Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Breadth is waning – there’s no question about that. Yet selling appears to be discriminate, so far, as if there’s a reason behind which stocks get hit, not the indiscriminate “sell-button.” But even with waning breadth, the weight-of-the-evidence still supports further upside. We believe this dip in breadth is a favorable sign for stock-pickers, creating an environment where selectivity can aid in outperformance. This week we provide an update to our investment thesis and highlight attractive opportunities within the gaming stocks, and a wide range of other cyclical companies.

Breadth is waning – there’s no question about that. Yet selling appears to be discriminate, so far, as if there’s a reason behind which stocks get hit, not the indiscriminate “sell-button.” But even with waning breadth, the weight-of-the-evidence still supports further upside. We believe this dip in breadth is a favorable sign for stock-pickers, creating an environment where selectivity can aid in outperformance. This week we provide an update to our investment thesis and highlight attractive opportunities within the gaming stocks, and a wide range of other cyclical companies.

<ul class=""><li>Global material stocks are strengthening led by a turnaround in the metals, the global materials sector displays a long-term, relative strength reversal. A variety of technical tailwinds make this an attractive theme. And in the latter part of this week’s Compass, we highlight actionable ideas in US-listed, foreign steel names: RIO, MT, PKX, TX, GGB, SID, and MTL.  Increase exposure.</li><li>The U.S. Health Care Sector has cooled off over the past month, with attractive Groups like biotechs and HMOs pulling back to support. This is a buying opportunity... see pages 8-10.</li></ul>

Global material stocks are strengthening led by a turnaround in the metals, the global materials sector displays a long-term, relative strength reversal. A variety of technical tailwinds make this an attractive theme. And in the latter part of this week’s Compass, we highlight actionable ideas in US-listed, foreign steel names: RIO, MT, PKX, TX, GGB, SID, and MTL.  Increase exposure.The U.S. Health Care Sector has cooled off over the past month, with attractive Groups like biotechs and HMOs pulling back to support. This is a buying opportunity... see pages 8-10.

Global Materials Sector, Led by Miners, Is Strengthening

Asia-Focused Industry Research, Speeda Research

Speeda

Asia-Focused Industry Research

Speeda Research

Speeda Research analysts cover China, Japan, India and SEA on the latest trends and topics. We have analysts of diverse nationalities who are able to access information in their respective local languages to provide customers with comprehensive reports. With access to private company data in these regions, Speeda Research is also able to provide insights into niche sectors which are not usually covered by other parties. We are also able to undertake ad hoc company and industry research reports.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<h2>What are the Alternative Taxes and Tariffs Under Consideration and the Objective and the Nature of Each Option?</h2>In the US, the Trump Administration is considering a variety of options to contain the increasing trade deficit, particularly with regard to one the US’ trading partners, Mexico. In 2015, the United States had a USD67bn trade deficit with Mexico in automobiles and auto parts. USD50.5bn in vehicles were shipped to the US from Mexico in 2015. Total exports in auto parts for OEMs and the…

What are the Alternative Taxes and Tariffs Under Consideration and the Objective and the Nature of Each Option?In the US, the Trump Administration is considering a variety of options to contain the increasing trade deficit, particularly with regard to one the US’ trading partners, Mexico. In 2015, the United States had a USD67bn trade deficit with Mexico in automobiles and auto parts. USD50.5bn in vehicles were shipped to the US from Mexico in 2015. Total exports in auto parts for OEMs and the…

Trump Tax Impact on US-Mexico Auto Industry Could Have Greatest Impact on Mazda/Mitsubishi

Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Japanese and Asian equity long/short strategies

Uzabase

Specialising in Japanese and Asian equity long/short strategies with a focus on rigorous, but targeted quantitative analysis to temper evaluations of company strategy, potential and vision. At Uzabase, our team of analysts provides coverage of industry dynamics with a local Asian flavour on Speeda, our financial information platform. Going forward we are aiming to channel our focus toward thematic research on emerging industries and company research.

Equity Bottom-Up

HEXA liquidity is currently below USD100K per day, making it difficult to invest in for most. Nevertheless, as a follow-up to our brief look at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/19433" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19433:1">Hitachi Construction Machinery (6305 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/8416" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8416:1">Komatsu Ltd (6301 JP)</a> , we examine cheaper ways to play the recovery in construction machinery demand. Hat tip to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/2" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:2">Raghav Kapoor</a> for pointing us to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/2806" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2806:1">Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk Pt (HEXA IJ)</a>.HEXA is an HCM subsidiary which essentially conducts repair and maintenance on behalf of the company as well as offering rental…

HEXA liquidity is currently below USD100K per day, making it difficult to invest in for most. Nevertheless, as a follow-up to our brief look at Hitachi Construction Machinery (6305 JP) and Komatsu Ltd (6301 JP) , we examine cheaper ways to play the recovery in construction machinery demand. Hat tip to Raghav Kapoor for pointing us to Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk Pt (HEXA IJ).HEXA is an HCM subsidiary which essentially conducts repair and maintenance on behalf of the company as well as offering rental…

Hexindo Adiperkasa Restructuring Not Fully Appreciated. HCM Subsidiary with Upside but Low Liquidity

CHINA - Healthcare, Steel, Autos, Education, Research From Beijing

Scott Laprise/ 乐天虎

CHINA - Healthcare, Steel, Autos, Education

The market is expecting US tariffs on Chinese steel exports wrongly believing Chinese are major steel   exporters to the US.Steel exports to US from China are low at about 2.9mt in November. If the US adds more steel tariffs, it will have little impact to the steel market or prices but it will possibly cause a retaliation by the Chinese.China only exports 26% of Global Steel Exports, far lower than the 50% of their total global steel production. Most of Chinese steel exports go to other Asian…

The market is expecting US tariffs on Chinese steel exports wrongly believing Chinese are major steel   exporters to the US.Steel exports to US from China are low at about 2.9mt in November. If the US adds more steel tariffs, it will have little impact to the steel market or prices but it will possibly cause a retaliation by the Chinese.China only exports 26% of Global Steel Exports, far lower than the 50% of their total global steel production. Most of Chinese steel exports go to other Asian…

Market Is Wrong on US Tariffs for Chinese Steel

United States

Freeport-McMoRan Inc. is an international natural resources company. The Company operates large, long-lived, geographically diverse assets with significant reserves of copper, gold, molybdenum, cobalt, oil, and gas.

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Freeport Mcmoran (FCX US)

U.S. Equity Strategy Weekly

Breadth is waning – there’s no question about that. Yet selling appears to be discriminate, so far, as if there’s a reason behind which stocks get...

Vermilion Research

Global Materials Sector, Led by Miners, Is Strengthening

Global material stocks are strengthening led by a turnaround in the metals, the global materials sector displays a long-term, relative strength...

Vermilion Research

Trump Tax Impact on US-Mexico Auto Industry Could Have Greatest Impact on Mazda/Mitsubishi

What are the Alternative Taxes and Tariffs Under Consideration and the Objective and the Nature of Each Option?In the US, the Trump Administration...

Speeda Research

Hexindo Adiperkasa Restructuring Not Fully Appreciated. HCM Subsidiary with Upside but Low Liquidity

HEXA liquidity is currently below USD100K per day, making it difficult to invest in for most. Nevertheless, as a follow-up to our brief look at...

Mio Kato

Market Is Wrong on US Tariffs for Chinese Steel

The market is expecting US tariffs on Chinese steel exports wrongly believing Chinese are major steel exporters to the US.Steel exports to US...

Scott Laprise/ 乐天虎

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