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Granite Bay Capital

An innovation focussed investment company

Granite Bay Capital is an innovation focussed investment company with a deep focus on the companies at the leading edge of innovation across major themes such as AI, ubiquitous computing, sustainability, automation and longevity.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<h2>Headline Developments</h2><p>Samsung (005930.KS) and Harvard University have published new research outlining the vision of copying the brain’s neuron wiring map into a 3D “neuromorphic” chip. The approach, outlined in this paper, aims to reverse engineer the brain by copying the synaptic connectivity map of the brain (below right) and pasting the map onto a high-density 3D solid-state memory network.</p>

Headline DevelopmentsSamsung (005930.KS) and Harvard University have published new research outlining the vision of copying the brain’s neuron wiring map into a 3D “neuromorphic” chip. The approach, outlined in this paper, aims to reverse engineer the brain by copying the synaptic connectivity map of the brain (below right) and pasting the map onto a high-density 3D solid-state memory network.

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<p>Trading at only 9x PER with a 5% dividend yield, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xinyi-glass-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11940:1" rel="noopener">Xinyi Glass Holdings (868 HK)</a>  does not sound expensive at all especially when it combines with the index inclusion effect since September 2021. However, its biggest selling product is float glass which the management has confirmed that ties to the performance of the construction sector in China, which is currently under government scrutiny due to the stalled growth and overleverage. </p>
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<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/flat-glass-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1108:1" rel="noopener">Flat Glass (6865 HK)</a> 's majority of revenues come from PV glass with a tiny exposure in float glass and household glass. PV glass made up around 83% of the revenue while the other products such as Household Glass, Architectural Glass, and Float Glass made up around 5%, 8%, and 1% respectively. The company benefits from the increasing demand for clean energy. </div>
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<div>One can say that it may be too late to start shorting Xinyi Glass as the share price has decreased by around 30%  in 3 months. However, given the bleak short-term outlook of the property sector in China, the 60% of Xinyi Glass’ revenue from Float Glass may decrease by 25-50% and the price multiple should be lower too.</div>
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<div>On the other hand, going long Flat Glass means participating in the growth of the clean energy and ESG sector that is currently a hot topic in the market plus participating in the Grid Parity in China.</div>
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<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/231/931/original/image_32347912521632655334114.png?1632655334" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="231931"></figure>
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<div class="content-remarks">source: Reuters</div>
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Trading at only 9x PER with a 5% dividend yield, Xinyi Glass Holdings (868 HK)  does not sound expensive at all especially when it combines with the index inclusion effect since September 2021. However, its biggest selling product is float glass which the management has confirmed that ties to the performance of the construction sector in China, which is currently under government scrutiny due to the stalled growth and overleverage. 

Flat Glass (6865 HK) 's majority of revenues come from PV glass with a tiny exposure in float glass and household glass. PV glass made up around 83% of the revenue while the other products such as Household Glass, Architectural Glass, and Float Glass made up around 5%, 8%, and 1% respectively. The company benefits from the increasing demand for clean energy. 



One can say that it may be too late to start shorting Xinyi Glass as the share price has decreased by around 30%  in 3 months. However, given the bleak short-term outlook of the property sector in China, the 60% of Xinyi Glass’ revenue from Float Glass may decrease by 25-50% and the price multiple should be lower too.

On the other hand, going long Flat Glass means participating in the growth of the clean energy and ESG sector that is currently a hot topic in the market plus participating in the Grid Parity in China.




source: Reuters


Short Xinyi Glass (868) Vs Long Flat Glass (6865)

Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<p>The <a href="https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Automobiles/Honda-and-GM-to-share-EV-platform-for-lower-cost-North-American-models" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Nikkei reported</a> today that Honda would be aiming to have 50% content sharing by value with its partner GM for EVs manufactured for the North American market. This arrangement was originally discussed back in April and includes Honda utilising GM’s platform for two large models (a Honda and an Acura) and sharing its own midsize EV architecture for GM once it is ready in the second half of the decade.</p>

The Nikkei reported today that Honda would be aiming to have 50% content sharing by value with its partner GM for EVs manufactured for the North American market. This arrangement was originally discussed back in April and includes Honda utilising GM’s platform for two large models (a Honda and an Acura) and sharing its own midsize EV architecture for GM once it is ready in the second half of the decade.

Honda – Interpreting the Evolving GM Partnership for EVs

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul><li>Like most automakers, Ford had a particularly rough quarter on account of the chip-related production disruptions which held back the company’s revenues despite a strong demand.</li><li>The semiconductors shortage has hit Ford worse than many of its rivals as its Japanese supplier of chips was hit by a fire in the spring.</li><li>Ford did benefit from an increased pricing which is what led to the surprise profit that made the stock price surge.</li></ul>

Like most automakers, Ford had a particularly rough quarter on account of the chip-related production disruptions which held back the company’s revenues despite a strong demand.The semiconductors shortage has hit Ford worse than many of its rivals as its Japanese supplier of chips was hit by a fire in the spring.Ford did benefit from an increased pricing which is what led to the surprise profit that made the stock price surge.

<p>The reaction of Tesla stock (-2.0%) to a strong earnings beat at 1Q suggests some fatigue in its attempts to maintain its “aspirational” valuations. We would not be surprised if its 10Q revealed poor earnings quality as stringency in accounting is not, in our view, a strong suit of Tesla. What is more interesting in our view is the progress of Ford’s Mustang Mach-E and the potential for the vehicle to further shatter misperceptions about Tesla having a technological lead in anything.</p>

The reaction of Tesla stock (-2.0%) to a strong earnings beat at 1Q suggests some fatigue in its attempts to maintain its “aspirational” valuations. We would not be surprised if its 10Q revealed poor earnings quality as stringency in accounting is not, in our view, a strong suit of Tesla. What is more interesting in our view is the progress of Ford’s Mustang Mach-E and the potential for the vehicle to further shatter misperceptions about Tesla having a technological lead in anything.

Tesla – Muted Response to Blowout “Earnings”

United States

Ford Motor Company designs, manufactures, and services cars and trucks.  The Company also provides vehicle-related financing, leasing, and insurance through its subsidiary.

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Ford Motor Co (F US)

Weekly Innovation Review (WIRE) #51

Samsung (005930.KS) and Harvard University have published new research outlining the vision of copying the brain’s neuron...

Granite Bay Capital

Short Xinyi Glass (868) Vs Long Flat Glass (6865)

Xinyi Glass’ 60% revenue from Float Glass may decrease by 25-50% and the price multiple should be lower too. Going long Flat Glass rides the growth...

Henry Soediarko

Honda – Interpreting the Evolving GM Partnership for EVs

Honda's EV alliance with GM continues to deepen but is this a sign of Honda's full commitment to an EV shift in the US or just a risk hedge?

Mio Kato

Ford Motor Co - Investment Thesis

Like most automakers, Ford had a particularly rough quarter on account of the chip-related production disruptions which held back the company’s...

Baptista Research

Tesla – Muted Response to Blowout “Earnings”

The reaction of Tesla stock (-2.0%) to a strong earnings beat at 1Q suggests some fatigue in its attempts to maintain its “aspirational” valuations.

Mio Kato

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