Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>After initially grinding up slowly but underperforming the Nikkei our suggested skew trade gave up ground during the new year sell off.</li>
<li>It did so slowly, however and was outperforming Nikkei when last we checked despite being down slightly. </li>
<li>Thankfully, a lot of the idiosyncratic volatility hurting the skew trade has reversed now and it is positive and outperforming Nikkei consistently.</li>
</ul>


After initially grinding up slowly but underperforming the Nikkei our suggested skew trade gave up ground during the new year sell off.
It did so slowly, however and was outperforming Nikkei when last we checked despite being down slightly. 
Thankfully, a lot of the idiosyncratic volatility hurting the skew trade has reversed now and it is positive and outperforming Nikkei consistently.


TOPIX-Nikkei Skew Trade Starting to Work Nicely

<ul>
<li>A positive earnings surprise for Fast Retailing and Microsoft’s acquisition of Activision Blizzard hitting Sony have hurt the performance of our skew trade. </li>
<li>Despite this, the dramatic fall in the Nikkei means it is now outperforming the Nikkei since we first suggested the trade. </li>
<li>Looking forward we expect recent volatility to be absorbed over time and we retain conviction on our picks.</li>
</ul>


A positive earnings surprise for Fast Retailing and Microsoft’s acquisition of Activision Blizzard hitting Sony have hurt the performance of our skew trade. 
Despite this, the dramatic fall in the Nikkei means it is now outperforming the Nikkei since we first suggested the trade. 
Looking forward we expect recent volatility to be absorbed over time and we retain conviction on our picks.


TOPIX-Nikkei Skew Trade Hit by Sony and Fast Retailing but Outperforming Nikkei

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fast-retailing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:751:1" rel="noopener">Fast Retailing (9983 JP)</a>’s share price is up 10% after beating 1QFY22 consensus revenue and OP by 1.4% and 20.6% respectively.</li>
<li>However, the share price move feels unwarranted given that the beat was driven by mostly one-off/temporary factors in the company’s less significant segments</li>
<li>We think this is an opportunity to short Fast Retailing as Uniqlo seems to be slowing rapidly in the Chinese market.</li>
</ul>



Fast Retailing (9983 JP)’s share price is up 10% after beating 1QFY22 consensus revenue and OP by 1.4% and 20.6% respectively.
However, the share price move feels unwarranted given that the beat was driven by mostly one-off/temporary factors in the company’s less significant segments
We think this is an opportunity to short Fast Retailing as Uniqlo seems to be slowing rapidly in the Chinese market.


Fast Retailing: Q1 Beat Seems Temporary but Concerns About China Could Last Long

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Nippon Paint Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>A group of shareholders of Nippon Paint Holdings, plan to raise around US$1.4bn via selling nearly 6% of the stock.</li>
<li>We covered most aspects of the deal in our previous note, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/nippon-paint-holdings-placement-nothing-particularly-exciting-needs-to-correct" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Nippon Paint Holdings Placement - Nothing particularly exciting, needs to correct</a>.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the updates and share price movement since then.</li>
</ul>


A group of shareholders of Nippon Paint Holdings, plan to raise around US$1.4bn via selling nearly 6% of the stock.
We covered most aspects of the deal in our previous note, Nippon Paint Holdings Placement - Nothing particularly exciting, needs to correct.
In this note, we will talk about the updates and share price movement since then.


Nippon Paint Placement Quick Update - Better Positioned After Delivering the Largest Correction

<ul>
<li>A group of shareholders of Nippon Paint Holdings, plan to raise around US$1.4bn via selling nearly 6% of the stock.</li>
<li>The shares haven’t done much this year and despite having corrected by around 40% since the start of 2021, they are trading just about inline with analyst average target price.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


A group of shareholders of Nippon Paint Holdings, plan to raise around US$1.4bn via selling nearly 6% of the stock.
The shares haven’t done much this year and despite having corrected by around 40% since the start of 2021, they are trading just about inline with analyst average target price.
In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Nippon Paint Holdings Placement - Nothing Particularly Exciting, Needs to Correct

Japan

FAST RETAILING CO., LTD. operates a chain of clothing stores, UNIQLO, throughout Japan and in other markets overseas including UK, China, Hong Kong, South Korea, US, France, Singapore and Russia.  The Company designs, manufactures, and retails its own line of casual clothing.

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Fast Retailing (9983 JP)

TOPIX-Nikkei Skew Trade Starting to Work Nicely

After initially grinding up slowly but underperforming the Nikkei our suggested skew trade gave up ground during the new year sell off. It is now...

Mio Kato

TOPIX-Nikkei Skew Trade Hit by Sony and Fast Retailing but Outperforming Nikkei

Volatility in Fast Retailing and Sony have hurt the performance of our skew trade but looking forward we expect recent volatility to be absorbed...

Mio Kato

Fast Retailing: Q1 Beat Seems Temporary but Concerns About China Could Last Long

Fast Retailing’s share price is up 10% since Q1 earnings as revenue and OP beat consensus by 1.4% and 20.6% respectively. However, the beat was...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Nippon Paint Placement Quick Update - Better Positioned After Delivering the Largest Correction

A group of shareholders of Nippon Paint Holdings, plan to raise around US$1.4bn via selling nearly 6% of the stock. In this note we talk about the...

Sumeet Singh

Nippon Paint Holdings Placement - Nothing Particularly Exciting, Needs to Correct

A group of shareholders of Nippon Paint Holdings, plan to raise around US$1.4bn via selling nearly 6% of the stock. In this note, we will talk...

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)