Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

Commodities

<ul><li>Asia’s base oils prices hold firm versus Singapore gasoil prices.</li><li>Firm base oil margins so far in Q3 2025 point to fundamentals that remain sufficiently balanced and that curb need for lower output levels.</li><li>Firm margins coincide with signs of relatively steady base oils output in early-Q3 2025 even after completion of most plant-maintenance work.</li></ul>

Asia’s base oils prices hold firm versus Singapore gasoil prices.Firm base oil margins so far in Q3 2025 point to fundamentals that remain sufficiently balanced and that curb need for lower output levels.Firm margins coincide with signs of relatively steady base oils output in early-Q3 2025 even after completion of most plant-maintenance work.

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 1 September

<ul><li>Asia’s base oils demand could stay more cautious amid expectations of healthy availability of supply, concern about exposure to lower prices.</li><li>Cautious buying would coincide with likely seasonal pick-up in lube consumption in coming weeks.</li><li>Dynamic leaves blenders facing challenge of holding sufficient supplies to meet finished lube demand while maximising benefit of any further fall in base oils prices.</li></ul>

Asia’s base oils demand could stay more cautious amid expectations of healthy availability of supply, concern about exposure to lower prices.Cautious buying would coincide with likely seasonal pick-up in lube consumption in coming weeks.Dynamic leaves blenders facing challenge of holding sufficient supplies to meet finished lube demand while maximising benefit of any further fall in base oils prices.

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 1 September

Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

<ul>
<li>Copper Bull Case: Electrification and constrained supply support a bullish $10k/t copper outlook, positioning Japan Inc. as a strategic beneficiary of the energy transition.</li>
<li>Japan Inc. Exposure: ~0.95 Mt attributable output (~63–66% demand) drives ~$6bn EBITDA; SMM and JX Advanced Metals are most leveraged, trading houses offer diversified exposure.</li>
<li>Growth Optionality: Nittetsu’s Chile projects add near-term growth (2026–28), while Quechua provides long-dated optionality into the 2030s, enhancing Japan’s copper security.</li>
</ul>


Copper Bull Case: Electrification and constrained supply support a bullish $10k/t copper outlook, positioning Japan Inc. as a strategic beneficiary of the energy transition.
Japan Inc. Exposure: ~0.95 Mt attributable output (~63–66% demand) drives ~$6bn EBITDA; SMM and JX Advanced Metals are most leveraged, trading houses offer diversified exposure.
Growth Optionality: Nittetsu’s Chile projects add near-term growth (2026–28), while Quechua provides long-dated optionality into the 2030s, enhancing Japan’s copper security.


Japan Inc. And the Copper Supercycle: Who Benefits Most?

<ul><li>Global base oils prices hold at levels versus feedstock and competing fuel prices that sustain incentive for refiners to maintain or raise output.</li><li>Margins hold firm even at time of year when surplus supply typically starts to build amid seasonal slowdown in demand.</li><li>Firm margins could point to supply-demand fundamentals that are tighter than usual for time of year.</li></ul>

Global base oils prices hold at levels versus feedstock and competing fuel prices that sustain incentive for refiners to maintain or raise output.Margins hold firm even at time of year when surplus supply typically starts to build amid seasonal slowdown in demand.Firm margins could point to supply-demand fundamentals that are tighter than usual for time of year.

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 25 August

<ul><li>Europe Group I brightstock price stays unusually firm relative to light and heavy neutrals so far in Q3 2025.</li><li>Europe Group I brightstock price stays unusually firm versus feedstock vacuum gasoil price so far in Q3 2025.</li><li>Europe Group I export brightstock price maintains steep premium to imported cargo prices in markets like India.</li></ul>

Europe Group I brightstock price stays unusually firm relative to light and heavy neutrals so far in Q3 2025.Europe Group I brightstock price stays unusually firm versus feedstock vacuum gasoil price so far in Q3 2025.Europe Group I export brightstock price maintains steep premium to imported cargo prices in markets like India.

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 25 August

Japan

ENEOS Holdings, Inc. operates refining and marketing businesses. The Company refines and distributes petroleum and petroleum chemical products. ENEOS Holdings also provides non ferrous metals, electronic materials, and other products.

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ENEOS Holdings (5020 JP)

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 1 September

Asia’s base oils prices hold firm versus Singapore gasoil prices. Firm base oil margins so far in Q3 2025 point to fundamentals that remain...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 1 September

Asia’s base oils demand could stay more cautious amid expectations of healthy availability of supply, concern about exposure to lower...

Base Oil News

Japan Inc. And the Copper Supercycle: Who Benefits Most?

Japan Inc. poised to benefit from bullish copper outlook due to electrification and constrained supply, with key players like SMM and JX Advanced...

Rahul Jain

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 25 August

Global base oils prices hold at levels versus feedstock and competing fuel prices that sustain incentive for refiners to maintain or raise...

Base Oil News

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 25 August

Europe Group I brightstock price stays unusually firm relative to light and heavy neutrals so far in Q3 2025. Europe Group I brightstock price...

Base Oil News

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 1 September

Asia’s base oils prices hold firm versus Singapore gasoil prices. Firm base oil margins so far in Q3 2025 point to fundamentals that remain...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 1 September

Asia’s base oils demand could stay more cautious amid expectations of healthy availability of supply, concern about exposure to lower...

Base Oil News

Japan Inc. And the Copper Supercycle: Who Benefits Most?

​Japan Inc. poised to benefit from bullish copper outlook due to electrification and constrained supply, with key players like SMM and JX Advanced...

Rahul Jain

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 25 August

Global base oils prices hold at levels versus feedstock and competing fuel prices that sustain incentive for refiners to maintain or raise...

Base Oil News

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 25 August

Europe Group I brightstock price stays unusually firm relative to light and heavy neutrals so far in Q3 2025. Europe Group I brightstock price...

Base Oil News

Japan Inc. poised to benefit from bullish copper outlook due to electrification and constrained supply, with key players like SMM and JX Advanced...