External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

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External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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<ul><li>Britannia Industries: Britannia’s Q1FY24 revenue/EBITDA/PAT growth of 9/38/36% was strong but below expectations</li><li>Transactions grew 9% YoY while volumes were flat, reflecting huge down-trading pressure</li><li>Britannia took price corrections to defend its market share as competitive intensity rose (particularly from local/regional brands)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Britannia Industries: Britannia’s Q1FY24 revenue/EBITDA/PAT growth of 9/38/36% was strong but below expectationsTransactions grew 9% YoY while volumes were flat, reflecting huge down-trading pressureBritannia took price corrections to defend its market share as competitive intensity rose (particularly from local/regional brands)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Britannia Industries, Godrej Consumers, Balkrishna Industries

<ul><li>Underlying volume CAGR to sustain revenue to grow by 8/11% on YoY/four-year CAGR: Our FMCG coverage universe is expected to deliver growth of 8/11% on YoY/four-year CAGR in revenue in Q1FY24 (vs 23/10% in Q1FY23 and 9/9% in Q4FY23)</li><li>Continuing from previous quarters the demand environment remained stable led by urban markets while rural recovery was below expectation</li><li>The FMCG sector is expected to witness a gradual recovery in demand led by moderating inflation improving consumer confidence and an increase in government spending</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Underlying volume CAGR to sustain revenue to grow by 8/11% on YoY/four-year CAGR: Our FMCG coverage universe is expected to deliver growth of 8/11% on YoY/four-year CAGR in revenue in Q1FY24 (vs 23/10% in Q1FY23 and 9/9% in Q4FY23)Continuing from previous quarters the demand environment remained stable led by urban markets while rural recovery was below expectationThe FMCG sector is expected to witness a gradual recovery in demand led by moderating inflation improving consumer confidence and an increase in government spendingContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FMCG & Alco Bev - Slow Pick-Up in Growth, Margin Expansion to Continue

<ul><li>The HSIE consumer index sales grew by 12% YoY in Q4FY23 (+11% in Q4FY22, +11% in Q3FY23)</li><li>On a four-year CAGR basis, the universe clocked 9% growth in Q4FY23, a trend similar to that witnessed in the previous few quarters</li><li>On a four-year CAGR basis, Paints/QSR/F&amp;B/Home Care have grown ahead of our index average (14/13/12/11%) in Q4FY23</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The HSIE consumer index sales grew by 12% YoY in Q4FY23 (+11% in Q4FY22, +11% in Q3FY23)On a four-year CAGR basis, the universe clocked 9% growth in Q4FY23, a trend similar to that witnessed in the previous few quartersOn a four-year CAGR basis, Paints/QSR/F&amp;B/Home Care have grown ahead of our index average (14/13/12/11%) in Q4FY23Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>Expect improvement in volume CAGR, revenue to grow by 10/9% on YoY/four-year CAGR: Our FMCG coverage universe is expected to deliver growth of 10/9% on YoY/four-year CAGR in revenue in Q4FY23 (vs 12/8% in Q4FY22 and 8/10% in Q3FY23)</li><li>Companies have started seeing a gradual recovery in demand, however, it still falls short of a full recovery</li><li>Urban markets returned to positive volume growth while rural markets still remain muted</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Expect improvement in volume CAGR, revenue to grow by 10/9% on YoY/four-year CAGR: Our FMCG coverage universe is expected to deliver growth of 10/9% on YoY/four-year CAGR in revenue in Q4FY23 (vs 12/8% in Q4FY22 and 8/10% in Q3FY23)Companies have started seeing a gradual recovery in demand, however, it still falls short of a full recoveryUrban markets returned to positive volume growth while rural markets still remain mutedContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FMCG & Alco Bev: Respite in demand and margins pressure

<ul><li>Dalmia Bharat: We maintain our BUY rating on Dalmia Bharat (DALBHARA), with an unchanged TP of INR 2,440/sh (13x its Mar-25E consolidated EBITDA)</li><li>We continue to like DALBHARA for its robust volume and margin outlook</li><li>Dalmia reported strong volume growth (+12/9% YoY/QoQ) and healthy unit EBITDA recovery (+INR 300/365/MT YoY/QoQ) to solid INR 1,021 per MT, driven by both realisation firm-up and cost reduction</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Dalmia Bharat: We maintain our BUY rating on Dalmia Bharat (DALBHARA), with an unchanged TP of INR 2,440/sh (13x its Mar-25E consolidated EBITDA)We continue to like DALBHARA for its robust volume and margin outlookDalmia reported strong volume growth (+12/9% YoY/QoQ) and healthy unit EBITDA recovery (+INR 300/365/MT YoY/QoQ) to solid INR 1,021 per MT, driven by both realisation firm-up and cost reductionContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Dalmia Bharat, Sundaram Finance, Apollo Tyres

India

Emami Limited develops and distributes personal, beauty, and healthcare products in India and other countries.  The Company manufactures herbal and Ayurvedic products, including antiseptic cream, prickly heat powder, pain balm, and cool oil.

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Emami Ltd (HMN IN)

HSIE Results Daily: Britannia Industries, Godrej Consumers, Balkrishna Industries

Britannia took price corrections to defend its market share as competitive intensity rose (particularly from local/regional brands)

HDFC Securities

FMCG & Alco Bev - Slow Pick-Up in Growth, Margin Expansion to Continue

Continuing from previous quarters the demand environment remained stable led by urban markets while rural recovery was below expectation

HDFC Securities

FMCG: Demand recovery lags margins

On a four-year CAGR basis, the universe clocked 9% growth in Q4FY23, a trend similar to that witnessed in the previous few quarters

HDFC Securities

FMCG & Alco Bev: Respite in demand and margins pressure

Our FMCG coverage universe is expected to deliver growth of 10/9% on YoY/four-year CAGR in revenue in Q4FY23 (vs 12/8% in Q4FY22 and 8/10% in Q3FY23)

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Dalmia Bharat, Sundaram Finance, Apollo Tyres

Dalmia Bharat: We maintain our BUY rating on Dalmia Bharat (DALBHARA), with an unchanged TP of INR 2,440/sh (13x its Mar-25E consolidated EBITDA)

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