Asia and Global Semiconductor and Tech Research

Andrew Lu

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p><em>Starting July 14, 2016, TSMC will first report 2Q16 results and provide 3Q16 guidance to kick off semi/tech earnings season. Our report takeaways suggest strengths in foundry, fabless, and display vendors to drive Taiwan semi sales recovery of 17% y/y in June and 8 out 12 vendors reported a beat on 2Q16 sales guidance. Despite the strengths, we saw weaknesses in power amplifier, touch panel, and solar vendors and our semi leading indicator fell to 8% in June 2016 from this year peak of 31% in</em>…</p>

Starting July 14, 2016, TSMC will first report 2Q16 results and provide 3Q16 guidance to kick off semi/tech earnings season. Our report takeaways suggest strengths in foundry, fabless, and display vendors to drive Taiwan semi sales recovery of 17% y/y in June and 8 out 12 vendors reported a beat on 2Q16 sales guidance. Despite the strengths, we saw weaknesses in power amplifier, touch panel, and solar vendors and our semi leading indicator fell to 8% in June 2016 from this year peak of 31% in…

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Mar 13th. The aggregated short interest was USD30.9bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in MediaTek, CTBC Financial, TSMC, Lite-On Technology, King Yuan Electronics.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Mar 13th. The aggregated short interest was USD30.9bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in MediaTek, CTBC Financial, TSMC, Lite-On Technology, King Yuan Electronics.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Mar 13th): MediaTek, CTBC Financial, TSMC, Lite-On Technology

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (TSM US)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>TSMC Sets Sights on 3-10% Price Rises for Advanced Nodes</li>
<li>MediaTek’s Leap Into the 2nm Era -- Leading Edge Node Signals Market Leadership Ambitions</li>
<li>Mediatek 3Q25: Good News (ASIC Revenue) But Weak Margins Getting Weaker. Stock Not Attractive. </li>
</ul>


TSMC Sets Sights on 3-10% Price Rises for Advanced Nodes
MediaTek’s Leap Into the 2nm Era -- Leading Edge Node Signals Market Leadership Ambitions
Mediatek 3Q25: Good News (ASIC Revenue) But Weak Margins Getting Weaker. Stock Not Attractive. 


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Mediatek's Power Move for 2nm Chips; Yet More TSMC Pricing Power

<ul>
<li>U.S. 2nm Production May Begin Sooner Than Expected — Is TSMC Responding to Unprecedented N2 Demand?</li>
<li>Hyperscalers 2Q25: Revenue Growth Accelerates, Cloud Revenues Accelerate, Capex Higher </li>
<li>TechChain Insights: Taiwan’s Battery Cell Moment? USA &amp; EU Supply Chain Under Strategic Pressure </li>
</ul>


U.S. 2nm Production May Begin Sooner Than Expected — Is TSMC Responding to Unprecedented N2 Demand?
Hyperscalers 2Q25: Revenue Growth Accelerates, Cloud Revenues Accelerate, Capex Higher 
TechChain Insights: Taiwan’s Battery Cell Moment? USA &amp; EU Supply Chain Under Strategic Pressure 


Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC’s Arizona Surprise - 2nm by 2026?; Signs of Hyperscaler Growth Acceleration

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 16 adds and 6 deletes for the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index in June. The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF has an AUM of US$12.4bn.</li>
<li>The ETF has started trading the stocks and are expected to continue trading for the next 7 trading days. In reality, the process could drag on for some stocks.</li>
<li>The index committee appears to have a little discretion in choosing the inclusions with one expected add not being added and one lower ranked stock being added to the index.</li>
</ul>


There are 16 adds and 6 deletes for the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index in June. The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF has an AUM of US$12.4bn.
The ETF has started trading the stocks and are expected to continue trading for the next 7 trading days. In reality, the process could drag on for some stocks.
The index committee appears to have a little discretion in choosing the inclusions with one expected add not being added and one lower ranked stock being added to the index.


TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index Rebalance: 22 Changes as Expected

Taiwan

Elan Microelectronics Corp. designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs).  The Company's product lines include telecom line, consumer electronic line, microcontroller line, personal computer (PC) peripheral line, and memory line.

Price Gauge
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Elan Microelectronics (2458 TT)

Points from Taiwan Semi/Tech 2Q Sales

Starting July 14, 2016, TSMC will first report 2Q16 results and provide 3Q16 guidance to kick off semi/tech earnings season. Our report takeaways...

Andrew Lu

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Mar 13th): MediaTek, CTBC Financial, TSMC, Lite-On Technology

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in MediaTek, CTBC Financial, TSMC, Lite-On...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Mediatek's Power Move for 2nm Chips; Yet More TSMC Pricing Power

TSMC plans price increases for advanced nodes, while MediaTek aims for market leadership with leap to 2nm era but faces weak margins in 3Q25.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC’s Arizona Surprise - 2nm by 2026?; Signs of Hyperscaler Growth Acceleration

TSMC may start producing 2nm chips in the U.S. sooner due to high demand, hyperscalers see revenue growth and increased capex, Taiwan's battery...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index Rebalance: 22 Changes as Expected

A change in index methodology leads to 16 adds and 6 deletes in June. The ETF has started trading the stocks and will continue to trade for the...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Points from Taiwan Semi/Tech 2Q Sales

Starting July 14, 2016, TSMC will first report 2Q16 results and provide 3Q16 guidance to kick off semi/tech earnings season. Our report takeaways...

Andrew Lu

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Mar 13th): MediaTek, CTBC Financial, TSMC, Lite-On Technology

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in MediaTek, CTBC Financial, TSMC, Lite-On...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Mediatek's Power Move for 2nm Chips; Yet More TSMC Pricing Power

​TSMC plans price increases for advanced nodes, while MediaTek aims for market leadership with leap to 2nm era but faces weak margins in 3Q25.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC’s Arizona Surprise - 2nm by 2026?; Signs of Hyperscaler Growth Acceleration

​TSMC may start producing 2nm chips in the U.S. sooner due to high demand, hyperscalers see revenue growth and increased capex, Taiwan's battery...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index Rebalance: 22 Changes as Expected

A change in index methodology leads to 16 adds and 6 deletes in June. The ETF has started trading the stocks and will continue to trade for the...

Brian Freitas

TSMC plans price increases for advanced nodes, while MediaTek aims for market leadership with leap to 2nm era but faces weak margins in 3Q25.

TSMC may start producing 2nm chips in the U.S. sooner due to high demand, hyperscalers see revenue growth and increased capex, Taiwan's battery...