Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We had been near-term bullish on the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) since our 4/22/25 Compass, however, we are officially downgrading our near-term outlook to neutral</li>
<li>The SPX, Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM) are breaking below their 50-day MAs and are also violating their multi-month uptrends, signaling a consolidation period is here</li>
<li>Still, our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish (as of 5/14/25 report), and we'll maintain our bullish intermediate-term view as long as market dynamics remain constructive and the SPX is above 6200</li>
</ul>


We had been near-term bullish on the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) since our 4/22/25 Compass, however, we are officially downgrading our near-term outlook to neutral
The SPX, Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM) are breaking below their 50-day MAs and are also violating their multi-month uptrends, signaling a consolidation period is here
Still, our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish (as of 5/14/25 report), and we'll maintain our bullish intermediate-term view as long as market dynamics remain constructive and the SPX is above 6200


Coasting as We Stalk for Buying Opportunity; Downgrading Discretionary to Underweight

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Leads Biolabs initiated Phase 2 clinical study evaluating LBL-024 for the first-line treatment of HCC. Henlius Biotech got FDA approval for Poherdy, as the first interchangeable biosimilar to Roche’s Perjeta.</li>
<li>Otsuka announced positive Phase 3 interim analysis of sibeprenlimab for immunoglobulin A nephropathy. ABL Bio signed technology transfer and joint R&amp;D agreement with Eli Lilly for upfront payment of $40M.</li>
<li>Boryung Pharmaceutical began construction to double its oral penicillin production capacity. Eubiologics published positive result from Phase 3 clinical trial evaluating EuTYPH-C, a typhoid conjugate vaccine.</li>
</ul>


Leads Biolabs initiated Phase 2 clinical study evaluating LBL-024 for the first-line treatment of HCC. Henlius Biotech got FDA approval for Poherdy, as the first interchangeable biosimilar to Roche’s Perjeta.
Otsuka announced positive Phase 3 interim analysis of sibeprenlimab for immunoglobulin A nephropathy. ABL Bio signed technology transfer and joint R&amp;D agreement with Eli Lilly for upfront payment of $40M.
Boryung Pharmaceutical began construction to double its oral penicillin production capacity. Eubiologics published positive result from Phase 3 clinical trial evaluating EuTYPH-C, a typhoid conjugate vaccine.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (November 16) – Leads Bio, Henlius Bio, Otsuka, ABL Bio, Boryung, Eubiologics

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>On 14 November, ABLBio (298380 KS) announced that it has signed an equity investment agreement with Eli Lilly &amp; Co (LLY US) worth 22 billion won (US$15 million).</li>
<li>ABL Bio will issue 175,079 new shares at 125,900 won per share (27% lower than current price). Despite the high valuation multiples, we maintain a Positive view on ABL Bio.</li>
<li>Its recent major technology agreement with Eli Lilly serves as strong validation from a leading global pharmaceutical company, confirming the significant market potential of ABL’s unique platform technology.</li>
</ul>


On 14 November, ABLBio (298380 KS) announced that it has signed an equity investment agreement with Eli Lilly &amp; Co (LLY US) worth 22 billion won (US$15 million).
ABL Bio will issue 175,079 new shares at 125,900 won per share (27% lower than current price). Despite the high valuation multiples, we maintain a Positive view on ABL Bio.
Its recent major technology agreement with Eli Lilly serves as strong validation from a leading global pharmaceutical company, confirming the significant market potential of ABL’s unique platform technology.


ABL Bio: Equity Investment of 22 Billion Won from Eli Lilly

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cipla-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3918:1" rel="noopener">Cipla Ltd (CIPLA IN)</a> signed an exclusive distribution and promotion agreement with Eli Lilly on 23 October 2025 to market tirzepatide under the brand name Yurpeak in India.</li>
<li>The deal positions Cipla as a first mover in India’s nascent GLP-1 obesity care segment, projected to grow 40x by 2030.</li>
<li>Financially modest but strategically transformative, the deal anchors Cipla’s entry into obesity therapeutics and sets the stage for a broader GLP-1 platform spanning branded and generic drugs.</li>
</ul>



Cipla Ltd (CIPLA IN) signed an exclusive distribution and promotion agreement with Eli Lilly on 23 October 2025 to market tirzepatide under the brand name Yurpeak in India.
The deal positions Cipla as a first mover in India’s nascent GLP-1 obesity care segment, projected to grow 40x by 2030.
Financially modest but strategically transformative, the deal anchors Cipla’s entry into obesity therapeutics and sets the stage for a broader GLP-1 platform spanning branded and generic drugs.


Cipla-Eli Lilly Deal: Strategic Masterstroke or Margin Mirage?

<ul>
<li>Innovent Biologics announced strategic global collaboration with Takeda for total deal value of $11.4B. Akeso announced that phase 3 trial evaluating ivonescimab versus tislelizumab in sq-NSCLC met primary endpoint.</li>
<li>Celltrion received FDA approval for two additional pediatric indications for Humira biosimilar, Yuflyma. Classys plans to acquire 77.5% stake in JL Health, South American energy-based aesthetic medical device distribution group. </li>
<li>Syngene plans to add a bioconjugation suite at its commercial biologics facility. Cipla and Eli Lilly agreed to distribute and promote tirzepatide in India under a second brand name, Yurpeak.</li>
</ul>


Innovent Biologics announced strategic global collaboration with Takeda for total deal value of $11.4B. Akeso announced that phase 3 trial evaluating ivonescimab versus tislelizumab in sq-NSCLC met primary endpoint.
Celltrion received FDA approval for two additional pediatric indications for Humira biosimilar, Yuflyma. Classys plans to acquire 77.5% stake in JL Health, South American energy-based aesthetic medical device distribution group. 
Syngene plans to add a bioconjugation suite at its commercial biologics facility. Cipla and Eli Lilly agreed to distribute and promote tirzepatide in India under a second brand name, Yurpeak.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (October 26) – Innovent, Akeso, Celltrion, Classys, Daiichi, Syngene, Cipla

United States

Eli Lilly and Company discovers, develops, manufactures, and sells pharmaceutical products for humans and animals. The Company products are sold in countries around the world. Eli Lilly products include neuroscience, endocrine, anti-infectives, cardiovascular agents, oncology, and animal health products.

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Eli Lilly & (LLY UN)

Coasting as We Stalk for Buying Opportunity; Downgrading Discretionary to Underweight

Coasting as We Stalk for Buying Opportunity; Downgrading Near-Term Outlook to Neutral, But Still Bullish Intermediate-Term $SPX $QQQ; Downgrading...

Vermilion Research

APAC Healthcare Weekly (November 16) – Leads Bio, Henlius Bio, Otsuka, ABL Bio, Boryung, Eubiologics

Henlius got FDA approval for Perjeta biosimilar. Otsuka reports positive Phase 3 trial result for sibepernlimab. ABL Bio signed deal with Lilly....

Tina Banerjee

ABL Bio: Equity Investment of 22 Billion Won from Eli Lilly

On 14 November, ABLBio (298380 KS) announced that it has signed an equity investment agreement with Eli Lilly & Co (LLY US) worth 22 billion won...

Douglas Kim

Cipla-Eli Lilly Deal: Strategic Masterstroke or Margin Mirage?

Cipla Ltd partners with Eli Lilly to launch tirzepatide in India as part of strategic move into obesity therapeutics and GLP-1 platform.

Nimish Maheshwari

APAC Healthcare Weekly (October 26) – Innovent, Akeso, Celltrion, Classys, Daiichi, Syngene, Cipla

Innovent Biologics announced collaboration with Takeda. FDA approves two additional indications for Celltrion's Humira biosimilar. Syngene is...

Tina Banerjee

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Coasting as We Stalk for Buying Opportunity; Downgrading Discretionary to Underweight

Coasting as We Stalk for Buying Opportunity; Downgrading Near-Term Outlook to Neutral, But Still Bullish Intermediate-Term $SPX $QQQ; Downgrading...

Vermilion Research

APAC Healthcare Weekly (November 16) – Leads Bio, Henlius Bio, Otsuka, ABL Bio, Boryung, Eubiologics

Henlius got FDA approval for Perjeta biosimilar. Otsuka reports positive Phase 3 trial result for sibepernlimab. ABL Bio signed deal with Lilly....

Tina Banerjee

ABL Bio: Equity Investment of 22 Billion Won from Eli Lilly

On 14 November, ABLBio (298380 KS) announced that it has signed an equity investment agreement with Eli Lilly & Co (LLY US) worth 22 billion won...

Douglas Kim

Cipla-Eli Lilly Deal: Strategic Masterstroke or Margin Mirage?

​Cipla Ltd partners with Eli Lilly to launch tirzepatide in India as part of strategic move into obesity therapeutics and GLP-1 platform.

Nimish Maheshwari

APAC Healthcare Weekly (October 26) – Innovent, Akeso, Celltrion, Classys, Daiichi, Syngene, Cipla

Innovent Biologics announced collaboration with Takeda. FDA approves two additional indications for Celltrion's Humira biosimilar. Syngene is...

Tina Banerjee

Cipla Ltd partners with Eli Lilly to launch tirzepatide in India as part of strategic move into obesity therapeutics and GLP-1 platform.