Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia), SCCM Asia Research

SCCM Asia Research

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<h2>Singapore </h2><h3>Commercial properties set for big change; Long-term reduction in supply likely</h3><ul><li>Offices in the CBD, especially older buildings, need to evolve. Both the Central Business District Incentive (CBDI) Scheme and Strategic Development Incentive (SDI) Scheme were introduced to incentivise the redevelopment of older buildings to more productive mixed-use developments. Under the CBDI scheme, qualifying properties are allowed to intensify their GFA by 25-30%, depending on the proposed land use. Meanwhile, the SDI is intended to redevelop precincts in strategic areas across Singapore, such as Orchard Road, the CBD and Marina Centre</li><li>Since the circuit-breaker period, URA has received nine outline applications under the CBDI Scheme, of which six have been given in-principle approval. Three outline applications under the SDI Scheme were also given in-principle approval. The take-up of these schemes are also likely to result in the long-term reduction of office stock in the CBD, which plays a part in the government's decentralisation strategy to have more offices located outside the city centre, CBRE said.</li></ul><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/216/388/original/image018.png?1625188834" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="216388"></figure></section>

Singapore Commercial properties set for big change; Long-term reduction in supply likelyOffices in the CBD, especially older buildings, need to evolve. Both the Central Business District Incentive (CBDI) Scheme and Strategic Development Incentive (SDI) Scheme were introduced to incentivise the redevelopment of older buildings to more productive mixed-use developments. Under the CBDI scheme, qualifying properties are allowed to intensify their GFA by 25-30%, depending on the proposed land use. Meanwhile, the SDI is intended to redevelop precincts in strategic areas across Singapore, such as Orchard Road, the CBD and Marina CentreSince the circuit-breaker period, URA has received nine outline applications under the CBDI Scheme, of which six have been given in-principle approval. Three outline applications under the SDI Scheme were also given in-principle approval. The take-up of these schemes are also likely to result in the long-term reduction of office stock in the CBD, which plays a part in the government's decentralisation strategy to have more offices located outside the city centre, CBRE said.

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (2Jul21) - CBD Office Reduction in LT Supply

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prime-us-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28144" rel="noopener">Prime US REIT (PRIME SP)</a> to acquire two properties in California and Florida; DPU accretive by +2.4% but -1.2% NAV dilutive</h3><ul><li>PRIME, through KBS Realty Advisors, has entered into a purchase agreement with Sorrento Towers North to acquire Sorrento Towers (located at 5355 &amp; 5375 Mira Sorrento Place, San Diego, California) and a purchase agreement with CP OTC to acquire the property One Town Center (located at One Town Center, Boca Raton, Florida). Sorrento Towers is a freehold property comprised of two, seven-story, Class-A office towers and sits above a three-level podium garage with an occupancy rate of 95.6%, NLA of 296,327sqft and WALE By NLA of 6.6 years. One Town Center is a freehold 10-storey Class-A office tower and a five-storey attached parking garage with an occupancy rate of 94.7%, NLA of 191,294sqft and WALE by NLA of 6.2 years</li><li>The aggregate purchase consideration payable for the Acquisitions is US$245.5m, comprising US$146.0m for Sorrento Towers and US$99.5m for One Tower Center. Sorrento Towers would be acquired at valuation, whilst One Town Center will be acquired at a discount of 2.5% of its appraised value, representing an aggregate discount of 1%. The estimated total cost for the acquisitions is US$247.71m, including fees, which will be funded by a combination of loans and a private placement of new units (to raise gross proceeds of at least US$80.0m)</li><li>The Acquisitions will expand the REIT’s footprint in two new target markets, San Diego and Boca Raton. Post-acquisitions, no single market will contribute more than 11.7% of PRIME’s enlarged portfolio Cash Rental Income. In aggregate, the acquisitions have a long WALE of 6.5 years by NLA and 6.6 years by Cash Rental Income, with minimal proportion of leases expiring before 2025</li><li>100% of the leases at Sorrento Towers and One Town Center, based on Cash Rental Income for the month of Mar21, offers visible organic growth having a built-in rental escalation with a weighted average built-in escalation rate of c.3% pa. Moreover, both Sorrento Towers and One Town Center have positive office market dynamics with in-place rents that are currently below market</li><li>At the purchase price, the implied capitalisation rate for Sorrento Towers and One Town Center is approximately 5.3% and 5.8%, respectively. On a pro-forma 1Q21 basis, the WALE of the enlarged portfolio will increase to 4.5 years by NLA and 4.6 years by Cash Rental Income. On a pro-forma FY20 basis, the acquisitions are expected to be +2.4% DPU accretive, but -1.2% NAVPU dilutive. Gearing will increase to 39.1% from 33.8% as at 31Mar21 on a pro-forma basis.</li></ul><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/214/962/original/image003+%282%29.png?1624498042" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="214962"></figure><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/214/963/original/image004.png?1624498057" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="214963"></figure></section>

SingaporePrime US REIT (PRIME SP) to acquire two properties in California and Florida; DPU accretive by +2.4% but -1.2% NAV dilutivePRIME, through KBS Realty Advisors, has entered into a purchase agreement with Sorrento Towers North to acquire Sorrento Towers (located at 5355 &amp; 5375 Mira Sorrento Place, San Diego, California) and a purchase agreement with CP OTC to acquire the property One Town Center (located at One Town Center, Boca Raton, Florida). Sorrento Towers is a freehold property comprised of two, seven-story, Class-A office towers and sits above a three-level podium garage with an occupancy rate of 95.6%, NLA of 296,327sqft and WALE By NLA of 6.6 years. One Town Center is a freehold 10-storey Class-A office tower and a five-storey attached parking garage with an occupancy rate of 94.7%, NLA of 191,294sqft and WALE by NLA of 6.2 yearsThe aggregate purchase consideration payable for the Acquisitions is US$245.5m, comprising US$146.0m for Sorrento Towers and US$99.5m for One Tower Center. Sorrento Towers would be acquired at valuation, whilst One Town Center will be acquired at a discount of 2.5% of its appraised value, representing an aggregate discount of 1%. The estimated total cost for the acquisitions is US$247.71m, including fees, which will be funded by a combination of loans and a private placement of new units (to raise gross proceeds of at least US$80.0m)The Acquisitions will expand the REIT’s footprint in two new target markets, San Diego and Boca Raton. Post-acquisitions, no single market will contribute more than 11.7% of PRIME’s enlarged portfolio Cash Rental Income. In aggregate, the acquisitions have a long WALE of 6.5 years by NLA and 6.6 years by Cash Rental Income, with minimal proportion of leases expiring before 2025100% of the leases at Sorrento Towers and One Town Center, based on Cash Rental Income for the month of Mar21, offers visible organic growth having a built-in rental escalation with a weighted average built-in escalation rate of c.3% pa. Moreover, both Sorrento Towers and One Town Center have positive office market dynamics with in-place rents that are currently below marketAt the purchase price, the implied capitalisation rate for Sorrento Towers and One Town Center is approximately 5.3% and 5.8%, respectively. On a pro-forma 1Q21 basis, the WALE of the enlarged portfolio will increase to 4.5 years by NLA and 4.6 years by Cash Rental Income. On a pro-forma FY20 basis, the acquisitions are expected to be +2.4% DPU accretive, but -1.2% NAVPU dilutive. Gearing will increase to 39.1% from 33.8% as at 31Mar21 on a pro-forma basis.

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (24Jun21) - PRIME Acquires US Offices

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/esr-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10934" rel="noopener">ESR-REIT (EREIT SP)</a> expands into AUS, buys SG logistics asset for ~S$180m</h3><ul><li>EREIT is looking to raise about S$150m via a private placement and preferential offering to fund its S$119.2m acquisition of a Tanjong Penjuru logistics facility, as well as asset enhancement initiatives for properties in Tai Seng and Ang Mo Kio. The real estate investment trust has also obtained a S$68.5m unsecured loan to finance the acquisition of a 10% interest in a GIC-majority-owned Australian logistics investment for AUD60.5m (S$62.4m). The investment indirectly holds 33 income-producing properties, two land parcels for future development and two properties, which are currently under development</li><li>GIC holds an 80% stake in the fund, while ESR Queensland Hold Trust, holds the remaining 20%. The private fund is managed by an indirect subsidiary of ESR Cayman, the REIT’s sponsor. The fund's portfolio comprises properties in five Australia states – New South Wales, Victoria, Queensland, South Australia and Western Australia. These have a total land area of about 1.3m sqm, an occupancy rate of 95.9% and a WALE of 4.87 years as at 31Mar. The Australian acquisition will cost an estimated AUD64.9m, comprising the AUD60.5m purchase price and S$2.5m in fees to be incurred in connection with the deal. This whole amount will be financed fully through debt. The Australia acquisition is expected to be completed in May21</li><li>The Singapore acquisition, meanwhile, saw EREIT's trustee entering into a put and call option agreement with seller Montview Investments for 46A Tanjong Penjuru, a five-storey modern ramp-up logistics facility within the Jurong Industrial Estate. The proposed acquisition will cost EREIT about S$124.7m, comprising a S$112m purchase consideration, an estimated S$7.6m upfront land premium payable to JTC for the balance of the first 30-year lease term, S$3.6m in stamp duties, and S$1.5m in other transaction costs</li><li>EREIT is proposing a private placement of between 195.3-201.6m units to institutional investors and other investors at an issue price of between S$37.2-38.4c, to raise at least S$75m. The private placement is subject to an upsize option which brings the amount raised to a maximum of S$100m. EREIT's also plans to undertake a non-renounceable preferential offering of new units to raise no more than S$50m. The preferential offering will not be underwritten. Details of the offering have not been determined as at the date of the announcement but the manager stated the issue price of the offering may differ from the private placement's issue price</li><li>About S$71.8m, or nearly half, of the gross proceeds from the fundraising exercise will partially finance the Tanjong Penjuru acquisition. Some S$43.5m will be used to partially finance the asset enhancement initiatives (AEIs) of two industrial buildings at 16 Tai Seng Street and 7000 Ang Mo Kio Avenue 5, which will cost about S$25.9-53.3m, respectively. EREIT will use around S$31m of gross proceeds to repay existing indebtedness, while S$3.8m will be used to pay for estimated fees and expenses incurred in connection with the equity fundraising.</li></ul><p>Comments: While the overall investments and debt repayment offers a low single-digit 1.0-2.3% accretion to FY20 DPU and -1.5% dilution to FY20 NAV, we are positive on the two investments given their complementary potential upside from AEI/development. The SG asset, 46A Tanjong Penjuru, will enhance EREIT’s exposure in the resilient and highly sought-after quality logistics assets, while the strategic investment on the AU Fund demonstrates EREIT’s ability to access Sponsor’s pipeline of assets. The acquisition at a Fund NAV cap rate of 5.5% (vs. the current market range of 4+%) signals Sponsor’s commitment and support to grow EREIT. Despite having only a minor stake, it allows EREIT to be privy to the portfolio performance, thus offering an edge in acquisition opportunities. On the other hand, the continuous AEI/development efforts with 7% yield to cost would provide EREIT a stable organic growth. We have a BUY rating and TP of S$0.47/unit.</p>

SingaporeESR-REIT (EREIT SP) expands into AUS, buys SG logistics asset for ~S$180mEREIT is looking to raise about S$150m via a private placement and preferential offering to fund its S$119.2m acquisition of a Tanjong Penjuru logistics facility, as well as asset enhancement initiatives for properties in Tai Seng and Ang Mo Kio. The real estate investment trust has also obtained a S$68.5m unsecured loan to finance the acquisition of a 10% interest in a GIC-majority-owned Australian logistics investment for AUD60.5m (S$62.4m). The investment indirectly holds 33 income-producing properties, two land parcels for future development and two properties, which are currently under developmentGIC holds an 80% stake in the fund, while ESR Queensland Hold Trust, holds the remaining 20%. The private fund is managed by an indirect subsidiary of ESR Cayman, the REIT’s sponsor. The fund's portfolio comprises properties in five Australia states – New South Wales, Victoria, Queensland, South Australia and Western Australia. These have a total land area of about 1.3m sqm, an occupancy rate of 95.9% and a WALE of 4.87 years as at 31Mar. The Australian acquisition will cost an estimated AUD64.9m, comprising the AUD60.5m purchase price and S$2.5m in fees to be incurred in connection with the deal. This whole amount will be financed fully through debt. The Australia acquisition is expected to be completed in May21The Singapore acquisition, meanwhile, saw EREIT's trustee entering into a put and call option agreement with seller Montview Investments for 46A Tanjong Penjuru, a five-storey modern ramp-up logistics facility within the Jurong Industrial Estate. The proposed acquisition will cost EREIT about S$124.7m, comprising a S$112m purchase consideration, an estimated S$7.6m upfront land premium payable to JTC for the balance of the first 30-year lease term, S$3.6m in stamp duties, and S$1.5m in other transaction costsEREIT is proposing a private placement of between 195.3-201.6m units to institutional investors and other investors at an issue price of between S$37.2-38.4c, to raise at least S$75m. The private placement is subject to an upsize option which brings the amount raised to a maximum of S$100m. EREIT's also plans to undertake a non-renounceable preferential offering of new units to raise no more than S$50m. The preferential offering will not be underwritten. Details of the offering have not been determined as at the date of the announcement but the manager stated the issue price of the offering may differ from the private placement's issue priceAbout S$71.8m, or nearly half, of the gross proceeds from the fundraising exercise will partially finance the Tanjong Penjuru acquisition. Some S$43.5m will be used to partially finance the asset enhancement initiatives (AEIs) of two industrial buildings at 16 Tai Seng Street and 7000 Ang Mo Kio Avenue 5, which will cost about S$25.9-53.3m, respectively. EREIT will use around S$31m of gross proceeds to repay existing indebtedness, while S$3.8m will be used to pay for estimated fees and expenses incurred in connection with the equity fundraising.Comments: While the overall investments and debt repayment offers a low single-digit 1.0-2.3% accretion to FY20 DPU and -1.5% dilution to FY20 NAV, we are positive on the two investments given their complementary potential upside from AEI/development. The SG asset, 46A Tanjong Penjuru, will enhance EREIT’s exposure in the resilient and highly sought-after quality logistics assets, while the strategic investment on the AU Fund demonstrates EREIT’s ability to access Sponsor’s pipeline of assets. The acquisition at a Fund NAV cap rate of 5.5% (vs. the current market range of 4+%) signals Sponsor’s commitment and support to grow EREIT. Despite having only a minor stake, it allows EREIT to be privy to the portfolio performance, thus offering an edge in acquisition opportunities. On the other hand, the continuous AEI/development efforts with 7% yield to cost would provide EREIT a stable organic growth. We have a BUY rating and TP of S$0.47/unit.

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (7May21) - EREIT Maiden Expansion into AUS

Partner, River Valley Asset Management

River Valley Asset Management

Partner

Singapore-based boutique asset management firm

River Valley Asset Management is a Singapore-based boutique asset management firm. Our team at RVAM strongly believes in being a trusted steward of our clients' wealth across generations.

Each of our fund managers has years of rich portfolio management experience over multiple market cycles at world-class investment houses. We bring our clients the combined strength of our investment team to manage their financial portfolios and to provide bespoke guidance on all aspects of their financial health.

We offer multi-asset class expert investment advice to accredited investors who are family offices, high net worth individuals and institutional investors to preserve and grow our clients' wealth.

The fund management team of the company includes Homiyar Vasania, Anand Ramachandran and Jamshed Desai.

<p><span lang="EN-SG">As a mature economy with stable businesses, Singapore's equity benchmarks are dominated by Banks &amp; Government Linked Companies (GLC's) which have grown large over time. The large listed companies in Singapore (private as well as GLC’s) are now facing headwinds from tight labour markets resulting in rising costs and, in the absence of growth, the need to focus on raising productivity. <br></span><br><span lang="EN-SG"><span lang="EN-SG">It is therefore not surprising that the Singapore markets do not excite the average investor. However, within this space we have been finding many hidden gems which have consistently delivered and increasingly fit the needs of a Singaporean investor looking for stable returns in a low growth environment: the REIT marketplace. Over the last seven years the REIT index has delivered over 10% p.a. annualized return which stands in stark contrast to the meagre 4% returns from benchmark STI index.</span></span></p>

As a mature economy with stable businesses, Singapore's equity benchmarks are dominated by Banks &amp; Government Linked Companies (GLC's) which have grown large over time. The large listed companies in Singapore (private as well as GLC’s) are now facing headwinds from tight labour markets resulting in rising costs and, in the absence of growth, the need to focus on raising productivity.   It is therefore not surprising that the Singapore markets do not excite the average investor. However, within this space we have been finding many hidden gems which have consistently delivered and increasingly fit the needs of a Singaporean investor looking for stable returns in a low growth environment: the REIT marketplace. Over the last seven years the REIT index has delivered over 10% p.a. annualized return which stands in stark contrast to the meagre 4% returns from benchmark STI index.

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

Mapletree Industrial Trust / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>While the iEdge S-Reit Index (benchmark for the S-Reits cluster) returned flat in the year to date, the top 10 performing S-Reits within the benchmark averaged 11.1 per cent total returns.</li><li>Of these, four were industrial Reits – AIMS Apac Reit (11.2 per cent in total returns), Mapletree Logistics Trust (9.3 per cent), Mapletree Industrial Trust (7.7 per cent), and CapitaLand Ascendas Reit (7.3 per cent).</li><li>The four industrial Reits averaged 9 per cent in total returns in the year to date and recorded combined net institutional fund inflows of S$18.9 million.</li></ul>

While the iEdge S-Reit Index (benchmark for the S-Reits cluster) returned flat in the year to date, the top 10 performing S-Reits within the benchmark averaged 11.1 per cent total returns.Of these, four were industrial Reits – AIMS Apac Reit (11.2 per cent in total returns), Mapletree Logistics Trust (9.3 per cent), Mapletree Industrial Trust (7.7 per cent), and CapitaLand Ascendas Reit (7.3 per cent).The four industrial Reits averaged 9 per cent in total returns in the year to date and recorded combined net institutional fund inflows of S$18.9 million.

REIT Watch - Four industrial S-Reits among best performing in the year to date

Singapore

ESR-REIT is a real estate investment trust that invests in and manages a diversified portfolio of income-producing industrial properties. These properties include logistics, high-specifications industrial, business parks, and general industrial assets across Singapore, Australia, and Japan. The company is headquartered in Singapore and was founded in 2006.

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ESR-REIT (EREIT SP)

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (2Jul21) - CBD Office Reduction in LT Supply

GCB deals YTD surpassed 2020; HDB prices 2.1% shy of 2Q13 peak; Indo shuts down malls; SIRI begins accepting cryptos; Phils tourist arrivals sanked

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (24Jun21) - PRIME Acquires US Offices

PRIME acquires US offices, +2.4% DPU accretion; CAPL obtains PE manager license in China; Carpark lot is latest trending asset class; BSP launching...

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (7May21) - EREIT Maiden Expansion into AUS

EREIT maiden expansion into AUS; LREIT robust occupancy with limited expiry; SHG acquires Maxwell House; Business Parks +ve outlook; MEG sets 2021...

SCCM Asia Research

Singapore - The Hidden Gems

As a mature economy with stable businesses, Singapore's equity benchmarks are dominated by Banks & Government Linked Companies (GLC's) which...

River Valley Asset Management

REIT Watch - Four industrial S-Reits among best performing in the year to date

While the iEdge S-Reit Index (benchmark for the S-Reits cluster) returned flat in the year to date, the top 10 performing S-Reits within the...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

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