Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>End December was the end of the review cutoff for a lot of indices that will rebalance within the next couple of months.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pexa-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34716:1" rel="noopener">PEXA Group (PXA AU)</a> replaces <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pendal-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15795:1" rel="noopener">Pendal Group (PDL AU)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> at the close on 12 January.</li>
<li>There were big outflows from Hong Kong and China focused ETFs led by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng H Share Index ETF (2828 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tracker-fund-of-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29257:1" rel="noopener">Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


End December was the end of the review cutoff for a lot of indices that will rebalance within the next couple of months.

PEXA Group (PXA AU) replaces Pendal Group (PDL AU) in the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) at the close on 12 January.
There were big outflows from Hong Kong and China focused ETFs led by Hang Seng H Share Index ETF (2828 HK) and Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK).


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSCEI, HSTECH, HSI, HSCI, KS200, KQ150, CSI300, SENSEX, LQ45, PSEi

<ul>
<li>One third of the way through the review period for the June rebalance, we see 9 potential changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>One way turnover is estimated at 3.3% and the impact on the expected deletions is a lot higher than the impact on the expected inclusions.</li>
<li>The potential adds have massively outperformed the potential deletes over the last year. We'd wait for a reversal before entering a trade here - worth monitoring.</li>
</ul>


One third of the way through the review period for the June rebalance, we see 9 potential changes to the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX). 
One way turnover is estimated at 3.3% and the impact on the expected deletions is a lot higher than the impact on the expected inclusions.
The potential adds have massively outperformed the potential deletes over the last year. We'd wait for a reversal before entering a trade here - worth monitoring.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview (June): Changes Keep Rolling In

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eubiologics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23739:1" rel="noopener">Eubiologics (206650 KS)</a> signed contract with UNICEF to deliver 67.1 million doses of its oral cholera vaccine, Euvichol-Plus, through 2023. Euvichol-Plus is the cash cow for the company.</li>
<li>The company’s COVID-19 vaccine EuCorVac-19 is in phase 3 trial and is one of the early movers among Korean vaccine manufacturers in terms of clinical timeline.</li>
<li>EuBiologics has successfully diversified portfolio and its pipeline of non-cholera vaccine and non-vaccine product candidates are also progressing, thereby lending long-term visibility beyond COVID.</li>
</ul>



Eubiologics (206650 KS) signed contract with UNICEF to deliver 67.1 million doses of its oral cholera vaccine, Euvichol-Plus, through 2023. Euvichol-Plus is the cash cow for the company.
The company’s COVID-19 vaccine EuCorVac-19 is in phase 3 trial and is one of the early movers among Korean vaccine manufacturers in terms of clinical timeline.
EuBiologics has successfully diversified portfolio and its pipeline of non-cholera vaccine and non-vaccine product candidates are also progressing, thereby lending long-term visibility beyond COVID.


EuBiologics (206650 KS): Base Business Recovery; COVID Vaccine Undergoing Phase 3 Trial

<div>The Korea Exchange (KRX) will announce the results of the December 2021 review of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> in November. The constituent changes will be effective after the close of trading on 9 December.</div><div>
With the review period complete, we see 15 potential inclusions and exclusions for the index at the December rebalance.
The potential inclusions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bioneer-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11487:1" rel="noopener">Bioneer Corp (064550 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bnc-korea-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34785:1" rel="noopener">BNC Korea (256840 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cellid-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34892:1" rel="noopener">Cellid (299660 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nanos-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16796:1" rel="noopener">Nanos Co Ltd (151910 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aptabio-therapeutics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34894:1" rel="noopener">AptaBio Therapeutics (293780 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/access-bio-inc-kdr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5729:1" rel="noopener">Access Bio Inc (950130 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wonik-qnc-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6828:1" rel="noopener">Wonik QnC Corp (074600 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/komico-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24033:1" rel="noopener">KoMiCo Ltd. (183300 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tk-chemical-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13428:1" rel="noopener">TK Chemical (104480 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kona-i-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19695:1" rel="noopener">Kona I Co Ltd (052400 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/coocon-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32234:1" rel="noopener">Coocon Corp (294570 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/interpark-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12073:1" rel="noopener">Interpark Holdings (035080 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dk-d-i-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9948:1" rel="noopener">Dk D&amp;I Co Ltd (033310 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/saraminhr-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8494:1" rel="noopener">SaraminHR (143240 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intellian-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34895:1" rel="noopener">Intellian Technologies (189300 KS)</a>.
The potential deletions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lemon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28841:1" rel="noopener">Lemon Co Ltd (294140 KQ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/g-treebnt-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1933:1" rel="noopener">G Treebnt (115450 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/spigen-korea-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9852:1" rel="noopener">Spigen Korea (192440 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wisol-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14463:1" rel="noopener">Wisol Co Ltd (122990 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dongkuk-structures-constru" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20412:1" rel="noopener">Dongkuk Structures &amp; Constru (100130 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ubiquoss-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14341:1" rel="noopener">Ubiquoss Holding (078070 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/icure-pharm-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27142:1" rel="noopener">Icure Pharm Inc (175250 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/winix-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19972:1" rel="noopener">Winix Inc (044340 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/telcon-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15231:1" rel="noopener">Telcon Inc (200230 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/danawa-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7191:1" rel="noopener">Danawa Co Ltd (119860 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/advanced-process-systems-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24087:1" rel="noopener">Advanced Process Systems (265520 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toptec-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7332:1" rel="noopener">Toptec Co Ltd (108230 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/optoelectronics-solutions-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2098:1" rel="noopener">Optoelectronics Solutions Co (138080 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/daea-ti-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1473:1" rel="noopener">Daea Ti Co Ltd (045390 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/unison-co-ltd-south-korea" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18617:1" rel="noopener">Unison Co Ltd (018000 KS)</a>.
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/huons-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16275:1" rel="noopener">Huons Co Ltd (084110 KS)</a> is a very close add and the corresponding deletion is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/koentec-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4049:1" rel="noopener">Koentec Co Ltd (029960 KS)</a>.
One-way turnover is estimated at 6.95% and the impact on the expected deletions is a lot higher than the impact on the expected inclusions.
The potential inclusions outperformed the potential deletions in August before returns flatlined in September and then dropped in October. There could be outperformance from now to the announcement of the changes.
</div>

The Korea Exchange (KRX) will announce the results of the December 2021 review of the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) in November. The constituent changes will be effective after the close of trading on 9 December.
With the review period complete, we see 15 potential inclusions and exclusions for the index at the December rebalance.
The potential inclusions are Bioneer Corp (064550 KS), BNC Korea (256840 KS), Cellid (299660 KS), Nanos Co Ltd (151910 KS), AptaBio Therapeutics (293780 KS), Access Bio Inc (950130 KS), Wonik QnC Corp (074600 KS), KoMiCo Ltd. (183300 KS), TK Chemical (104480 KS), Kona I Co Ltd (052400 KS), Coocon Corp (294570 KS), Interpark Holdings (035080 KS), Dk D&amp;I Co Ltd (033310 KS), SaraminHR (143240 KS) and Intellian Technologies (189300 KS).
The potential deletions are Lemon Co Ltd (294140 KQ), G Treebnt (115450 KS), Spigen Korea (192440 KS), Wisol Co Ltd (122990 KS), Dongkuk Structures &amp; Constru (100130 KS), Ubiquoss Holding (078070 KS), Icure Pharm Inc (175250 KS), Winix Inc (044340 KS), Telcon Inc (200230 KS), Danawa Co Ltd (119860 KS), Advanced Process Systems (265520 KS), Toptec Co Ltd (108230 KS), Optoelectronics Solutions Co (138080 KS), Daea Ti Co Ltd (045390 KS) and Unison Co Ltd (018000 KS).
Huons Co Ltd (084110 KS) is a very close add and the corresponding deletion is Koentec Co Ltd (029960 KS).
One-way turnover is estimated at 6.95% and the impact on the expected deletions is a lot higher than the impact on the expected inclusions.
The potential inclusions outperformed the potential deletions in August before returns flatlined in September and then dropped in October. There could be outperformance from now to the announcement of the changes.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: 15 Potential Changes and Large Turnover

On 16 July, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/green-cross-labcell-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33237:1" rel="noopener">Green Cross LabCell (144510 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/green-cross-cell-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15811:1" rel="noopener">Green Cross Cell (031390 KS)</a> announced that they had entered into a definitive merger agreement to combine in an all stock transaction. For each share of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/green-cross-cell-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15811:1" rel="noopener">Green Cross Cell (031390 KS)</a> held, shareholders would receive 0.4023542 shares of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/green-cross-labcell-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33237:1" rel="noopener">Green Cross LabCell (144510 KS)</a>.On 13 September, shareholders approved the merger at the EGM and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/green-cross-labcell-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33237:1" rel="noopener">Green Cross LabCell (144510 KS)</a> is the surviving entity. Both stocks will be suspended from 28 October and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/green-cross-labcell-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33237:1" rel="noopener">Green Cross LabCell (144510 KS)</a> is expected to resume trading on 17 November.Both stocks are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> constituents and the merger will open up a spot in the index.Last evening post market close, the KRX announced that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eubiologics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23739:1" rel="noopener">Eubiologics (206650 KS)</a> would be added to the index at the close of trading on 27 October. The stock was a high probability inclusion at the December rebalance and will now get index membership next week instead. This will also make the stock short-sell eligible from the open on 28 October.Passive funds benchmarked to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> will need to buy 1.29m shares (KRW 60.3bn; 1.1 days of ADV) of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eubiologics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23739:1" rel="noopener">Eubiologics (206650 KS)</a> at the close on 27 October.The impact on the Green Cross stocks will be a lot lower since we expect most trackers to swap their shares in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/green-cross-cell-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15811:1" rel="noopener">Green Cross Cell (031390 KS)</a> for shares in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/green-cross-labcell-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33237:1" rel="noopener">Green Cross LabCell (144510 KS)</a>, unless the price ratio deviates significantly from the merger ratio.

On 16 July, Green Cross LabCell (144510 KS) and Green Cross Cell (031390 KS) announced that they had entered into a definitive merger agreement to combine in an all stock transaction. For each share of Green Cross Cell (031390 KS) held, shareholders would receive 0.4023542 shares of Green Cross LabCell (144510 KS).On 13 September, shareholders approved the merger at the EGM and Green Cross LabCell (144510 KS) is the surviving entity. Both stocks will be suspended from 28 October and Green Cross LabCell (144510 KS) is expected to resume trading on 17 November.Both stocks are KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) constituents and the merger will open up a spot in the index.Last evening post market close, the KRX announced that Eubiologics (206650 KS) would be added to the index at the close of trading on 27 October. The stock was a high probability inclusion at the December rebalance and will now get index membership next week instead. This will also make the stock short-sell eligible from the open on 28 October.Passive funds benchmarked to the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) will need to buy 1.29m shares (KRW 60.3bn; 1.1 days of ADV) of Eubiologics (206650 KS) at the close on 27 October.The impact on the Green Cross stocks will be a lot lower since we expect most trackers to swap their shares in Green Cross Cell (031390 KS) for shares in Green Cross LabCell (144510 KS), unless the price ratio deviates significantly from the merger ratio.

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance: Green Cross Merger & EuBiologics Addition

South Korea

Eubiologics Co. Ltd. researches and develops biopharmaceuticals. The Company offers bacterial vaccines for new epidemics and antibiotic resistance. Eubiologics operates in South Korea.

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Eubiologics (206650 KS)

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