Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Wanda Commercial Management Group / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Wanda Commercial Management Group (WCMG) is looking to raise up to US$4bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>WCMG is a commercial operation service provider. As of Oct 2021, the firm managed 398 malls with total gross floor area (GFA) under management of 56.5m sqm.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>


Wanda Commercial Management Group (WCMG) is looking to raise up to US$4bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
WCMG is a commercial operation service provider. As of Oct 2021, the firm managed 398 malls with total gross floor area (GFA) under management of 56.5m sqm.
In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


Wanda Commercial Management Group Pre-IPO - The Positives - Aiming for One of HK's Largest 2022 IPOs

Sunac China Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Sunac is looking to raise around US$500m via a top-up placement.</li>
<li>The company last raised cash in Nov 21 when it undertook a top-up placement worth US$500m and raised another US$270m via  selldown in Sunac Services.</li>
<li>That deal didn’t end up doing well and this deal as well won’t move the needle much, in terms of bringing down debt.</li>
</ul>


Sunac is looking to raise around US$500m via a top-up placement.
The company last raised cash in Nov 21 when it undertook a top-up placement worth US$500m and raised another US$270m via  selldown in Sunac Services.
That deal didn’t end up doing well and this deal as well won’t move the needle much, in terms of bringing down debt.


Sunac China Placement - Previous Deal Didn’t Do Much, This Won’t Move the Needle Either

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index</a> ended on 31 December. The changes will be announced on 18 February and implemented on 4 March.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xinyi-solar-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:318:1" rel="noopener">Xinyi Solar Holdings (968 HK)</a> is a potential inclusion, replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/evergrande-property-services" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30921:1" rel="noopener">Evergrande Property Services (6666 HK)</a> though both names are very close to the cutoffs.</li>
<li>Changes in the free-float adjustment factors could result in no change to the index, while there is an outside chance of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bilibili-inc-83a27302-cd7d-4e6a-a1de-bcf93eb022c3" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32215:1" rel="noopener">Bilibili (9626 HK)</a> being included in the index.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance of the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index ended on 31 December. The changes will be announced on 18 February and implemented on 4 March.

Xinyi Solar Holdings (968 HK) is a potential inclusion, replacing Evergrande Property Services (6666 HK) though both names are very close to the cutoffs.
Changes in the free-float adjustment factors could result in no change to the index, while there is an outside chance of Bilibili (9626 HK) being included in the index.


HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview (March 2022): One Potential Change with Caveats

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-evergrande-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:479:1" rel="noopener">Evergrande (3333 HK)</a></strong> resurfaces as "cheap" on my monitor versus <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-evergrande-new-energy-vehicle-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:713:1" rel="noopener"><strong>Evergrande Auto (708 HK)</strong></a>, but the equity is still best viewed from the sidelines.</li>
<li>Preceding my comments on Evergrande, are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos. </li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>



Evergrande (3333 HK) resurfaces as "cheap" on my monitor versus Evergrande Auto (708 HK), but the equity is still best viewed from the sidelines.
Preceding my comments on Evergrande, are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos. 
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


StubWorld: Evergrande Trading "Cheap" But Still Uninvestable

Hang Seng China Enterprises Index / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With the 2021 futures expiring in 2 weeks, the focus now shifts to the HSCEI dividend futures expiring in 2022 where we see a fair value of 240.76 DIPS.</li>
<li>The current market is trading very close to our fair value for 2022 but there are a lot of potential catalysts that could result in a big move lower.</li>
<li>There are fewer catalysts for the 2022 futures to move higher. The regulatory changes in China plus the HFCAA could lead to the 2023 futures trading cheaper to 2022.</li>
</ul>


With the 2021 futures expiring in 2 weeks, the focus now shifts to the HSCEI dividend futures expiring in 2022 where we see a fair value of 240.76 DIPS.
The current market is trading very close to our fair value for 2022 but there are a lot of potential catalysts that could result in a big move lower.
There are fewer catalysts for the 2022 futures to move higher. The regulatory changes in China plus the HFCAA could lead to the 2023 futures trading cheaper to 2022.


HSCEI Dividend Futures: 2022 Close to Fair; Sell 22/23 Steepener

China

Evergrande Property Services Group Limited operates as property management service providers. The Company provides property management services for high-end residential, theme parks, industrial parks, healthcare complexes, and other buildings. Evergrande Property Services Group offers services in China.

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Evergrande Property Services (6666 HK)

Wanda Commercial Management Group Pre-IPO - The Positives - Aiming for One of HK's Largest 2022 IPOs

Wanda Commercial Management Group (WCMG) is looking to raise up to US$4bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk about the positive...

Sumeet Singh

Sunac China Placement - Previous Deal Didn’t Do Much, This Won’t Move the Needle Either

Sunac is looking to raise around US$500m via a top-up placement. In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM Framework.

Sumeet Singh

HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview (March 2022): One Potential Change with Caveats

Xinyi Solar could replace Evergrande Property Services in the HSCEI at the March rebalance. Changes in the FAF for the stocks could either mean no...

Brian Freitas

StubWorld: Evergrande Trading "Cheap" But Still Uninvestable

It is now a question of when and how the debt gets restructured. Best to watch from the cheap seats. Evergrande's equity remains un-investable.

David Blennerhassett

HSCEI Dividend Futures: 2022 Close to Fair; Sell 22/23 Steepener

The HSCEI 2022 dividend futures are trading close to fair but there are a lot more negative catalysts that will have a bigger impact than positive...

Brian Freitas

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