Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia), SCCM Asia Research

SCCM Asia Research

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Headquartered in Singapore, SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia) is an investment bank focusing on emerging growth companies across Asia, providing a full suite of investment banking services, including corporate finance, mergers and acquisitions advisory, equity capital markets, institutional equities sales and trading and equities research.

SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/starhill-global-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10791" rel="noopener">Starhill Global REIT (SGREIT SP)</a> 1H22 DPU +2,3% YoY; Rebounded from the bottom though tourist arrivals remain key driver</li><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/frasers-centrepoint-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2870" rel="noopener">Frasers Centrepoint Trust (FCT SP)</a> 1Q22 Business Updates –  Resilient performance with tenant sales besting pre-Covid levels albeit due to seasonality</li><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:192" rel="noopener">Keppel REIT (KREIT SP)</a> 2H21 DPU -1.7% YoY; Occupancy fell despite rentals picking up pace</li></ul>

Starhill Global REIT (SGREIT SP) 1H22 DPU +2,3% YoY; Rebounded from the bottom though tourist arrivals remain key driverFrasers Centrepoint Trust (FCT SP) 1Q22 Business Updates –  Resilient performance with tenant sales besting pre-Covid levels albeit due to seasonalityKeppel REIT (KREIT SP) 2H21 DPU -1.7% YoY; Occupancy fell despite rentals picking up pace

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (26Jan22) - SGREIT Rebounded from Bottom

<ul><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/esr-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10934" rel="noopener">ESR-REIT (EREIT SP)</a> raises offer price for ARA Logos (ALLT SP); EGM and scheme meeting deferred</li><li>Keppel Data Centre fund II reaches US$1.1bn commitments with AIIB as latest investor</li><li>Suburban malls rents fared better than prime retail rents in 2021</li></ul>

ESR-REIT (EREIT SP) raises offer price for ARA Logos (ALLT SP); EGM and scheme meeting deferredKeppel Data Centre fund II reaches US$1.1bn commitments with AIIB as latest investorSuburban malls rents fared better than prime retail rents in 2021

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (24Jan22) - EREIT Closing in on ALLT Merger with Revised Pricing

<ul><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/esr-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10934" rel="noopener">ESR-REIT (EREIT SP)</a> to divest industrial building at 28 Senoko Drive for S$12mTanglin</li><li>Shopping Centre en bloc sale could benefit <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/city-developments-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:57" rel="noopener">City Developments (CIT SP)</a> </li><li>Co-living providers expect higher demand in 2022 as inquiries rose; Robust occupancies may continue</li></ul>

ESR-REIT (EREIT SP) to divest industrial building at 28 Senoko Drive for S$12mTanglinShopping Centre en bloc sale could benefit City Developments (CIT SP) Co-living providers expect higher demand in 2022 as inquiries rose; Robust occupancies may continue

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (11Jan22) - EREIT to Divest 28 Senoko Drive

<h2>Singapore</h2><p>SREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)</p><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/237/882/original/image_38758426221635344719889.png?1635344723" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="237882"></figure><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/frasers-centrepoint-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2870" rel="noopener">Frasers Centrepoint Trust (FCT SP)</a> 2H21 DPU +39.3% YoY; Resilient occupancy and tenants’ sales amidst Phase-2 temporary setbacks</h3><p>2H21 revenue and NPI surged by 159.9% and 213.2% YoY, respectively, to S$167.5m and S$120.9m, mainly boosted by ARF acquisition. This brought FY21 revenue and NPI to S$341.2m (+107.5% YoY) and S$246.6m (+122.4%) or 96%/98% of BBG estimates, respectively. On a HoH basis, 2H21 revenue and NPI fell 3.5% and 3.8%, respectively, due to rental rebates provided to tenants in Sep21</p>

SingaporeSREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)Frasers Centrepoint Trust (FCT SP) 2H21 DPU +39.3% YoY; Resilient occupancy and tenants’ sales amidst Phase-2 temporary setbacks2H21 revenue and NPI surged by 159.9% and 213.2% YoY, respectively, to S$167.5m and S$120.9m, mainly boosted by ARF acquisition. This brought FY21 revenue and NPI to S$341.2m (+107.5% YoY) and S$246.6m (+122.4%) or 96%/98% of BBG estimates, respectively. On a HoH basis, 2H21 revenue and NPI fell 3.5% and 3.8%, respectively, due to rental rebates provided to tenants in Sep21

<h2>Singapore</h2>
<h3>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/esr-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10934" rel="noopener">ESR-REIT (EREIT SP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ara-logos-logistics-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:937" rel="noopener">ARA LOGOS (ALLT SP)</a> proposed merger to form ESR-LOGOS REIT; DPU accretive for both unitholders</h3>
<ul>
<li>The proposed merger will be effected by way of a Trust Scheme with EREIT acquiring all units of ALLT in exchange for a combination of cash and new units in EREIT. The merger is conditional upon, inter alia, the completion of ESR Cayman (“ESR” or the “Sponsor”) and ARA Asset Management’s merger. ALLT unitholders will receive a scheme consideration of S$0.95 for each ALLT unit comprising 1) the payment of S$0.095 in cash per ALLT unit and the allotment and issue of 1.6765 new EREIT units for each ALLT unit, issued at S$0.51. The total consideration for the proposed merger is ~S$1.4bn based on the Scheme Consideration of S$0.95 for each ALLT unit. Upon completion, the enlarged REIT will be renamed ESR-LOGOS REIT (E-LOG)</li>
<li>Post-merger, E-LOG will continue to be managed by EREIT manager. The shareholding structure of E-LOG will be: Summit Group (12.7%), ESR (10.9%), and public (76.4%). The merger also removes any potential overlapping mandate between EREIT and ALLT</li>
<li>From EREIT’s perspective, the merger is expected to be +5.8% DPU accretive on FY20 proforma basis and -6.4% NAV dilutive. From ALLT perspective, the merger is +8.2% DPU accretive on FY20 proforma basis and +2.2% NAV accretive as well</li>
<li>The effects of the merger: 1) Total assets will rise to 87 properties (S$5.4bn) with 2.2m sqft NLA and 437 tenants; 2) ~66% of portfolio exposure is in the new economy (logistics and hi-tech); 3) Rising occupancy to 94.5% (from 91.7%); 4) Increased WALE to 3.2yrs (from 2.8yrs); 5) Extend land lease expiry to 37.9yrs (from 31yrs); 6) lower cost of debt to 2.84% (from 3.24%) with longer WADE; and 7) +1.6x larger debt headroom</li>
<li>Unitholders’ approval for EREIT is required for both merger and issuance of units (&gt;50% of total number votes), while approval for ALLT are required for the scheme (&gt;50% in numbers, &gt;75% in value) and amendment of deed (&gt;=75%). Ivanhoe Cambridge Asia (holder of 8.74% of ALLT) has given an irrevocable undertaking to vote in favour of all resolutions</li>
<li>EREIT is trading at 1.17x P/B and 6.7% FY21E yield, while ALLT is trading at 1.39x P/B and 5.5% FY21E yield</li>
<li>The financing scheme and timeline is detailed on table below (illustrative purpose).</li>
</ul>

Singapore

ESR-REIT (EREIT SP) and ARA LOGOS (ALLT SP) proposed merger to form ESR-LOGOS REIT; DPU accretive for both unitholders

The proposed merger will be effected by way of a Trust Scheme with EREIT acquiring all units of ALLT in exchange for a combination of cash and new units in EREIT. The merger is conditional upon, inter alia, the completion of ESR Cayman (“ESR” or the “Sponsor”) and ARA Asset Management’s merger. ALLT unitholders will receive a scheme consideration of S$0.95 for each ALLT unit comprising 1) the payment of S$0.095 in cash per ALLT unit and the allotment and issue of 1.6765 new EREIT units for each ALLT unit, issued at S$0.51. The total consideration for the proposed merger is ~S$1.4bn based on the Scheme Consideration of S$0.95 for each ALLT unit. Upon completion, the enlarged REIT will be renamed ESR-LOGOS REIT (E-LOG)
Post-merger, E-LOG will continue to be managed by EREIT manager. The shareholding structure of E-LOG will be: Summit Group (12.7%), ESR (10.9%), and public (76.4%). The merger also removes any potential overlapping mandate between EREIT and ALLT
From EREIT’s perspective, the merger is expected to be +5.8% DPU accretive on FY20 proforma basis and -6.4% NAV dilutive. From ALLT perspective, the merger is +8.2% DPU accretive on FY20 proforma basis and +2.2% NAV accretive as well
The effects of the merger: 1) Total assets will rise to 87 properties (S$5.4bn) with 2.2m sqft NLA and 437 tenants; 2) ~66% of portfolio exposure is in the new economy (logistics and hi-tech); 3) Rising occupancy to 94.5% (from 91.7%); 4) Increased WALE to 3.2yrs (from 2.8yrs); 5) Extend land lease expiry to 37.9yrs (from 31yrs); 6) lower cost of debt to 2.84% (from 3.24%) with longer WADE; and 7) +1.6x larger debt headroom
Unitholders’ approval for EREIT is required for both merger and issuance of units (&gt;50% of total number votes), while approval for ALLT are required for the scheme (&gt;50% in numbers, &gt;75% in value) and amendment of deed (&gt;=75%). Ivanhoe Cambridge Asia (holder of 8.74% of ALLT) has given an irrevocable undertaking to vote in favour of all resolutions
EREIT is trading at 1.17x P/B and 6.7% FY21E yield, while ALLT is trading at 1.39x P/B and 5.5% FY21E yield
The financing scheme and timeline is detailed on table below (illustrative purpose).


Singapore

ESR-REIT is a real estate investment trust that invests in and manages a diversified portfolio of income-producing industrial properties. These properties include logistics, high-specifications industrial, business parks, and general industrial assets across Singapore, Australia, and Japan. The company is headquartered in Singapore and was founded in 2006.

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ESR-REIT (EREIT SP)

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (26Jan22) - SGREIT Rebounded from Bottom

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ASEAN Builder's Scoop (24Jan22) - EREIT Closing in on ALLT Merger with Revised Pricing

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ASEAN Builder's Scoop (11Jan22) - EREIT to Divest 28 Senoko Drive

EREIT to divest 28 Senoko Drive; Tanglin Shopping Centre en-bloc; Co-living robust occupancies; Retail rents down 7 straight quarters; DMW...

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ASEAN Builder's Scoop (27Oct21)

FCT temporary hiccups; EREIT persistent negative reversions; MINT boosted by US acquisitions; LMRT early signs of recovery; FIRT performance...

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ASEAN Builder's Scoop (15Oct21)

EREIT/ALLT merger, DPU accretive for both unitholders; AAREIT strong quarter, Upgrade to BUY; Porcelain Hotel on sale for S$90m; WCTHG mixed-use...

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