Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Kokusai Electric  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-baicha-baidao-industrial-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40029:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial (2555 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mobvoi-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36799:1" rel="noopener">Mobvoi (2438 HK)</a>'s listing doesn't really help the HK sentiment.</li>
<li>On the placement front, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vodafone-idea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15678:1" rel="noopener">Vodafone Idea (IDEA IN)</a> managed to do well, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/krafton-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28956:1" rel="noopener">Krafton (259960 KS)</a> followed  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a> footsteps.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
On the IPO front, Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial (2555 HK) and Mobvoi (2438 HK)'s listing doesn't really help the HK sentiment.
On the placement front, Vodafone Idea (IDEA IN) managed to do well, while Krafton (259960 KS) followed  Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) footsteps.


ECM Weekly (29th Apr 2024) - IDEA, Kokusai, J&T, Krafton, Horizon, Oceana, ChaPanda, 99 Speed, Afcon

Senior Technology Analyst, Japanese Equities, LightStream Research

Scott Foster

Senior Technology Analyst, Japanese Equities

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Fanuc was up 4.7% this past week as the market reacted to a slight uptick in orders and transparently conservative guidance.</li>
<li>The book-to-bill ratio remained below 1.0 in 4Q of FY Mar-24, but was up from 3Q, which appears to have been the low point in the cycle.</li>
<li>Inflation and ongoing inventory adjustments indicate a slow recovery, but demand for automation  from traditional markets and new opportunities in aerospace and other industries should support long-term growth.</li>
</ul>


Fanuc was up 4.7% this past week as the market reacted to a slight uptick in orders and transparently conservative guidance.
The book-to-bill ratio remained below 1.0 in 4Q of FY Mar-24, but was up from 3Q, which appears to have been the low point in the cycle.
Inflation and ongoing inventory adjustments indicate a slow recovery, but demand for automation  from traditional markets and new opportunities in aerospace and other industries should support long-term growth.


Fanuc (6954 JP): Guidance Points Down, but the Market Sees Recovery

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

<ul>
<li>Fanuc reported a -7% decline in revenue for FY3/24 and 26% decline in operating profit. </li>
<li>The market will be disappointed by guidance for a further fall on the top line and 15% decline in profits as margins hit an all time low</li>
<li>The valuation of 30x EV / EBIT suggests the market was hoping for a turnaround in profits this year. That recovery has now been pushed back</li>
</ul>


Fanuc reported a -7% decline in revenue for FY3/24 and 26% decline in operating profit. 
The market will be disappointed by guidance for a further fall on the top line and 15% decline in profits as margins hit an all time low
The valuation of 30x EV / EBIT suggests the market was hoping for a turnaround in profits this year. That recovery has now been pushed back


Fanuc (6954) | Profitability Problems Persist

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/disco-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15817:1" rel="noopener">DISCO (6146 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/socionext-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36351:1" rel="noopener">Socionext (6526 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zozo-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18379:1" rel="noopener">ZOZO (3092 JP)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/takara-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11074:1" rel="noopener">Takara Holdings (2531 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sumitomo-osaka-cement-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20460:1" rel="noopener">Sumitomo Osaka Cement (5232 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pacific-metals-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3439:1" rel="noopener">Pacific Metals (5541 JP)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225</a>.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nitori-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20386:1" rel="noopener">Nitori Holdings (9843 JP)</a>'s PAF will increase from 0.3 to 0.5, and surprisingly there is no PAF adjustment for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zozo-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18379:1" rel="noopener">ZOZO Inc (3092 JP)</a>. </li>
<li>Passive trackers need to buy between 1-18 days of ADV on the adds while selling between 2.7-28 days of ADV on the deletes. There is a big funding trade too.</li>
</ul>



DISCO (6146 JP), Socionext (6526 JP) and ZOZO (3092 JP) will replace Takara Holdings (2531 JP), Sumitomo Osaka Cement (5232 JP) and Pacific Metals (5541 JP) in the Nikkei 225.

Nitori Holdings (9843 JP)'s PAF will increase from 0.3 to 0.5, and surprisingly there is no PAF adjustment for ZOZO Inc (3092 JP). 
Passive trackers need to buy between 1-18 days of ADV on the adds while selling between 2.7-28 days of ADV on the deletes. There is a big funding trade too.


Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance: DISCO, Socionext, ZOZO In; PacMetals, Sumitomo Osaka, Takara Holding Out

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Precision Tsugami China / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Precision Tsugami China specializes in the production of precision machine tools. Precision Tsugami China is part of the broader Tsugami Corporation, a Japanese company founded in 1923.</li>
<li>The company's dividend yield increased from 4.3% in FY2021 to 8.9% in FY2022 and 10.1% in FY2023. </li>
<li>We found Precision Tsugami China (1651 HK) using Smartkarma's Smart Score Screener system.</li>
</ul>


Precision Tsugami China specializes in the production of precision machine tools. Precision Tsugami China is part of the broader Tsugami Corporation, a Japanese company founded in 1923.
The company's dividend yield increased from 4.3% in FY2021 to 8.9% in FY2022 and 10.1% in FY2023. 
We found Precision Tsugami China (1651 HK) using Smartkarma's Smart Score Screener system.


Asian Dividend Gems: Precision Tsugami China

Japan

FANUC CORPORATION manufactures factory automation (FA) systems and equipments, and robots. The Company's products include computerized numerically-controlled (CNC) equipment, servo motors, laser systems, industrial robots, wire-cut electric discharge machines, and CNC drill.  Fanuc participates in a joint venture with General Electric in the FA field.

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Fanuc Corp Unsp Adr (FANUY US)

ECM Weekly (29th Apr 2024) - IDEA, Kokusai, J&T, Krafton, Horizon, Oceana, ChaPanda, 99 Speed, Afcon

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Fanuc (6954 JP): Guidance Points Down, but the Market Sees Recovery

Fanuc's share price has risen on conservative guidance based on unrealistic exchange rates. Orders appear to have hit bottom while an aerospace...

Scott Foster

Fanuc (6954) | Profitability Problems Persist

The market will be disappointed by guidance for a further fall on the top line and 15% decline in profits as margins hit an all time low

Mark Chadwick

Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance: DISCO, Socionext, ZOZO In; PacMetals, Sumitomo Osaka, Takara Holding Out

The adds are all up since announcement, led by Zozo. Nitori is up too even though the upweight was knows. Two of the three deletes are lower....

Brian Freitas

Asian Dividend Gems: Precision Tsugami China

Precision Tsugami China specializes in the production of precision machine tools. It has high dividend yields and attractive valuation multiples.

Douglas Kim

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