Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

Commodities

<ul><li>Global base oils values mostly hold firm versus feedstock/competing fuel prices, even as they remain down from recent highs in Q2 2025.</li><li>Firm base oils margins coincide with strong diesel premium to crude oil that incentivizes refiners to boost output of the motor fuel.</li><li>Any such move would likely impact light-grade base oils more than heavy grades, whose firm margins incentivize refiners to maintain high output of the product.</li></ul>

Global base oils values mostly hold firm versus feedstock/competing fuel prices, even as they remain down from recent highs in Q2 2025.Firm base oils margins coincide with strong diesel premium to crude oil that incentivizes refiners to boost output of the motor fuel.Any such move would likely impact light-grade base oils more than heavy grades, whose firm margins incentivize refiners to maintain high output of the product.

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 7 July

<ul><li>US Group II export base oils price-premium to vacuum gasoil starts Q3 2025 at slightly lower levels than at start of Q3 2024.</li><li>In Q3 2024, US base oils price premium to VGO extends rise after surging from end-Q1 2024.</li><li>US base oils price-premium to VGO extends surge in Q3 2024 even with less feasible arbitrage to outlets like Europe, Middle East and India.</li></ul>

US Group II export base oils price-premium to vacuum gasoil starts Q3 2025 at slightly lower levels than at start of Q3 2024.In Q3 2024, US base oils price premium to VGO extends rise after surging from end-Q1 2024.US base oils price-premium to VGO extends surge in Q3 2024 even with less feasible arbitrage to outlets like Europe, Middle East and India.

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 7 July

Oil and Gas, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Oil and Gas

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 27/Jun, U.S. crude inventories rose by 3.8m barrels (vs. expectations of a 3.5m barrel decline). Gasoline stockpiles rose more than expected.</li>
<li>The EIA reported a 55 Bcf storage build, while analysts forecasted a 48 Bcf increase. Storage levels are 6.2% above the five-year average but 5.6% below year-ago levels.</li>
<li>BlackRock may offload its gas pipeline stake back to Aramco, while JP Morgan cut its 12-month PT on SLB and Goldman Sachs did the same for Halliburton.</li>
</ul>


For the week ending 27/Jun, U.S. crude inventories rose by 3.8m barrels (vs. expectations of a 3.5m barrel decline). Gasoline stockpiles rose more than expected.
The EIA reported a 55 Bcf storage build, while analysts forecasted a 48 Bcf increase. Storage levels are 6.2% above the five-year average but 5.6% below year-ago levels.
BlackRock may offload its gas pipeline stake back to Aramco, while JP Morgan cut its 12-month PT on SLB and Goldman Sachs did the same for Halliburton.


[ETP 2025/27] WTI Volatile on Supply Risks; Henry Hub Slips on Softer Demand Outlook

<ul><li>Global base oils prices recover versus feedstock/competing fuel prices after crude prices fall.</li><li>Firmer base oils price-differentials curb pressure on refiners to adjust output in response to squeezed margins.</li><li>Firmer margins, and easing pressure to adjust output, coincide with prospect of easing supply-demand fundamentals in coming weeks.</li></ul>

Global base oils prices recover versus feedstock/competing fuel prices after crude prices fall.Firmer base oils price-differentials curb pressure on refiners to adjust output in response to squeezed margins.Firmer margins, and easing pressure to adjust output, coincide with prospect of easing supply-demand fundamentals in coming weeks.

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 30 June

<ul><li>Global Group II heavy-grade base oils prices stay at elevated levels relative to feedstock and competing fuel prices.</li><li>Group II heavy-grade prices maintain steep premium to Group I heavy-neutrals prices in Asia and especially in Europe.</li><li>Group II heavy-grade price-strength extends to markets like India, even with recent strength in Group I prices in that market.</li></ul>

Global Group II heavy-grade base oils prices stay at elevated levels relative to feedstock and competing fuel prices.Group II heavy-grade prices maintain steep premium to Group I heavy-neutrals prices in Asia and especially in Europe.Group II heavy-grade price-strength extends to markets like India, even with recent strength in Group I prices in that market.

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 30 June

United States

Exxon Mobil Corporation operates petroleum and petrochemicals businesses on a worldwide basis.  The Company's operations include exploration and production of oil and gas, electric power generation, and coal and minerals operations. Exxon Mobil also manufactures and markets fuels, lubricants, and chemicals.

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Exxon Mobil (XOM US)

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 7 July

Global base oils values mostly hold firm versus feedstock/competing fuel prices, even as they remain down from recent highs in Q2 2025. Firm base...

Base Oil News

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 7 July

US Group II export base oils price-premium to vacuum gasoil starts Q3 2025 at slightly lower levels than at start of Q3 2024. In Q3 2024, US base...

Base Oil News

[ETP 2025/27] WTI Volatile on Supply Risks; Henry Hub Slips on Softer Demand Outlook

US crude inventories unexpectedly rose, gasoline stockpiles increased, natural gas storage levels are above average but below last year, BlackRock...

Mint Finance

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 30 June

Global base oils prices recover versus feedstock/competing fuel prices after crude prices fall. Firmer base oils price-differentials curb pressure...

Base Oil News

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 30 June

Global Group II heavy-grade base oils prices stay at elevated levels relative to feedstock and competing fuel prices. Group II heavy-grade prices...

Base Oil News

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 7 July

Global base oils values mostly hold firm versus feedstock/competing fuel prices, even as they remain down from recent highs in Q2 2025. Firm base...

Base Oil News

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 7 July

US Group II export base oils price-premium to vacuum gasoil starts Q3 2025 at slightly lower levels than at start of Q3 2024. In Q3 2024, US base...

Base Oil News

[ETP 2025/27] WTI Volatile on Supply Risks; Henry Hub Slips on Softer Demand Outlook

​US crude inventories unexpectedly rose, gasoline stockpiles increased, natural gas storage levels are above average but below last year, BlackRock...

Mint Finance

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 30 June

Global base oils prices recover versus feedstock/competing fuel prices after crude prices fall. Firmer base oils price-differentials curb pressure...

Base Oil News

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 30 June

Global Group II heavy-grade base oils prices stay at elevated levels relative to feedstock and competing fuel prices. Group II heavy-grade prices...

Base Oil News

US crude inventories unexpectedly rose, gasoline stockpiles increased, natural gas storage levels are above average but below last year, BlackRock...