Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>There's been a major disconnect between performance of the Philly Semiconductor Index and the Taiwan market recently.</li>
<li>Semi optimism has picked up substantially in U.S. markets and institutional favor towards the Taiwan market could improve as a result.</li>
<li>We indentify US$1bn+  market cap stocks most under-held by institutions, as well as those who may be most at risk of a short squeeze.</li>
</ul>


There's been a major disconnect between performance of the Philly Semiconductor Index and the Taiwan market recently.
Semi optimism has picked up substantially in U.S. markets and institutional favor towards the Taiwan market could improve as a result.
We indentify US$1bn+  market cap stocks most under-held by institutions, as well as those who may be most at risk of a short squeeze.


Taiwan Short Squeeze Ahead? Taiwan Market Significantly Lagging Philly SOX Index

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (TSM US)

<ul>
<li>Taiwan’s tech space fell hard last week, with the tech sector down 5.4%, compared to a 4.9% drop for the overall market. Semiconductors performed the worst, down 6.2%.</li>
<li>Hon Hai, Delta, Lite-On -- EV a major theme for the first-ever Taiwan Expo USA coming October 12th.</li>
<li>Taiwan wafer exports were at an all-time high in August. We note that wafer names have underperformed TSMC.</li>
</ul>


Taiwan’s tech space fell hard last week, with the tech sector down 5.4%, compared to a 4.9% drop for the overall market. Semiconductors performed the worst, down 6.2%.
Hon Hai, Delta, Lite-On -- EV a major theme for the first-ever Taiwan Expo USA coming October 12th.
Taiwan wafer exports were at an all-time high in August. We note that wafer names have underperformed TSMC.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Trying to Recover After a Week of Deep Declines

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Formosa Sumco Technology / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The company recently announced poor earnings down 56% YoY in 1Q24</li>
<li>Dwindling cash is another major concern especially with higher debt/ebitda</li>
<li>At 15-25% ROE is sensible but now back toward 5% there is less enthusiasm </li>
</ul>


The company recently announced poor earnings down 56% YoY in 1Q24
Dwindling cash is another major concern especially with higher debt/ebitda
At 15-25% ROE is sensible but now back toward 5% there is less enthusiasm 


Formosa Sumco Technology - Earnings, Returns, Financial Position, Worsening Dramatically

Taiwan

Formosa Sumco Technology Corporation specializes in testing and manufacture of Silicon chip materials.

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Formosa Sumco Technology (3532 TT)

Taiwan Short Squeeze Ahead? Taiwan Market Significantly Lagging Philly SOX Index

We indentify US$1bn+ market cap stocks most under-held by institutions, as well as those who may be most at risk of a short squeeze.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Trying to Recover After a Week of Deep Declines

AU Optronics stock suspended, Intel's Mobileye IPO is back, Samsung takes share from TSMC, Taiwan wafer exports are at an all-time high.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Formosa Sumco Technology - Earnings, Returns, Financial Position, Worsening Dramatically

Company is seeing far lower net profit, with the just-announced quarter one of the worst on record in recent years. Debt is now a factor and SG&A...

Daniel Tabbush

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