Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Hang Seng has announced the conclusions of the market consultation. Primary-listed foreign stocks will be eligible for inclusion in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI INDEX</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH INDEX</a> from the December rebalance.</li>
<li>The coming week has the rebalances for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Next 50 Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-bank-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26811:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Bank Index</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">SENSEX Index</a> as a result of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/housing-development-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:252:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Limited</a>/ <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank</a> merger.</li>
<li>There were inflows to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tracker-fund-of-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29257:1" rel="noopener">Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK)</a> and outflows from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng H Share Index ETF (2828 HK)</a> during the week.</li>
</ul>


Hang Seng has announced the conclusions of the market consultation. Primary-listed foreign stocks will be eligible for inclusion in the HSI INDEX and HSTECH INDEX from the December rebalance.
The coming week has the rebalances for the NIFTY Index, Nifty Next 50 Index, Nifty Bank Index and SENSEX Index as a result of the HDFC Limited/ HDFC Bank merger.
There were inflows to Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK) and outflows from Hang Seng H Share Index ETF (2828 HK) during the week.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSCI, HSCEI, HSI, CSI300, CSI500, SSE50, HDFC Bank, Sensex

Foxconn Industrial Internet / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Two thirds of the way through the review period, we see 10 potential adds/8 potential deletes in December. However, there can be a maximum of 5 changes at a review.</li>
<li>We estimate a one-way turnover of 5.8% at the December rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 4.67bn. Index arb balances could increase the impact on the stocks.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last six months and there has been renewed outperformance over the last month.</li>
</ul>


Two thirds of the way through the review period, we see 10 potential adds/8 potential deletes in December. However, there can be a maximum of 5 changes at a review.
We estimate a one-way turnover of 5.8% at the December rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 4.67bn. Index arb balances could increase the impact on the stocks.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last six months and there has been renewed outperformance over the last month.


SSE50 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Powering Higher

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>Industrials, Consumer Discretionary, Information Technology led the inflows while Consumer Staples, Financials led the outflows.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Midea, Foxconn, CATL, Wuxi Apptec, Sany Heavy, China Tourism, Longi Green, Ping An, Zijin Mining, Haitian Flavoring.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
Industrials, Consumer Discretionary, Information Technology led the inflows while Consumer Staples, Financials led the outflows.
We highlight flows for Midea, Foxconn, CATL, Wuxi Apptec, Sany Heavy, China Tourism, Longi Green, Ping An, Zijin Mining, Haitian Flavoring.


Northbound Flows Monthly (June): Midea, Foxconn, CATL, Wuxi Apptec, Sany Heavy

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 30th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$1,252.3 million, led by consumer staples, financials, and offset by materials, consumer discretionary, industrials.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Midea, Kunlun Tech, Tcl Technology Group, Moutai, Wuliangye, China Tourism, CATL, Longi Green.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 30th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$1,252.3 million, led by consumer staples, financials, and offset by materials, consumer discretionary, industrials.
We highlight flows for Midea, Kunlun Tech, Tcl Technology Group, Moutai, Wuliangye, China Tourism, CATL, Longi Green.


Northbound Flows (Jun 30th): Moutai, Wuliangye, China Tourism, CATL, Longi Green

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 16th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$2,312.7 million, led by industrials, information technology, consumer discretionary sectors, and offset by financials, materials.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for CATL, Wuliangye, Moutai, Foxconn Industrial Internet, Midea, BYD, Sany Heavy, Luxshare Precision, Wuxi Apptec, Gree Electric Appliances, Longi Green, Ping An Insurance, Dahua.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 16th.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$2,312.7 million, led by industrials, information technology, consumer discretionary sectors, and offset by financials, materials.
We highlight flows for CATL, Wuliangye, Moutai, Foxconn Industrial Internet, Midea, BYD, Sany Heavy, Luxshare Precision, Wuxi Apptec, Gree Electric Appliances, Longi Green, Ping An Insurance, Dahua.


Northbound Flows (Jun 16th): CATL, Wuliangye, Moutai, Foxconn Industrial Internet, Midea, Gree

Taiwan

Foxconn Industrial Internet Co., Ltd. operates as a communication network equipment development company. The Company develops and sells network switches, routers, wireless devices, web servers, set top boxes, smart home gateways, and other products. Foxconn Industrial Internet also manufactures storage equipment.

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Foxconn Industrial Internet (601138 CH)

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSCI, HSCEI, HSI, CSI300, CSI500, SSE50, HDFC Bank, Sensex

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

SSE50 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Powering Higher

Two thirds of the way through the review period, we see 10 potential adds/8 potential deletes in December. Turnover is over 5% and the potential...

Brian Freitas

Northbound Flows Monthly (June): Midea, Foxconn, CATL, Wuxi Apptec, Sany Heavy

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for June and highlight flows for Midea, Foxconn, CATL, Wuxi Apptec, Sany Heavy, China Tourism,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Jun 30th): Moutai, Wuliangye, China Tourism, CATL, Longi Green

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Midea, Kunlun Tech, Tcl Technology Group, Moutai,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Jun 16th): CATL, Wuliangye, Moutai, Foxconn Industrial Internet, Midea, Gree

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for CATL, Wuliangye, Moutai, Foxconn Industrial...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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