Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Interim results were surprisingly strong considering the headwinds from China and rising costs</li>
<li>2H guidance looks optimistic. China remains a key risk and we still see risks to the gross margin</li>
<li>The "R" word. Rising inflation, Rising Interest rates = Recession. Probably not good for consumers and certainly not good for high stock multiples</li>
</ul>


Interim results were surprisingly strong considering the headwinds from China and rising costs
2H guidance looks optimistic. China remains a key risk and we still see risks to the gross margin
The "R" word. Rising inflation, Rising Interest rates = Recession. Probably not good for consumers and certainly not good for high stock multiples


Fast Retailing (9983) - Summer Is the Time for Shorts

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>PHC Holding had raised US$645m in its Japan IPO in Oct 2021, after the deal was downsized and priced at the low-end.</li>
<li>PHC is engaged in the development, manufacturing and sale of healthcare devices and services. The company has three main segments: Diabetes Management; Healthcare Services; and Diagnosis/Life Science.</li>
<li>The pre-IPO shareholders will be released from the lockup today on 11th Apr 2022. Its largest shareholder is KKR, who still owns a 39% stake in the company. </li>
</ul>


PHC Holding had raised US$645m in its Japan IPO in Oct 2021, after the deal was downsized and priced at the low-end.
PHC is engaged in the development, manufacturing and sale of healthcare devices and services. The company has three main segments: Diabetes Management; Healthcare Services; and Diagnosis/Life Science.
The pre-IPO shareholders will be released from the lockup today on 11th Apr 2022. Its largest shareholder is KKR, who still owns a 39% stake in the company. 


PHC Holdings IPO Lock-Up - Stock Might Be Cheap but It’s Stuck with a US$1bn Overhang

<ul>
<li>We estimate that China accounts for almost 40% of Fast Retailing's earnings. This growth engine is stalling</li>
<li>The market has yet to discount these risks, despite warnings from H&amp;M</li>
<li>The stock is down 5% YTD, but trades at an 80% premium to global peers</li>
</ul>


We estimate that China accounts for almost 40% of Fast Retailing's earnings. This growth engine is stalling
The market has yet to discount these risks, despite warnings from H&amp;M
The stock is down 5% YTD, but trades at an 80% premium to global peers


Fast Retailing Faces a Severe Test from Beijing to Moscow

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The latest figures show that Japanese incomes fell for the first time in five years in 2021. </li>
<li>But despite this, average monthly household expenditure recovered and then accelerated at the end of the year. Online spending grew significantly, and much of this was new growth</li>
<li>We detail below which retailers are likely to benefit from these shifts in consumption behaviour over the next few years.</li>
</ul>


The latest figures show that Japanese incomes fell for the first time in five years in 2021. 
But despite this, average monthly household expenditure recovered and then accelerated at the end of the year. Online spending grew significantly, and much of this was new growth
We detail below which retailers are likely to benefit from these shifts in consumption behaviour over the next few years.


Japanese Household Expenditure in 2021 and Beyond: Which Retailers Will Benefit?

<ul>
<li>Fabindia is a consumer lifestyle platform with a 62-year legacy focused on authentic, sustainable and Indian traditional lifestyle products. It is looking to raise around US$500m in its India IPO.</li>
<li>Fabindia offers a diverse portfolio of lifestyle products to its customers across Apparel and Accessories, Home and Lifestyle, Personal Care and Organic Food categories. </li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>


Fabindia is a consumer lifestyle platform with a 62-year legacy focused on authentic, sustainable and Indian traditional lifestyle products. It is looking to raise around US$500m in its India IPO.
Fabindia offers a diverse portfolio of lifestyle products to its customers across Apparel and Accessories, Home and Lifestyle, Personal Care and Organic Food categories. 
In this note, we talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.


Fabindia Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Past Financial Performance Trends Remain Unclear

Japan

FAST RETAILING CO., LTD. operates a chain of clothing stores, UNIQLO, throughout Japan and in other markets overseas including UK, China, Hong Kong, South Korea, US, France, Singapore and Russia.  The Company designs, manufactures, and retails its own line of casual clothing.

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Fast Retailing (9983 JP)

Fast Retailing (9983) - Summer Is the Time for Shorts

The "R" word. Rising inflation, Rising Interest rates => Recession. Really not good for consumers and probably not good for high stock multiples

Mark Chadwick

PHC Holdings IPO Lock-Up - Stock Might Be Cheap but It’s Stuck with a US$1bn Overhang

PHC Holding had raised US$645m in its Japan IPO in Oct 2021, after the deal was downsized and priced at the low-end. The lock-up on pre-IPO...

Sumeet Singh

Fast Retailing Faces a Severe Test from Beijing to Moscow

Despite severe headwinds from Fast Retailing's key Chinese market, the stock is holding up well. Russia and higher input costs are also concerns....

Mark Chadwick

Japanese Household Expenditure in 2021 and Beyond: Which Retailers Will Benefit?

Japanese spent more on homes and less on clothes in the last two years but they also added to their savings. This insight analyses the key...

Michael Causton

Fabindia Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Past Financial Performance Trends Remain Unclear

Fabindia is a consumer lifestyle platform with a 62-year legacy focused on authentic, sustainable and Indian traditional lifestyle products. It is...

Sumeet Singh

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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