Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Elastic NV managed to deliver an all-around beat in the last result as it continues making progress across innovation.</li><li>The company has recently announced innovations over the Elastic Search platform, the prominent data analytics platform for search-powered solutions for transforming the way organizations observe, search, and protect their data.</li><li>This quarter, Elastic expanded business with RDD, the leading supply chain, print, packaging, and marketing solutions provider.</li></ul>

Elastic NV managed to deliver an all-around beat in the last result as it continues making progress across innovation.The company has recently announced innovations over the Elastic Search platform, the prominent data analytics platform for search-powered solutions for transforming the way organizations observe, search, and protect their data.This quarter, Elastic expanded business with RDD, the leading supply chain, print, packaging, and marketing solutions provider.

Elastic NV: Improvements To The Elastic Search Platform & Other Drivers

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst, Obex Capital Research

Aaron Gabin

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research

Obex Capital Research

“Obex” is Latin for Barriers to Entry. Obex Capital Management’s investment philosophy is driven by an intense focus on which business model’s Barriers to Entry are able to withstand the ever increasing competitive disruption in the TMT and Consumer Sectors.

<ul>
<li>Snowflake guided below consensus for 4Q2023 revenue growth on a mix of macro conservatism and a quirky point that more vacation travel will reduce the amount of workloads run.</li>
<li>Margins continue to beat to the upside and management is guiding FY2024 FCF marginst to 23%, just 2pts below the LT guidance.</li>
<li>Very conservative management team also guided for a stabilization in revenue growth for FY2024 at 47%, a bit below consensus, but better than feared given the earnings reports recently.</li>
</ul>


Snowflake guided below consensus for 4Q2023 revenue growth on a mix of macro conservatism and a quirky point that more vacation travel will reduce the amount of workloads run.
Margins continue to beat to the upside and management is guiding FY2024 FCF marginst to 23%, just 2pts below the LT guidance.
Very conservative management team also guided for a stabilization in revenue growth for FY2024 at 47%, a bit below consensus, but better than feared given the earnings reports recently.


Snowflake FY3Q23 Earnings: Stabilizing Growth in FY2024

<ul>
<li>ServiceNow acquired Era Software this week to extend its presence in the observability and log management space.</li>
<li>The deal is most threatening to DT/ESTC (we advocate as longs) and SPLK (short) because of ServiceNow's ability to bundle functionality for larger deals.</li>
<li>That said...the observability space remains one of the hottest in digital transformations, and the deal is on net, more validating than threatening to DT/ESTC.</li>
</ul>


ServiceNow acquired Era Software this week to extend its presence in the observability and log management space.
The deal is most threatening to DT/ESTC (we advocate as longs) and SPLK (short) because of ServiceNow's ability to bundle functionality for larger deals.
That said...the observability space remains one of the hottest in digital transformations, and the deal is on net, more validating than threatening to DT/ESTC.


Observability: ServiceNow Acquisition Threatens Dynatrace and Elastic

<ul>
<li>Crowdstrike continues to gobble up share, printing another strong beat and raise, with ARR now at $2B, the second fastest software company to hit that mark.</li>
<li>EBIT margins up 800bps YoY, TTM FCF Margins 30%...profitable growth at Scale.</li>
<li>13x forward P/S for a unique software asset with long runways for 40%+ growth and multi-module driven margin expansion with a 15% pullback in the past week despite earnings.</li>
</ul>


Crowdstrike continues to gobble up share, printing another strong beat and raise, with ARR now at $2B, the second fastest software company to hit that mark.
EBIT margins up 800bps YoY, TTM FCF Margins 30%...profitable growth at Scale.
13x forward P/S for a unique software asset with long runways for 40%+ growth and multi-module driven margin expansion with a 15% pullback in the past week despite earnings.


Crowdstrike FY2Q23: FY2Q23: Not Just Endpoint, Identity and SIEM Accelerating Too

<ul>
<li>Like PANW and SNOW, Elastic continues to power through macro headwinds seen by many other software companies.</li>
<li>Elastic has a Crowdstrike like dynamic, where it is capturing new workloads from incumbents, in the cloud. In this case, Symantec's share donator role is being played by Splunk.</li>
<li>In this tough volatile environment, we like an observability pair trade of Long ESTC / Short SPLK.</li>
</ul>


Like PANW and SNOW, Elastic continues to power through macro headwinds seen by many other software companies.
Elastic has a Crowdstrike like dynamic, where it is capturing new workloads from incumbents, in the cloud. In this case, Symantec's share donator role is being played by Splunk.
In this tough volatile environment, we like an observability pair trade of Long ESTC / Short SPLK.


Observability Pair Trade: Long Elastic / Short Splunk

United States

Elastic N.V. provides information technology and data analysis services. The Company offers monitoring, security analysis, enterprise search, cloud computing, and open source application performance monitoring solutions. Elastic serves customers in the United States.

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Elastic NV (ESTC US)

Elastic NV: Improvements To The Elastic Search Platform & Other Drivers

Elastic NV managed to deliver an all-around beat in the last result as it continues making progress across innovation. The company has recently...

Baptista Research

Snowflake FY3Q23 Earnings: Stabilizing Growth in FY2024

Snowflake produced another impressive quarter and a guidance that was better than feared given the macro concerns other high growth SW companies...

Aaron Gabin

Observability: ServiceNow Acquisition Threatens Dynatrace and Elastic

The log management observability TAM has shown itself to be largely recession resistant based on the last two quarter's results for DT/DDOG...

Aaron Gabin

Crowdstrike FY2Q23: FY2Q23: Not Just Endpoint, Identity and SIEM Accelerating Too

Crowdstrike’s stock has pulled back in the past week or so by 15%, despite another superb quarter. 13x forward forward P/S sounds reasonable given...

Aaron Gabin

Observability Pair Trade: Long Elastic / Short Splunk

Elastic is another rare software company that has powered through tough macro this quarter. In this tough volatile environment, we like an...

Aaron Gabin

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