Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

Price and RS uptrends for the MSCI EM index continues to underpin our bullish outlook for emerging market equities -- remain overweight. We continue to attribute much of EM’s outperformance to the intact downtrend in the US dollar (DXY). As long as weakness in the DXY persists we believe EM’s outperformance is likely to continue.

Price and RS uptrends for the MSCI EM index continues to underpin our bullish outlook for emerging market equities -- remain overweight. We continue to attribute much of EM’s outperformance to the intact downtrend in the US dollar (DXY). As long as weakness in the DXY persists we believe EM’s outperformance is likely to continue.

EM Remains Global Leadership -- Remain Overweight

We are no longer recommending an overweight to China (MSCI China) due to recent RS deterioration. Our favorite countries remain Taiwan (TAIEX) and India (SENSEX), while Brazil (Bovespa) and South Korea (KOSPI) display improving price and RS trends -- add exposure. MSCI EM Technology and Materials are our top two Sector overweights. Additionally, the EM Health Care Sector shows bullish price and RS inflections, making it a timely Sector to add exposure to at current levels.

We are no longer recommending an overweight to China (MSCI China) due to recent RS deterioration. Our favorite countries remain Taiwan (TAIEX) and India (SENSEX), while Brazil (Bovespa) and South Korea (KOSPI) display improving price and RS trends -- add exposure. MSCI EM Technology and Materials are our top two Sector overweights. Additionally, the EM Health Care Sector shows bullish price and RS inflections, making it a timely Sector to add exposure to at current levels.

Overweight EM Vs. EAFE; Dollar Weakness Continues

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of CSI 100 in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on CHINA STATE CONSTRUCTION ENGINEERING, CHONGQING ZHIFEI BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, TONGWEI, SERES, CHINA VANKE, POLY DEVELOPMENTS AND, CSSC.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of CSI 100 in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on CHINA STATE CONSTRUCTION ENGINEERING, CHONGQING ZHIFEI BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, TONGWEI, SERES, CHINA VANKE, POLY DEVELOPMENTS AND, CSSC.


CSI 100 Index Earning Revision (May): CHINA STATE CONSTRUCTION ENGINEERING, TONGWEI, SERES, CSSC

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Contemporary Amperex Technology / Equity Capital Markets

Contemporary Amperex Technology (3750 HK)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-technology-catl-co-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45179:1" rel="noopener">Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (3750 HK)</a> (CATL) is now looking to raise US$5bn via issuing new shares.</li>
<li>Two weeks ago we wrote about how CATL could look to raise US$5bn via a primary issuance, since then nearly US$4.5bn worth of secondary deals have taken place.</li>
<li>In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about the deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (3750 HK) (CATL) is now looking to raise US$5bn via issuing new shares.
Two weeks ago we wrote about how CATL could look to raise US$5bn via a primary issuance, since then nearly US$4.5bn worth of secondary deals have taken place.
In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about the deal dynamics.


Aequitas: CATL H-Share Placement- Will Be Very Well Flagged US$5bn Deal but Last Deal Didn’t Do Well

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Solactive has announced the review results for the Global Lithium Index. There are no constituent changes but there will be capping changes for some stocks.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 7.8% and will result in a round-trip trade of US$360m.</li>
<li>The largest inflows are estimated to be in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tesla-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20279:1" rel="noopener">Tesla</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD </a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eve-energy-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14769:1" rel="noopener">EVE Energy</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-energy-solution" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33464:1" rel="noopener">LG Energy Solution</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tdk-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18847:1" rel="noopener">TDK Corp</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naura-technology-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2333:1" rel="noopener">NAURA Technology Group</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-technolog" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24404:1" rel="noopener">Contemporary Amperex Technology</a>.</li>
</ul>


Solactive has announced the review results for the Global Lithium Index. There are no constituent changes but there will be capping changes for some stocks.
Estimated one-way turnover is 7.8% and will result in a round-trip trade of US$360m.
The largest inflows are estimated to be in Tesla , BYD , EVE Energy, LG Energy Solution, TDK Corp, NAURA Technology Group and Contemporary Amperex Technology.


Solactive Global Lithium Index Rebalance: Capping Changes in April

China

EVE Energy Co., Ltd researches, manufactures and sells lithium battery.  The Company also provides portable power source solutions.

Price Gauge
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EVE Energy (300014 CH)

EM Remains Global Leadership -- Remain Overweight

Price and RS uptrends for the MSCI EM index continues to underpin our bullish outlook for emerging market equities -- remain overweight.

Vermilion Research

Overweight EM Vs. EAFE; Dollar Weakness Continues

Our favorite countries remain Taiwan (TAIEX) and India (SENSEX), while Brazil (Bovespa) and South Korea (KOSPI) display improving price and RS...

Vermilion Research

CSI 100 Index Earning Revision (May): CHINA STATE CONSTRUCTION ENGINEERING, TONGWEI, SERES, CSSC

We analyzed CSI 100's consensus for May 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in CHINA STATE CONSTRUCTION ENGINEERING (601668 CH), CHONGQING ZHIFEI...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Solactive Global Lithium Index Rebalance: Capping Changes in April

There are no constituent changes for the index in April, but there are capping changes. Estimated one-way turnover is 7.8% and will result in a...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

EM Remains Global Leadership -- Remain Overweight

Price and RS uptrends for the MSCI EM index continues to underpin our bullish outlook for emerging market equities -- remain overweight.

Vermilion Research

Overweight EM Vs. EAFE; Dollar Weakness Continues

Our favorite countries remain Taiwan (TAIEX) and India (SENSEX), while Brazil (Bovespa) and South Korea (KOSPI) display improving price and RS...

Vermilion Research

CSI 100 Index Earning Revision (May): CHINA STATE CONSTRUCTION ENGINEERING, TONGWEI, SERES, CSSC

We analyzed CSI 100's consensus for May 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in CHINA STATE CONSTRUCTION ENGINEERING (601668 CH), CHONGQING ZHIFEI...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Aequitas: CATL H-Share Placement- Will Be Very Well Flagged US$5bn Deal but Last Deal Didn’t Do Well

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (3750 HK) (CATL) is now looking to raise US$5bn via issuing new shares. In this note, we talk about the deal...

Sumeet Singh

Solactive Global Lithium Index Rebalance: Capping Changes in April

There are no constituent changes for the index in April, but there are capping changes. Estimated one-way turnover is 7.8% and will result in a...

Brian Freitas