Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

The recent successful test of support at the 200-day moving average has paved the way for a meaningful bounce higher on the S&amp;P 500. Given this bounce, we have become incrementally more bullish. In today’s report we highlight the bullish implications of the recent move higher for the broad market as well as attractive and actionable groups within the Energy Sector: EN-02 Oil &amp; Gas, Global, Large-Cap, EN-08 Oil and Gas E&amp;P, Domestic, Large-Cap, and EN-10 Oil and Gas E&amp;P, Domestic Small-Cap.

The recent successful test of support at the 200-day moving average has paved the way for a meaningful bounce higher on the S&amp;P 500. Given this bounce, we have become incrementally more bullish. In today’s report we highlight the bullish implications of the recent move higher for the broad market as well as attractive and actionable groups within the Energy Sector: EN-02 Oil &amp; Gas, Global, Large-Cap, EN-08 Oil and Gas E&amp;P, Domestic, Large-Cap, and EN-10 Oil and Gas E&amp;P, Domestic Small-Cap.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Opportunities in Energy Stocks

Global markets are holding at support levels and we reiterate, our neutral but constructive outlook . In today’s report we highlight actionable stocks within countries that are displaying bullish price and relative strength trends, including Japan, Hong Kong, Italy and Norway.

Global markets are holding at support levels and we reiterate, our neutral but constructive outlook . In today’s report we highlight actionable stocks within countries that are displaying bullish price and relative strength trends, including Japan, Hong Kong, Italy and Norway.

Global Equity Strategy: Overweight TOPIX, Hang Seng

TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX / Technical Analysis

Economic data finally confirms what the charts have been saying all year: global growth in the major regions is now in sync.  We see the bullish advance in equities continuing well into 2018, a continuation of a long-term trend. However, the Sectors that propel this trend may be different.In our December International Strategy, we explore these and the following themes in further detail: <ul><li>Overweight Japan. </li><li>Cyclicals continue to lead, defensive continues to lag. </li><li>Actionable Sector/Group themes:<ol><li>Global banks are breaking out/bullishly inflecting. </li><li>Energy is bottoming – still a non-consensus view. </li><li>Pullback opportunity in metals &amp; mining.</li></ol></li></ul>

Economic data finally confirms what the charts have been saying all year: global growth in the major regions is now in sync.  We see the bullish advance in equities continuing well into 2018, a continuation of a long-term trend. However, the Sectors that propel this trend may be different.In our December International Strategy, we explore these and the following themes in further detail: Overweight Japan. Cyclicals continue to lead, defensive continues to lag. Actionable Sector/Group themes:Global banks are breaking out/bullishly inflecting. Energy is bottoming – still a non-consensus view. Pullback opportunity in metals &amp; mining.

International Equity Strategy: Bullish Big Picture

Energy Expert

Thierry Bros, PhD

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Since earlier this year, I cautioned the “Business as Usual” / “no change” solution favored by the consensus as unlikely to happen in Brexit energy negotiations. With the UK leaving the EU Single Energy Market, we could expect a resurgence in market dislocations and energy prices volatility. Since the triggering of Article 50 by the UK, 8 months ago, the situation is still as unclear as from day 1. But the industry is starting to realize that Westminster wishful thinking is not likely to happen…

Since earlier this year, I cautioned the “Business as Usual” / “no change” solution favored by the consensus as unlikely to happen in Brexit energy negotiations. With the UK leaving the EU Single Energy Market, we could expect a resurgence in market dislocations and energy prices volatility. Since the triggering of Article 50 by the UK, 8 months ago, the situation is still as unclear as from day 1. But the industry is starting to realize that Westminster wishful thinking is not likely to happen…

Brexit: The Clock Is Ticking and Little Has Been Achieved in Energy

Global Cross-Asset Energy Analyst, VAC Investments

Aaditya Chintalapati, CFA

Global Cross-Asset Energy Analyst

<h2>Oil Price</h2>Crude prices had a volatile week, with WTI ending c.2% lower at USD 58.27/bbl, while Brent was largely flat at USD 63.61/bbl. Downside pressure on WTI following the TransCanada Keystone pipeline restart early in the week was modestly moderated by the extension of OPEC cuts to end-2018 from March next year, previously. OPEC and Russia have agreed to extend the current production cuts until the end of 2018 (previously set to expire in March 2018). In addition, Nigeria and Libya, which are…

Oil PriceCrude prices had a volatile week, with WTI ending c.2% lower at USD 58.27/bbl, while Brent was largely flat at USD 63.61/bbl. Downside pressure on WTI following the TransCanada Keystone pipeline restart early in the week was modestly moderated by the extension of OPEC cuts to end-2018 from March next year, previously. OPEC and Russia have agreed to extend the current production cuts until the end of 2018 (previously set to expire in March 2018). In addition, Nigeria and Libya, which are…

Norway

Equinor ASA operates as an energy company. The Company develops oil, gas, wind, and solar energy projects, as well as focuses on offshore operations and exploration services. Equinor serves customers worldwide.

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U.S. Equity Strategy: Opportunities in Energy Stocks

The recent successful test of support at the 200-day moving average has paved the way for a meaningful bounce higher on the S&P 500. Given this...

Vermilion Research

Global Equity Strategy: Overweight TOPIX, Hang Seng

Global markets are holding at support levels and we reiterate, our neutral but constructive outlook . In today’s report we highlight actionable...

Vermilion Research

International Equity Strategy: Bullish Big Picture

Economic data finally confirms what the charts have been saying all year: global growth in the major regions is now in sync. We see the bullish...

Vermilion Research

Brexit: The Clock Is Ticking and Little Has Been Achieved in Energy

Since earlier this year, I cautioned the “Business as Usual” / “no change” solution favored by the consensus as unlikely to happen in Brexit energy...

Thierry Bros, PhD

Global E&Ps: Energy Weekly Vol. 4

Oil PriceCrude prices had a volatile week, with WTI ending c.2% lower at USD 58.27/bbl, while Brent was largely flat at USD 63.61/bbl. Downside...

Aaditya Chintalapati, CFA

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