Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Following their inclusion in the F&amp;O segment in November, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOMATO IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jio-financial-services-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40042:1" rel="noopener">Jio Financial Services (JIOFIN IN)</a> appear to be sure-shot inclusions to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a> in March.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-petroleum-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10222:1" rel="noopener">Bharat Petroleum Corp (BPCL IN)</a> is a certain deletion from the index. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/britannia-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16495:1" rel="noopener">Britannia Industries</a>' average free-float market cap is less than 0.004% below <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hero-motocorp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2391:1" rel="noopener">Hero Motocorp</a>'s. It's very close.</li>
<li>Passive trackers need to trade between 3.7-11.8 days of ADV on the stocks. The impact increases significantly to between 8.4-21.8 days of delivery volume to trade on the stocks.</li>
</ul>


Following their inclusion in the F&amp;O segment in November, Zomato (ZOMATO IN) and Jio Financial Services (JIOFIN IN) appear to be sure-shot inclusions to the NIFTY Index in March.

Bharat Petroleum Corp (BPCL IN) is a certain deletion from the index. Britannia Industries' average free-float market cap is less than 0.004% below Hero Motocorp's. It's very close.
Passive trackers need to trade between 3.7-11.8 days of ADV on the stocks. The impact increases significantly to between 8.4-21.8 days of delivery volume to trade on the stocks.


NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview: Adds Secure; Tight Among the Deletes

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Domestic PV industry sales grew by 2-4% YoY (20-24% MoM), largely due to strong domestic volumes from Maruti, Toyota, M&amp;M, Kia and MG.</li><li>The domestic CV industry sales grew by 3%/5% YoY/MoM. The 3W domestic wholesales 5%/10% YoY/QoQ respectively.</li><li>The domestic tractor industry (proxy) witnessed 6% YoY volume growth, which was positively skewed mainly due to 15% YoY growth in M&amp;M. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Domestic PV industry sales grew by 2-4% YoY (20-24% MoM), largely due to strong domestic volumes from Maruti, Toyota, M&amp;M, Kia and MG.The domestic CV industry sales grew by 3%/5% YoY/MoM. The 3W domestic wholesales 5%/10% YoY/QoQ respectively.The domestic tractor industry (proxy) witnessed 6% YoY volume growth, which was positively skewed mainly due to 15% YoY growth in M&amp;M. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Maruti Suzuki: The focus at the expo was solely on the e-Vitara, with multiple e-Vitara models on display</li><li>No new hybrid models were unveiled</li><li>We believe the company’s intention for the expo was to spotlight the EV, although hybrids remain an integral part of their core strategy</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maruti Suzuki: The focus at the expo was solely on the e-Vitara, with multiple e-Vitara models on displayNo new hybrid models were unveiledWe believe the company’s intention for the expo was to spotlight the EV, although hybrids remain an integral part of their core strategyContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Autos: Bharat Mobility Expo 2025 - Key Takeways

Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Sree Capital

Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Fundamental Research on Listed Indian Companies

Sree Capital

Sree Capital is a platform to share fundamental research on listed Indian companies. We do this research for our own investment

<ul>
<li>The 9M FY2025 sales volume of commercial vehicle(CV) companies have been soft due to the elections, uneven monsoon and slow capital expenditure.</li>
<li>In December2024, sales showed varied performance across major players. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:216:1" rel="noopener">Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN)</a> saw slight YoY decline,while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ashok-leyland-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20104:1" rel="noopener">Ashok Leyland (AL IN)</a> &amp;<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eicher-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18316:1" rel="noopener">Eicher Motors (EIM IN)</a> experienced growth in exports.</li>
<li>A recovery in sales is expected in Q4 FY2025 due to improved freight movement, resumption of construction and mining activities, and renewed government spending on infrastructural projects.</li>
</ul>


The 9M FY2025 sales volume of commercial vehicle(CV) companies have been soft due to the elections, uneven monsoon and slow capital expenditure.
In December2024, sales showed varied performance across major players. Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN) saw slight YoY decline,while Ashok Leyland (AL IN) &amp;Eicher Motors (EIM IN) experienced growth in exports.
A recovery in sales is expected in Q4 FY2025 due to improved freight movement, resumption of construction and mining activities, and renewed government spending on infrastructural projects.


Monthly Sales Overview of Listed Indian Commercial Vehicle Companies

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The lock-up on the second half of the anchor investor allocation for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40900:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor India (HYUNDAI IN)</a> ends after market close today and the shares will be available for sale tomorrow.</li>
<li>The lock-up expiry further increases free float for the stock and there will be multiple index inclusions over the next few months.</li>
<li>The largest index inclusion will be in February, followed by smaller inclusions in March and June. In total, passives will mop up around 16% of the float.</li>
</ul>


The lock-up on the second half of the anchor investor allocation for Hyundai Motor India (HYUNDAI IN) ends after market close today and the shares will be available for sale tomorrow.
The lock-up expiry further increases free float for the stock and there will be multiple index inclusions over the next few months.
The largest index inclusion will be in February, followed by smaller inclusions in March and June. In total, passives will mop up around 16% of the float.


Hyundai Motor (HYUNDAI IN): Anchor Lock-Up Expiry Increases Float; Index Inclusions Near

India

Eicher Motors Ltd. manufactures light commercial vehicles which are sold domestically and are also exported to other countries. Eicher Motors also manufactures two-wheelers and automotive gears.

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Eicher Motors (EIM IN)

NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview: Adds Secure; Tight Among the Deletes

Zomato and JioFin should replace BPCL and Britannia in March. Hero Motors just avoids deletion for now. Passives need to trade 3.7-11.8x ADV (8.4...

Brian Freitas

Auto Monthly Sales Volume - January 2025

Domestic PV industry sales grew by 2-4% YoY (20-24% MoM), largely due to strong domestic volumes from Maruti, Toyota, M&M, Kia and MG.

Axis Direct

Autos: Bharat Mobility Expo 2025 - Key Takeways

Maruti Suzuki: The focus at the expo was solely on the e-Vitara, with multiple e-Vitara models on display. No new hybrid models were unveiled

HDFC Securities

Monthly Sales Overview of Listed Indian Commercial Vehicle Companies

Commercial vehicle sales in FY2025 have been impacted by elections, monsoons, and slow capex, but a Q4 recovery is expected with improved freight...

Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

Hyundai Motor (HYUNDAI IN): Anchor Lock-Up Expiry Increases Float; Index Inclusions Near

Hyundai Motor India has a lock-up expiry tomorrow - that is unlikely to lead to big selling but will increase free float. There will be multiple...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview: Adds Secure; Tight Among the Deletes

Zomato and JioFin should replace BPCL and Britannia in March. Hero Motors just avoids deletion for now. Passives need to trade 3.7-11.8x ADV (8.4...

Brian Freitas

Auto Monthly Sales Volume - January 2025

Domestic PV industry sales grew by 2-4% YoY (20-24% MoM), largely due to strong domestic volumes from Maruti, Toyota, M&M, Kia and MG.

Axis Direct

Autos: Bharat Mobility Expo 2025 - Key Takeways

Maruti Suzuki: The focus at the expo was solely on the e-Vitara, with multiple e-Vitara models on display. No new hybrid models were unveiled

HDFC Securities

Monthly Sales Overview of Listed Indian Commercial Vehicle Companies

​Commercial vehicle sales in FY2025 have been impacted by elections, monsoons, and slow capex, but a Q4 recovery is expected with improved freight...

Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

Hyundai Motor (HYUNDAI IN): Anchor Lock-Up Expiry Increases Float; Index Inclusions Near

Hyundai Motor India has a lock-up expiry tomorrow - that is unlikely to lead to big selling but will increase free float. There will be multiple...

Brian Freitas

Commercial vehicle sales in FY2025 have been impacted by elections, monsoons, and slow capex, but a Q4 recovery is expected with improved freight...