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS) post their IPOs

Douglas Kim

HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS): Nearing KOSPI200 Index Inclusion in June

A 96.5% rally on listing day as retail and foreign investors sold and domestic instis bought. The stock is now ~11% away from KOSPI200 inclusion in...

Brian Freitas

End of Mandatory Lock-Up Periods for 54 Companies in Korea in May 2024

We discuss the end of the mandatory lock-up periods for 54 stocks in Korea in May 2024, among which 4 are in KOSPI and 50 are in KOSDAQ.

Douglas Kim

May Lockup Release & April SSF Listing May Lead to Weird Trading Dynamics for Ecopro Materials

Ecopro Materials' lockup release, scheduled for May 17, heralds a notable surge in its float rate. Projections indicate a leap from 17% to 51% at...

Sanghyun Park

A Review of Post IPO Price Performance of Top 13 IPOs in Korea Past 8 Months

In this insight, we review the share price performances of the top 13 IPOs (in terms of market cap) in Korea in the past 8 months. We also analyze...

Douglas Kim

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)