Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

Commodities

<ul><li>Global base oils margins fall as feedstock/competing fuel prices surge.</li><li>Sharp fall in base oils margins reflect impact of higher crude/diesel prices rather than any sudden change in base oils supply-demand fundamentals.</li><li>Fall in base oils margins comes at a time of year when supply-demand fundamentals are already starting to face downward pressure.</li></ul>

Global base oils margins fall as feedstock/competing fuel prices surge.Sharp fall in base oils margins reflect impact of higher crude/diesel prices rather than any sudden change in base oils supply-demand fundamentals.Fall in base oils margins comes at a time of year when supply-demand fundamentals are already starting to face downward pressure.

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 16 June

<ul><li>US Group III 4cSt base oils price rises in June to highest level in almost nine months.</li><li>US Group III 4cSt price rises relative to Group II base oils, relative to feedstock prices and relative to other regions.</li><li>US Group III price-strength coincides with tighter global Group III supply-demand fundamentals and growing number of signals reflecting those tighter fundamentals.</li></ul>

US Group III 4cSt base oils price rises in June to highest level in almost nine months.US Group III 4cSt price rises relative to Group II base oils, relative to feedstock prices and relative to other regions.US Group III price-strength coincides with tighter global Group III supply-demand fundamentals and growing number of signals reflecting those tighter fundamentals.

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 16 June

<ul><li>Asia base oils prices slide relative to crude and gasoil prices, triggering fall in margins.</li><li>Size and speed of drop in base oils premium to crude/gasoil complicates production and procurement plans.</li><li>Any signs of crude oil prices holding at more elevated levels for longer, and base oils margins at lower levels for longer, could put pressure on refiners to cut output.</li></ul>

Asia base oils prices slide relative to crude and gasoil prices, triggering fall in margins.Size and speed of drop in base oils premium to crude/gasoil complicates production and procurement plans.Any signs of crude oil prices holding at more elevated levels for longer, and base oils margins at lower levels for longer, could put pressure on refiners to cut output.

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 16 June

<ul><li>Asia’s base oils demand could get support from surge in crude oil prices and concerns about disruptions to supply in Middle East.</li><li>A sustained rise in crude oil prices would squeeze base oils margins.</li><li>Lower margins could curb downward pressure on prices.</li></ul>

Asia’s base oils demand could get support from surge in crude oil prices and concerns about disruptions to supply in Middle East.A sustained rise in crude oil prices would squeeze base oils margins.Lower margins could curb downward pressure on prices.

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 16 June

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

Taishin Financial Holding / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The index changes for the T50/100 index family and the TDIV index were confirmed after market close on Friday 6th June 2025.</li>
<li>There will be one ADD/DEL for T50, two ADDs/DELs for T100, and five ADDs/DELs for TDIV. </li>
<li>All of these are exactly in line with our final expectations.</li>
</ul>


The index changes for the T50/100 index family and the TDIV index were confirmed after market close on Friday 6th June 2025.
There will be one ADD/DEL for T50, two ADDs/DELs for T100, and five ADDs/DELs for TDIV. 
All of these are exactly in line with our final expectations.


Quiddity TDIV/50/100 Jun25 Results: 100% Hit Rate; Positioned for High-Impact Sector-Neutral Trades

Taiwan

Formosa Petrochemical Corp. refines crude oil and markets petroleum and petrochemical products.  The Company operates refineries and naphtha cracking plants that provide products such as gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, fuel oil, naphtha, ethylene, and liquefied petroleum gas.  FPCC also owns three utility centers and generates electricity.

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Formosa Petrochemical (6505 TT)

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 16 June

Global base oils margins fall as feedstock/competing fuel prices surge. Sharp fall in base oils margins reflect impact of higher crude/diesel...

Base Oil News

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 16 June

US Group III 4cSt base oils price rises in June to highest level in almost nine months. US Group III 4cSt price rises relative to Group II base...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 16 June

Asia base oils prices slide relative to crude and gasoil prices, triggering fall in margins. Size and speed of drop in base oils premium to...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 16 June

Asia’s base oils demand could get support from surge in crude oil prices and concerns about disruptions to supply in Middle East. A sustained rise...

Base Oil News

Quiddity TDIV/50/100 Jun25 Results: 100% Hit Rate; Positioned for High-Impact Sector-Neutral Trades

We expect US$2.5bn one-way flows for the TDIV index in June 2025. The top flow names have 10x ADV or more to trade. There are opportunities for...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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