Smartkarma AI, Smartkarma

αSK

Smartkarma AI

Smartkarma

Smartkarma unites the fragmented investment industry, connecting institutional investors, independent research providers, and corporates within a single network.

Research Reinvented

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
  <li>Emera is strategically repositioning its portfolio towards high-growth, regulated US utilities, with approximately 75% of its capital investments planned for its Florida operations to capitalize on favorable regulatory environments and strong customer growth.</li>
  <li>The company is committed to a significant capital investment plan of approximately $8.8 billion between 2024-2026, focusing on grid modernization, reliability, and decarbonization initiatives, which is expected to drive 7-8% rate base growth through 2029.</li>
  <li>While Emera maintains a strong commitment to its dividend, the growth rate has been moderated to 1-2% annually to enhance financial flexibility and fund its extensive capital program, a move that balances shareholder returns with long-term strategic investments.</li>
</ul><p><em>This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.</em></p>


  Emera is strategically repositioning its portfolio towards high-growth, regulated US utilities, with approximately 75% of its capital investments planned for its Florida operations to capitalize on favorable regulatory environments and strong customer growth.
  The company is committed to a significant capital investment plan of approximately $8.8 billion between 2024-2026, focusing on grid modernization, reliability, and decarbonization initiatives, which is expected to drive 7-8% rate base growth through 2029.
  While Emera maintains a strong commitment to its dividend, the growth rate has been moderated to 1-2% annually to enhance financial flexibility and fund its extensive capital program, a move that balances shareholder returns with long-term strategic investments.
This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Since late-February (2/25/25 Compass and 2/27/25 Int'l Compass) we expected an 8-10% pullback to provide a buying opportunity.</li>
<li>But that all changed last week (4/1/25 Compass and 4/3/25 Int'l Compass), when we downgraded our outlook to bearish/cautious, citing several concerning developments.</li>
<li>Despite the 90-day pause, we remain cautious and we continue to favor defensives as long as the S&amp;P 500 and ACWI-US are below their 200-day MAs.</li>
</ul>


Since late-February (2/25/25 Compass and 2/27/25 Int'l Compass) we expected an 8-10% pullback to provide a buying opportunity.
But that all changed last week (4/1/25 Compass and 4/3/25 Int'l Compass), when we downgraded our outlook to bearish/cautious, citing several concerning developments.
Despite the 90-day pause, we remain cautious and we continue to favor defensives as long as the S&amp;P 500 and ACWI-US are below their 200-day MAs.


Still Favor Defensives Until Market Dynamics Improve; EURO STOXX 50 Testing Crucial 5000 Level

Singtel (Singapore Telecommunications) / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We have been expecting near-term downside on ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 since our February 27 Int’l Compass, when both ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 displayed false breakouts.</li>
<li>Market dynamics have continued to deteriorate to the point where we don't see it as a buying opportunity, and we believe $115 support is not likely to hold on ACWI-US.</li>
<li>Therefore, we are cautious and would get defensive, as we believe the odds of a more prolonged downturn in global equities are rising.</li>
</ul>


We have been expecting near-term downside on ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 since our February 27 Int’l Compass, when both ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 displayed false breakouts.
Market dynamics have continued to deteriorate to the point where we don't see it as a buying opportunity, and we believe $115 support is not likely to hold on ACWI-US.
Therefore, we are cautious and would get defensive, as we believe the odds of a more prolonged downturn in global equities are rising.


Odds of a Prolonged Downturn Are Rising; We Are Cautious; Get Defensive

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Hon Hai Precision Industry / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>E Ink and Hanshow collaborate to introduce full-color e-paper technology for retail industry, offering a new innovative solution.</li><li>Taiwan's energy shift faces grid challenges as the world moves towards net-zero goals, highlighting the need for sustainable energy solutions.</li><li>Foxconn introduces new electric vehicle models and aims to capitalize on industry challenges, showing a shift towards the growing EV market.</li></ul>

E Ink and Hanshow collaborate to introduce full-color e-paper technology for retail industry, offering a new innovative solution.Taiwan's energy shift faces grid challenges as the world moves towards net-zero goals, highlighting the need for sustainable energy solutions.Foxconn introduces new electric vehicle models and aims to capitalize on industry challenges, showing a shift towards the growing EV market.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (04-Oct-2024): E Ink, Hanshow bring color e-paper to retail.

<ul>
<li>The latest recessionary signal we see: WTI and Brent crude oil prices violating 1.5-year supports, only adding to our prior concerns about a weakening labor market (Sahm rule, SRI triggered)</li>
<li>We also discussed last week (August 29) how we were expecting the S&amp;P 500, Japan's TOPIX, and Europe's EURO STOXX 50 to "roll over near current or marginally higher levels."</li>
<li>Ongoing belief (since July 25) is that $ACWI is going through a 1- to 4-month pullback/consolidation that could end up being a topping pattern. All have since reacted lower.</li>
</ul>


The latest recessionary signal we see: WTI and Brent crude oil prices violating 1.5-year supports, only adding to our prior concerns about a weakening labor market (Sahm rule, SRI triggered)
We also discussed last week (August 29) how we were expecting the S&amp;P 500, Japan's TOPIX, and Europe's EURO STOXX 50 to "roll over near current or marginally higher levels."
Ongoing belief (since July 25) is that $ACWI is going through a 1- to 4-month pullback/consolidation that could end up being a topping pattern. All have since reacted lower.


Crude Oil Breaking 1.5-Year Support, Failed Breakouts on $EFA $ACWX; Still Expecting More Downside

Canada

Emera Inc. provides diversified energy and services through its subsidiaries. The Company supplies electric generation, transmission, and distribution in Nova Scotia, Canada.  Emera also delivers bunker oil, diesel fuel, and light fuel. In addition, the Company delivers Sable Island natural gas to markets in Maritime Canada and the northeastern United States.

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Emera Inc (EMA CN)

Primer: Emera Inc (EMA CN) - Sep 2025

Emera is strategically repositioning its portfolio towards high-growth, regulated US utilities, with approximately 75% of its capital...

αSK

Still Favor Defensives Until Market Dynamics Improve; EURO STOXX 50 Testing Crucial 5000 Level

Still Favor Defensives Until Market Dynamics Improve; EURO $STOXX 50 Testing Crucial 5000 Level; Watch for Resistance at $105-$117.69 on $ACWI. Buy...

Vermilion Research

Odds of a Prolonged Downturn Are Rising; We Are Cautious; Get Defensive

Odds of a Prolonged Downturn are Rising; We are Cautious; Get Defensive; $115 on ACWI-US Remains Key Level, and is at Risk of Breakdown. Actionable...

Vermilion Research

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (04-Oct-2024): E Ink, Hanshow bring color e-paper to retail.

E Ink and Hanshow collaborate on full-color e-paper for retail, Taiwan grid challenges, Foxconn's new EV models, India's supercomputers, Czech IC...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Crude Oil Breaking 1.5-Year Support, Failed Breakouts on $EFA $ACWX; Still Expecting More Downside

Crude Oil Breaking Below 1.5-Year Support, Yet Another Recessionary Signal; Bearish Failed Breakouts on $EFA $ACWX; Still Expecting More Downside;...

Vermilion Research

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