Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

Commodities

<ul><li>Signs of easing supply tightness emerged across Asia as crude prices extended their decline, encouraging buyers to hold back.</li><li>South Korea and India maintained high base oils run-rates in April despite global disruptions and pressure to prioritise diesel output, supporting steady regional supply.</li><li>China’s high domestic base oils output curbed import demand, while stronger lubricants exports increased volumes in external markets.</li></ul>

Signs of easing supply tightness emerged across Asia as crude prices extended their decline, encouraging buyers to hold back.South Korea and India maintained high base oils run-rates in April despite global disruptions and pressure to prioritise diesel output, supporting steady regional supply.China’s high domestic base oils output curbed import demand, while stronger lubricants exports increased volumes in external markets.

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 29 May '26

Equity & Credit Research

Duncan Chan

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>Potential de-escalation may compress risk premiums, but Treasury yields around 4.5–5.0% still compete with equities, suggesting broader participation may remain selective near term.</li>
<li>Aluminium increasingly stands out as inventories declined approximately 7–8% and physical conditions tightened, while copper remains broadly consistent with surplus expectations.</li>
<li>Evidence remains more supportive for energy security and infrastructure themes, including uranium, AI infrastructure and offshore rigs, while coal and lithium still require clearer signs of tightening.</li>
</ul>


Potential de-escalation may compress risk premiums, but Treasury yields around 4.5–5.0% still compete with equities, suggesting broader participation may remain selective near term.
Aluminium increasingly stands out as inventories declined approximately 7–8% and physical conditions tightened, while copper remains broadly consistent with surplus expectations.
Evidence remains more supportive for energy security and infrastructure themes, including uranium, AI infrastructure and offshore rigs, while coal and lithium still require clearer signs of tightening.


US-Iran De-Escalation: Looking Beyond Risk Premiums

<ul><li>Cargo of Group II light and heavy-grade base oils loaded from Taiwan this week before heading to Vietnam, set to arrive in coming days.</li><li>Taiwan’s export volumes so far in May remained similar to April and below March levels.</li><li>Cargo of Group III base oils loaded from Indonesia in second-half March before heading to Northwest Europe, arrived in recent days.</li></ul>

Cargo of Group II light and heavy-grade base oils loaded from Taiwan this week before heading to Vietnam, set to arrive in coming days.Taiwan’s export volumes so far in May remained similar to April and below March levels.Cargo of Group III base oils loaded from Indonesia in second-half March before heading to Northwest Europe, arrived in recent days.

Global Base Oils Cargo Flows: Week To 22 May

<ul><li>Asia's export cushion narrowed as South Korea, Taiwan and Singapore flows all weakened simultaneously — leaving global markets with less cover</li><li>South Korea's April exports to the US slumped to a near-six-year low — deepening Group III supply risks as Middle East flows stayed halted</li><li>Singapore's April imports temporarily eased regional pressure — but softer May exports pointed to the buffer starting to thin</li></ul>

Asia's export cushion narrowed as South Korea, Taiwan and Singapore flows all weakened simultaneously — leaving global markets with less coverSouth Korea's April exports to the US slumped to a near-six-year low — deepening Group III supply risks as Middle East flows stayed haltedSingapore's April imports temporarily eased regional pressure — but softer May exports pointed to the buffer starting to thin

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 22 May '26

<ul><li>Asia's supply outlook turned more mixed — elevated Singapore trade flows and high China output cushioned disruptions even as Taiwan and South Korea signalled tightening availability</li><li>China's high base oils output softened the impact of global disruptions domestically — but reliance on imported Group III left exposure to tighter overseas markets</li><li>Taiwan's April shipments fell to multi-month lows while May cargo flows stayed subdued — pointing to shrinking Asia export availability</li></ul>

Asia's supply outlook turned more mixed — elevated Singapore trade flows and high China output cushioned disruptions even as Taiwan and South Korea signalled tightening availabilityChina's high base oils output softened the impact of global disruptions domestically — but reliance on imported Group III left exposure to tighter overseas marketsTaiwan's April shipments fell to multi-month lows while May cargo flows stayed subdued — pointing to shrinking Asia export availability

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 15 May '26

United States

Exxon Mobil Corporation operates petroleum and petrochemicals businesses on a worldwide basis.  The Company's operations include exploration and production of oil and gas, electric power generation, and coal and minerals operations. Exxon Mobil also manufactures and markets fuels, lubricants, and chemicals.

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Exxon Mobil (XOM US)

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 29 May '26

Signs of easing supply tightness emerged across Asia as crude prices extended their decline, encouraging buyers to hold back. South Korea and...

Base Oil News

US-Iran De-Escalation: Looking Beyond Risk Premiums

Re-sharing as recent market developments continue to raise the question of whether fading geopolitical risk premiums alone are enough to support...

Duncan Chan

Global Base Oils Cargo Flows: Week To 22 May

Cargo of Group II light and heavy-grade base oils loaded from Taiwan this week before heading to Vietnam, set to arrive in coming days. Taiwan’s...

Base Oil News

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 22 May '26

Asia's export cushion narrowed as South Korea, Taiwan and Singapore flows all weakened simultaneously — leaving global markets with less...

Base Oil News

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 15 May '26

Asia's supply outlook turned more mixed — elevated Singapore trade flows and high China output cushioned disruptions even as Taiwan and South...

Base Oil News

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