Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Bear impulse in China/HK sets up a sell on a squeeze. Sell volumes ignited on the A50 12,400 support break. HSI has been our top short in Asia and rewarded.</li>
<li>We did trim our HSI short at the 15k target but still represents 10% of our book. RSI is oversold with short squeeze risk (then re cycle short).</li>
<li>Hong Kong likes to bottom on big impulsive downside moves so will be interesting how our price and timing models converge.</li>
</ul>


Bear impulse in China/HK sets up a sell on a squeeze. Sell volumes ignited on the A50 12,400 support break. HSI has been our top short in Asia and rewarded.
We did trim our HSI short at the 15k target but still represents 10% of our book. RSI is oversold with short squeeze risk (then re cycle short).
Hong Kong likes to bottom on big impulsive downside moves so will be interesting how our price and timing models converge.


<ul>
<li>HSI has been a top short in Asia and nearing our 22,200 tactical target to reduce short exposure. A50 represents the perform long to build as the bull wedge matures.</li>
<li>HSI RSI nearing oversold level where a rally is expected. Intermediate cycle remains down to sell a rally attempt in March.</li>
<li>A50 15k and 15,350 barriers to clear. Failing would require re setting near lower wedge support.</li>
</ul>


HSI has been a top short in Asia and nearing our 22,200 tactical target to reduce short exposure. A50 represents the perform long to build as the bull wedge matures.
HSI RSI nearing oversold level where a rally is expected. Intermediate cycle remains down to sell a rally attempt in March.
A50 15k and 15,350 barriers to clear. Failing would require re setting near lower wedge support.


HSI Meeting Bear Target - A50 Bull Wedge Maturing

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Technical Analysis

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY)

Monday's turn call to sell down longs and put on additional shorts panned out. Now we are positioning for a mild bounce into the month/quarter end to lean on shorts. October still expected to see another leg down. Bigger cycle date comes in near October 7-8th.Top shorts in Asia are Korea (due to undershoot on the back of SEC) and HSI (nearing a low) and Taiwan as the recent addition to our short conviction group.A50 flirting with big breakout resistance at 15,500 and will drive H share direction. A shares show potential to buck the region negative trend if the A50 clears 15,500 pivot.

Monday's turn call to sell down longs and put on additional shorts panned out. Now we are positioning for a mild bounce into the month/quarter end to lean on shorts. October still expected to see another leg down. Bigger cycle date comes in near October 7-8th.Top shorts in Asia are Korea (due to undershoot on the back of SEC) and HSI (nearing a low) and Taiwan as the recent addition to our short conviction group.A50 flirting with big breakout resistance at 15,500 and will drive H share direction. A shares show potential to buck the region negative trend if the A50 clears 15,500 pivot.

SPX Trendline Rejection/Asia Short Targets

Silver Point

Thomas J. Monaco

Silver Point is a boutique research firm that focuses on the broader financial services sector, with a particular focus on troubled institutions globally. 

Asia Ex Japan

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

*Gaming Caught In The Crosshairs: Mainland China indicated that changes are afoot to gaming regulations, including the appointment of government officials to supervise the companies - just as Macau's lucrative gaming licenses come up for re-bidding in 2022; and*Financials Likely Next: There appears to be a genuine timeline for each sector in mainland China to be taken out to the woodshed. Now that the gaming industry is now being placed under firm control, it would appear to only be a matter of time when the financial sector will be re-configured to suit mainland China’s vision – likely ahead of the national elections in 2022.

*Gaming Caught In The Crosshairs: Mainland China indicated that changes are afoot to gaming regulations, including the appointment of government officials to supervise the companies - just as Macau's lucrative gaming licenses come up for re-bidding in 2022; and*Financials Likely Next: There appears to be a genuine timeline for each sector in mainland China to be taken out to the woodshed. Now that the gaming industry is now being placed under firm control, it would appear to only be a matter of time when the financial sector will be re-configured to suit mainland China’s vision – likely ahead of the national elections in 2022.

Mainland China – Here Comes The Rein Again

Hang Seng China Enterprises Index / Technical Analysis

Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX)

Hong Kong's HSI has been a strategic short in our work since February 2021 and is now closing in on some base line low support. Macro bet turns bullish into fresh September lows.We have a tactical short bounces view into a key low in September with buy targets in A shares, HSCEI and HSI that gel with a terminal wave 5 low forming. A cycle low in September is expected to induce a rally phase into year-end.Headwinds: Policy and US cycle risk.

Hong Kong's HSI has been a strategic short in our work since February 2021 and is now closing in on some base line low support. Macro bet turns bullish into fresh September lows.We have a tactical short bounces view into a key low in September with buy targets in A shares, HSCEI and HSI that gel with a terminal wave 5 low forming. A cycle low in September is expected to induce a rally phase into year-end.Headwinds: Policy and US cycle risk.

China

The FTSE China A50 Index includes the largest 50 A Share Chinese companies by total market cap. 

FTSE China A50 Index (XIN9I INDEX)

China/HSI Uptick Short Levels

Bear impulse in China/HK sets up a sell on a squeeze. Sell volumes ignited on the A50 12,400 support break. HSI has been our top short in Asia and...

Thomas Schroeder

HSI Meeting Bear Target - A50 Bull Wedge Maturing

HSI has been a top short in Asia and nearing our 22,200 tactical target to reduce short exposure. A50 represents the perform long to build as the...

Thomas Schroeder

SPX Trendline Rejection/Asia Short Targets

Monday's turn call to sell down longs and put on additional shorts panned out. Use a month/quarter end bounce to lean on shorts. October to see...

Thomas Schroeder

Mainland China – Here Comes The Rein Again

FINANCIALS IN CROSSHAIRS: Mainland China is appointing government officials to supervise the gaming companies. There appears to be a genuine...

Thomas J. Monaco

Buy China/HK in September

Hong Kong's HSI has been a strategic short in our work since February 2021 and is now closing in on some base line low support. Macro bet turns...

Thomas Schroeder