IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nidec-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7245:1" rel="noopener">Nidec Corp (6594 JP)</a> announced a hostile preconditional tender offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/makino-milling-machine-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5200:1" rel="noopener">Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP)</a> at JPY11,000 per share, an 18.9% premium to the last close.</li>
<li>The offer is preconditioned on several regulatory approvals. It is scheduled to start on 4 April, even if the Board does not recommend it. </li>
<li>The Board has three options: engage to facilitate a friendly offer, find a white knight bidder and launch an ambitious MTM plan to thwart the offer. </li>
</ul>



Nidec Corp (6594 JP) announced a hostile preconditional tender offer for Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP) at JPY11,000 per share, an 18.9% premium to the last close.
The offer is preconditioned on several regulatory approvals. It is scheduled to start on 4 April, even if the Board does not recommend it. 
The Board has three options: engage to facilitate a friendly offer, find a white knight bidder and launch an ambitious MTM plan to thwart the offer. 


Makino Milling Machine (6135 JP): Nidec’s (6594 JP) Hostile Preconditional Tender Offer at JPY11,000

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pentamaster-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31099:1" rel="noopener">Pentamaster International (1665 HK)</a> disclosed a Cayman scheme privatisation offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pentamaster-corp-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15302:1" rel="noopener">Pentamaster Corp (PENT MK)</a> and AchiCapital at HK$1.00 (HK$0.93 cash + HK$0.07 dividend), a 56.3% premium to the undisturbed price. </li>
<li>The offer is final but unattractive compared to peer multiples. The shareholder with a blocking stake is a seller, but there is risk due to a high AGM participation rate.</li>
<li>An arguably light offer in which the Holdco is privatising its OpCo by arbitraging the valuation discrepancies across two exchanges may not sit well with minorities.</li>
</ul>



Pentamaster International (1665 HK) disclosed a Cayman scheme privatisation offer from Pentamaster Corp (PENT MK) and AchiCapital at HK$1.00 (HK$0.93 cash + HK$0.07 dividend), a 56.3% premium to the undisturbed price. 
The offer is final but unattractive compared to peer multiples. The shareholder with a blocking stake is a seller, but there is risk due to a high AGM participation rate.
An arguably light offer in which the Holdco is privatising its OpCo by arbitraging the valuation discrepancies across two exchanges may not sit well with minorities.


Pentamaster International (1665 HK): Pentamaster Corp and AchiCapital’s Light Scheme Offer

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Equity Bottom-Up

Shanghai Electric Group Company / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong markets continue to outperform global equity markets this year outperforming the MSCI Asia Pacific index by a substantial margin.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-electric-group-company-limited-d542164d-4d5a-4ce0-b33e-5fe6bc34722c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8777:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Electric Group Company (2727 HK)</a> has a breakout pattern to a new high as it re-rates as a China robotics company.
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-railway-construction-corp-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:263:1" rel="noopener">China Railway Construction Corp (1186 HK)</a> has a breakout from a symmetrical triangle pattern showing further upside as valuations within the sector remain depressed. 
</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong markets continue to outperform global equity markets this year outperforming the MSCI Asia Pacific index by a substantial margin.

Shanghai Electric Group Company (2727 HK) has a breakout pattern to a new high as it re-rates as a China robotics company.


China Railway Construction Corp (1186 HK) has a breakout from a symmetrical triangle pattern showing further upside as valuations within the sector remain depressed. 



Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (OCTOBER 27)

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The Nikkei 225 index dropped by 2.7% this week, closing at 37,913 points, due to political uncertainty ahead of Japan's general election, rising global bond yields, and disappointing economic data</li>
<li>Japan's weakening services and manufacturing sectors, as indicated by declining PMIs and easing inflation, highlight slowing domestic demand and economic uncertainty, raising concerns about future growth prospects.</li>
<li>Konica Minolta (4902): Gained 25% after activist investor, Effissimo Capital, declared a significant 5.8% stake in the company.</li>
</ul>


The Nikkei 225 index dropped by 2.7% this week, closing at 37,913 points, due to political uncertainty ahead of Japan's general election, rising global bond yields, and disappointing economic data
Japan's weakening services and manufacturing sectors, as indicated by declining PMIs and easing inflation, highlight slowing domestic demand and economic uncertainty, raising concerns about future growth prospects.
Konica Minolta (4902): Gained 25% after activist investor, Effissimo Capital, declared a significant 5.8% stake in the company.


Japan Weekly | Nikkei Drops; Political Uncertainty; Weakening Economy

<ul>
<li>Fanuc’s Q2 operating income surged 25% year-on-year, but the beat was driven by a one-time 9 billion yen unrealized profit, raising concerns about sustainability.</li>
<li>Total orders fell from 198 billion yen to 186 billion yen, with a notable slowdown in Factory Automation orders, particularly in China.</li>
<li>Despite inventory reductions, Fanuc’s inventory/sales ratio remains elevated at 43%; shares down 9% since Q1 and underperforming the broader index for the year.</li>
</ul>


Fanuc’s Q2 operating income surged 25% year-on-year, but the beat was driven by a one-time 9 billion yen unrealized profit, raising concerns about sustainability.
Total orders fell from 198 billion yen to 186 billion yen, with a notable slowdown in Factory Automation orders, particularly in China.
Despite inventory reductions, Fanuc’s inventory/sales ratio remains elevated at 43%; shares down 9% since Q1 and underperforming the broader index for the year.


Fanuc (6954) | Q2 Profit Boost Masked by One-Time Gains

Japan

FANUC CORPORATION manufactures factory automation (FA) systems and equipments, and robots. The Company's products include computerized numerically-controlled (CNC) equipment, servo motors, laser systems, industrial robots, wire-cut electric discharge machines, and CNC drill.  Fanuc participates in a joint venture with General Electric in the FA field.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Fanuc Corp Unsp Adr (FANUY US)

Makino Milling Machine (6135 JP): Nidec’s (6594 JP) Hostile Preconditional Tender Offer at JPY11,000

The Board has three options: engage to facilitate a friendly offer, find a white knight bidder and launch an ambitious MTM plan to thwart the offer.

Arun George

Pentamaster International (1665 HK): Pentamaster Corp and AchiCapital’s Light Scheme Offer

The risk/reward is unattractive. An arguably light offer in which the Holdco is privatising its OpCo by arbitraging the valuation discrepancies...

Arun George

Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (OCTOBER 27)

HK markets are the star performers in Asia beating the MSCI Asia Pacific index. Shanghai Electric has a breakout as it re-rates as a robotic...

David Mudd

Japan Weekly | Nikkei Drops; Political Uncertainty; Weakening Economy

Nikkei 225 falls 2.7% on political uncertainty, global bond yields, and weak economic data; Konica Minolta gains 25% after activist investor...

Mark Chadwick

Fanuc (6954) | Q2 Profit Boost Masked by One-Time Gains

Fanuc's Q2 operating income up 25% due to one-time profit, but concerns arise over sustainability. Orders down, inventory/sales ratio high, shares...

Mark Chadwick

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Makino Milling Machine (6135 JP): Nidec’s (6594 JP) Hostile Preconditional Tender Offer at JPY11,000

The Board has three options: engage to facilitate a friendly offer, find a white knight bidder and launch an ambitious MTM plan to thwart the offer.

Arun George

Pentamaster International (1665 HK): Pentamaster Corp and AchiCapital’s Light Scheme Offer

The risk/reward is unattractive. An arguably light offer in which the Holdco is privatising its OpCo by arbitraging the valuation discrepancies...

Arun George

Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (OCTOBER 27)

HK markets are the star performers in Asia beating the MSCI Asia Pacific index. Shanghai Electric has a breakout as it re-rates as a robotic...

David Mudd

Japan Weekly | Nikkei Drops; Political Uncertainty; Weakening Economy

​Nikkei 225 falls 2.7% on political uncertainty, global bond yields, and weak economic data; Konica Minolta gains 25% after activist investor...

Mark Chadwick

Fanuc (6954) | Q2 Profit Boost Masked by One-Time Gains

​Fanuc's Q2 operating income up 25% due to one-time profit, but concerns arise over sustainability. Orders down, inventory/sales ratio high, shares...

Mark Chadwick

Nikkei 225 falls 2.7% on political uncertainty, global bond yields, and weak economic data; Konica Minolta gains 25% after activist investor...

Fanuc's Q2 operating income up 25% due to one-time profit, but concerns arise over sustainability. Orders down, inventory/sales ratio high, shares...