Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>CTBC's (likely) goal is to boost <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shin-kong-financial-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15351:1" rel="noopener">Shin Kong (2888 TT)</a>'s shares, so as to make the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taishin-financial-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:715:1" rel="noopener">Taishin Financial Holding (2887 TT)</a> merger unpalatable for Shin Kong shareholders. That smells of opportunity.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-matheson-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19718:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP)</a> is trading cheap to NAV and its implied stub. It may well get cheaper.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Motor (7203 JP)</a>'s resulting supply/demand profile is mixed, but on balance, expect to see positive demand into the H1 earnings announcement. Watch for another buyback possibly announced then.</li>
</ul>


CTBC's (likely) goal is to boost Shin Kong (2888 TT)'s shares, so as to make the Taishin Financial Holding (2887 TT) merger unpalatable for Shin Kong shareholders. That smells of opportunity.

Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP) is trading cheap to NAV and its implied stub. It may well get cheaper.

Toyota Motor (7203 JP)'s resulting supply/demand profile is mixed, but on balance, expect to see positive demand into the H1 earnings announcement. Watch for another buyback possibly announced then.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Shin Kong/Taishin Financial, Jardine Matheson, Toyota Motors, Huafa Props

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, and 200 indices in the December 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We see four expected ADDs/DELs for BSE 100 and six expected ADDs/DELs for BSE 200.</li>
<li>The BSE 100 handling rules for names without futures and options (F&amp;O) sometimes punish companies that have enjoyed good share price rallies and Zomato could fall into such a trap.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, and 200 indices in the December 2024 index rebal event.
We see four expected ADDs/DELs for BSE 100 and six expected ADDs/DELs for BSE 200.
The BSE 100 handling rules for names without futures and options (F&amp;O) sometimes punish companies that have enjoyed good share price rallies and Zomato could fall into such a trap.


Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Dec 24: Zomato Needs F&O Membership to Avoid BSE 100 Deletion

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

InterGlobe Aviation Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/interglobe-aviation-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24877:1" rel="noopener">InterGlobe Aviation Ltd (INDIGO IN)</a>’s co-founder, Rakesh Gangwal, aims to raise around US$850m via selling around 3.8% stake in Indigo.</li>
<li>He had earlier stated his intention to pare down his stake after a long drawn, and very public battle, with his co-founder Rahul Bhatia. He has sold many times before.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.</li>
</ul>



InterGlobe Aviation Ltd (INDIGO IN)’s co-founder, Rakesh Gangwal, aims to raise around US$850m via selling around 3.8% stake in Indigo.
He had earlier stated his intention to pare down his stake after a long drawn, and very public battle, with his co-founder Rahul Bhatia. He has sold many times before.
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.


Interglobe Aviation (Indigo) Placement - Another US$800m+ Deal, This Time by the Correct Co-Founder

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, we looked at a number of upcoming listings in India.</li>
<li>There was a revival in placement flows during the week, after a lull over the past few weeks.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
On the IPO front, we looked at a number of upcoming listings in India.
There was a revival in placement flows during the week, after a lull over the past few weeks.


ECM Weekly (26th Aug 2024) - Zomato, Colowide, Star Asia, Yamaha, 99Speed, Hero Fin, Bajaj Housing

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOMATO IN)</a> has a market cap of over US$27bn but is not a member of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index</a> since it is not an F&amp;O member.</li>
<li>Once SEBI's proposed and enhanced stock inclusion thresholds are implemented, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOMATO IN)</a> should be added to the F&amp;O segment of the market.</li>
<li>Passive <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index</a> will have to buy a lot of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato</a> stock at subsequent rebalances. The impact will be higher given the lower real float.</li>
</ul>



Zomato (ZOMATO IN) has a market cap of over US$27bn but is not a member of the NIFTY Index and S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index since it is not an F&amp;O member.
Once SEBI's proposed and enhanced stock inclusion thresholds are implemented, Zomato (ZOMATO IN) should be added to the F&amp;O segment of the market.
Passive NIFTY Index and S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index will have to buy a lot of Zomato stock at subsequent rebalances. The impact will be higher given the lower real float.


Zomato: Index Inclusions & Passive Impact (Once Added to F&O)

India

Eternal Limited is an online restaurant guide and food ordering platform. The Company offers platform connects customers, restaurants, and delivery partners to search and discover restaurants, read and write customer generated reviews, order food delivery, book a table, and make payments while dining-out at restaurants. Eternal serves customers worldwide.

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Eternal (ETERNAL IN)

Last Week in Event SPACE: Shin Kong/Taishin Financial, Jardine Matheson, Toyota Motors, Huafa Props

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/SENSEX Dec 24: Zomato Needs F&O Membership to Avoid BSE 100 Deletion

Zomato does not have F&O membership and it could violate a BSE Sensex Next 50 selection rule which would trigger a BSE 100 deletion. To escape...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Interglobe Aviation (Indigo) Placement - Another US$800m+ Deal, This Time by the Correct Co-Founder

InterGlobe Aviation Ltd (INDIGO IN)’s co-founder, Rakesh Gangwal, aims to raise around US$850m via selling around 3.8% stake in Indigo.

Sumeet Singh

ECM Weekly (26th Aug 2024) - Zomato, Colowide, Star Asia, Yamaha, 99Speed, Hero Fin, Bajaj Housing

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

Zomato: Index Inclusions & Passive Impact (Once Added to F&O)

Inclusion in the F&O segment will see Zomato added to the NIFTY and SENSEX and deleted from the NIFTYJR. Passives will need to buy a lot of real...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

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Last Week in Event SPACE: Shin Kong/Taishin Financial, Jardine Matheson, Toyota Motors, Huafa Props

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Dec 24: Zomato Needs F&O Membership to Avoid BSE 100 Deletion

Zomato does not have F&O membership and it could violate a BSE Sensex Next 50 selection rule which would trigger a BSE 100 deletion. To escape...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Interglobe Aviation (Indigo) Placement - Another US$800m+ Deal, This Time by the Correct Co-Founder

InterGlobe Aviation Ltd (INDIGO IN)’s co-founder, Rakesh Gangwal, aims to raise around US$850m via selling around 3.8% stake in Indigo.

Sumeet Singh

ECM Weekly (26th Aug 2024) - Zomato, Colowide, Star Asia, Yamaha, 99Speed, Hero Fin, Bajaj Housing

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

Zomato: Index Inclusions & Passive Impact (Once Added to F&O)

Inclusion in the F&O segment will see Zomato added to the NIFTY and SENSEX and deleted from the NIFTYJR. Passives will need to buy a lot of real...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/SENSEX Dec 24: Zomato Needs F&O Membership to Avoid BSE 100 Deletion