Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 179 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 69.0% as of Mar 20th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -1.2ppt week-on-week, led by industrials, financials, energy and offset by materials, real estate.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for CATL, China Longyuan Power, Yankuang Energy, Shenzhen Woer Heat, CIMC, Anhui Conch Cement.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 179 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 69.0% as of Mar 20th.
The average A-H premium changed by -1.2ppt week-on-week, led by industrials, financials, energy and offset by materials, real estate.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for CATL, China Longyuan Power, Yankuang Energy, Shenzhen Woer Heat, CIMC, Anhui Conch Cement.


A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 20th): CATL, China Longyuan Power, Yankuang Energy, Shenzhen Woer Heat, CIMC

Event-Driven

Contemporary Amperex Technology / Event-Driven

Contemporary Amperex Technology (3750 HK)

<ul>
<li>We study 27 A+H listing connect inclusion in two groups: 23 with delayed Connect inclusion (26 to 28 days after listing) and 4 with same-day inclusion.</li>
<li>The delayed group shows H underperformance versus A around inclusion (61% win rate, median +3.5% over 5D). All four same-day stocks posted positive hedged returns on day 0.</li>
<li>Actionable trades ahead: DELTON (1989 HK) pending listing on 20 March, and ESTUN (2715 HK) pending Connect inclusion.</li>
</ul>


We study 27 A+H listing connect inclusion in two groups: 23 with delayed Connect inclusion (26 to 28 days after listing) and 4 with same-day inclusion.
The delayed group shows H underperformance versus A around inclusion (61% win rate, median +3.5% over 5D). All four same-day stocks posted positive hedged returns on day 0.
Actionable trades ahead: DELTON (1989 HK) pending listing on 20 March, and ESTUN (2715 HK) pending Connect inclusion.


A+H Listing: The Connect Inclusion Stat and the Trade

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 178 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 70.2% as of Mar 13th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 3.2ppt week-on-week, led by industrials, real estate, communication services and offset by information technology.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for CNOOC, BYD, Great Wall Motor, Crrc, CATL, Huaneng Power International.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 178 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 70.2% as of Mar 13th.
The average A-H premium changed by 3.2ppt week-on-week, led by industrials, real estate, communication services and offset by information technology.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for CNOOC, BYD, Great Wall Motor, Crrc, CATL, Huaneng Power International.


A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 13th): CNOOC, BYD, Great Wall Motor, Crrc, CATL, Huaneng Power International

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Contemporary Amperex Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>With over 27 A/H listings since the start of 2025, we look back at some of the trends from the recent listings.</li>
<li>In this note, we will also talk about how the A/H premiums have moved since our last note in July 2025.</li>
<li>Overall, A/H listings since 2025 have reversed the trend of past A/H listings not doing much in the near term, with a few exceptions. </li>
</ul>


With over 27 A/H listings since the start of 2025, we look back at some of the trends from the recent listings.
In this note, we will also talk about how the A/H premiums have moved since our last note in July 2025.
Overall, A/H listings since 2025 have reversed the trend of past A/H listings not doing much in the near term, with a few exceptions. 


Aequitas: A/H Premiums and 27 Deals Performance-Better Returns, Some Premium & Coverage Correlation

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be 2 constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-china-large-cap-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:766:1" rel="noopener">iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) (FXI US)</a> ETF in March.</li>
<li>We estimate passive trackers will need to buy 0.6-0.8x ADV in the adds and need to sell between 0.4-1.2x ADV in the deletes.</li>
<li>Short interest is highest in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zte-corp-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6922:1" rel="noopener">ZTE Corp (763 HK)</a> (as a percentage of float) and in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-minsheng-banking-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8983:1" rel="noopener">China Minsheng Banking H (1988 HK)</a> (in terms of days of ADV to cover).</li>
</ul>


There could be 2 constituent changes for the iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) (FXI US) ETF in March.
We estimate passive trackers will need to buy 0.6-0.8x ADV in the adds and need to sell between 0.4-1.2x ADV in the deletes.
Short interest is highest in ZTE Corp (763 HK) (as a percentage of float) and in China Minsheng Banking H (1988 HK) (in terms of days of ADV to cover).


FXI Rebalance Preview: Two Changes Likely in March

China

Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company Ltd. is a leading Chinese public company primarily engaged in the production and sale of condiments, food, and agricultural products. It is recognized as the world's largest manufacturer of soy sauce, with key products including soy sauce, oyster sauce, flavoring sauce, vinegar, and various compound seasonings. The company was founded in 1955 and is headquartered in Foshan, China.

Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food (3288 HK)

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Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food (3288 HK)

A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 20th): CATL, China Longyuan Power, Yankuang Energy, Shenzhen Woer Heat, CIMC

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for CATL, China Longyuan Power, Yankuang Energy, Shenzhen Woer...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A+H Listing: The Connect Inclusion Stat and the Trade

A+H Connect inclusion study across 27 IPOs finds H underperformance at stabilization expiry. Two trades live: DELTON (20 Mar listing) and ESTUN...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 13th): CNOOC, BYD, Great Wall Motor, Crrc, CATL, Huaneng Power International

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for CNOOC, BYD, Great Wall Motor, Crrc, CATL, Huaneng Power...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Aequitas: A/H Premiums and 27 Deals Performance-Better Returns, Some Premium & Coverage Correlation

With over 27 A/H listings since the start of 2025, we look back at some of the trends from the recent listings including returns, premiums and...

Sumeet Singh

FXI Rebalance Preview: Two Changes Likely in March

There could be 2 constituent changes for the FXI ETF in March. Passive trackers will need to buy 0.6-0.8x ADV in the adds and sell between 0.4-1.2x...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)