Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Nervous markets overnight with a number of earnings misses adding downside pressure.</li>
<li>Tokyo Metro IPO kicks off today which should see strong demand especially from risk-adverse retail investors.</li>
<li>Tokyo Metro grey market last Y1400 vs Y1200 listing price, although bookrunners are calling higher levels to start.</li>
</ul>


Nervous markets overnight with a number of earnings misses adding downside pressure.
Tokyo Metro IPO kicks off today which should see strong demand especially from risk-adverse retail investors.
Tokyo Metro grey market last Y1400 vs Y1200 listing price, although bookrunners are calling higher levels to start.


Japan Morning Connection: Tokyo Metro IPO Should See Strong Demand

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The bear market rally that we were on watch for started last week, confirmed by the bullish reversals on the DAX, Hang Seng, MSCI China (MCHI-US), and China Internet (KWEB-US).</li>
<li>Is this just another bear market rally, or will indexes are able to make a higher low and start a new bull market? Either way, it's a start.</li>
<li>We highlight attractive stocks from a bottoms-up perspective, spanning several Sectors. Over half hail from Japan, where the TOPIX Small index is reversing its downtrend.</li>
</ul>


The bear market rally that we were on watch for started last week, confirmed by the bullish reversals on the DAX, Hang Seng, MSCI China (MCHI-US), and China Internet (KWEB-US).
Is this just another bear market rally, or will indexes are able to make a higher low and start a new bull market? Either way, it's a start.
We highlight attractive stocks from a bottoms-up perspective, spanning several Sectors. Over half hail from Japan, where the TOPIX Small index is reversing its downtrend.


Cautiously Optimistic Following Downtrend Reversals; Japan Continues to Lead; Bottoms-Up Stock Rec's

<p>We highlight several positive developments that have occurred since last week’s <em>Int’l Compass </em>report, all of which continue to support our overall constructive outlook. Last week we noted Europe’s STOXX 500 was on the cusp of a breakout above 4040; we got the breakout. WTI and Brent crude oil also broke above key multi-year resistance at $67 and $70, respectively. The MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, and EAFE indexes each hit new all-time highs and remain in uptrends. The MSCI Emerging Markets index (EEM-US) bullishly inflected above short-term resistance at $55.35 and RS is reversing the downtrend. These are all bullish signals for global equities, and our constructive outlook remains appropriate.</p>

We highlight several positive developments that have occurred since last week’s Int’l Compass report, all of which continue to support our overall constructive outlook. Last week we noted Europe’s STOXX 500 was on the cusp of a breakout above 4040; we got the breakout. WTI and Brent crude oil also broke above key multi-year resistance at $67 and $70, respectively. The MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, and EAFE indexes each hit new all-time highs and remain in uptrends. The MSCI Emerging Markets index (EEM-US) bullishly inflected above short-term resistance at $55.35 and RS is reversing the downtrend. These are all bullish signals for global equities, and our constructive outlook remains appropriate.

Major Breakouts For WTI and Brent Crude Oil. Actionable Themes: Energy, Manufacturing, Autos/Parts

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 2 adds/deletes each for the MarketVector Global Uranium and Nuclear Energy Infrastructure Index and for the MVIS Global Uranium &amp; Nuclear Energy Index in June.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/x-energy-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:47990:1" rel="noopener">X-Energy (XE US)</a> will be added to both indices while the other adds and deletes differ across the indices.</li>
<li>The round-trip trade across both indices is US$1.65bn with capping changes resulting in much bigger flow for the MVIS Global Uranium &amp; Nuclear Energy Index.</li>
</ul>


There are 2 adds/deletes each for the MarketVector Global Uranium and Nuclear Energy Infrastructure Index and for the MVIS Global Uranium &amp; Nuclear Energy Index in June.

X-Energy (XE US) will be added to both indices while the other adds and deletes differ across the indices.
The round-trip trade across both indices is US$1.65bn with capping changes resulting in much bigger flow for the MVIS Global Uranium &amp; Nuclear Energy Index.


MV Global Uranium & Nuclear Energy/Infra Index Rebalance: Changes Lead to US$1.65bn Trade

Doing bespoke work since 2002....., Custom Products Group

Patrick Hansen

Doing bespoke work since 2002.....

Custom Products Group

Custom Products was started 14 years ago at Lehman Brothers by current co-founder Patrick Hansen, CFA. After 3 years at Lehman, Patrick moved the team to Macquarie Securities where Simon Rigney (co-founder) joined. 3 years ago we took Custom Products independent. 

Our core strength can be summed up three words. 1- Customization - we have very little off the shelf products and most work is done on a one on one bespoke basis. 2- Speed - We pride ourselves in our ability to get requests back to the client very quickly. 3- Confidentiality - We do not redistribute. There is no grace period where we wait a week and then mass blast. Any request stops with that client.

<p>With Earning Season upon us we looked back over the last 3 weeks to see which names have had a good increase in volume. At the top of the list was <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/209" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:209:1">Kobe Steel Ltd (5406 JP)</a>, but we do not need to get into that. We basically screened for names with a greater than 1 standard deviation spike in volume over the last 3 weeks relative to the 1-year average.</p><h2>Screen Results (Recent spike in Volume)</h2><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/036/623/original/2.png?1509047483" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="36623"></figure><div class="content-caption">Source: Custom Products</div><p>Volume for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/21018" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21018:1">Tsubaki Nakashima Co Ltd (6464 JP)</a> is up 2 standard deviation over the last…</p>

With Earning Season upon us we looked back over the last 3 weeks to see which names have had a good increase in volume. At the top of the list was Kobe Steel Ltd (5406 JP), but we do not need to get into that. We basically screened for names with a greater than 1 standard deviation spike in volume over the last 3 weeks relative to the 1-year average.Screen Results (Recent spike in Volume)Source: Custom ProductsVolume for Tsubaki Nakashima Co Ltd (6464 JP) is up 2 standard deviation over the last…

Names with Increased Volume Leading into Earnings Season....

Japan

FUJI ELECTRIC CO.,LTD manufactures electric machinery and electronic devices. The Company's products include automatic vending machines, factory automation equipment, and power supplies, as well as information and electronic components such as power semiconductors and integrated circuits (ICs).

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Fuji Electric (6504 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: Tokyo Metro IPO Should See Strong Demand

Nervous markets overnight due to a number of earnings misses. Tokyo Metro IPO expected to see strong demand, especially from risk-adverse retail...

Andrew Jackson

Cautiously Optimistic Following Downtrend Reversals; Japan Continues to Lead; Bottoms-Up Stock Rec's

The bear market rally that we were on watch for started last week, confirmed by the bullish reversals on the DAX, Hang Seng, MSCI China $MCHI, and...

Vermilion Research

Major Breakouts For WTI and Brent Crude Oil. Actionable Themes: Energy, Manufacturing, Autos/Parts

Today we highlight several positive developments that have occurred since last week’s Int’l Compass report, all of which continue to support our...

Vermilion Research

MV Global Uranium & Nuclear Energy/Infra Index Rebalance: Changes Lead to US$1.65bn Trade

There are 2 constituent changes each for the NLR and NUCL ETFs. Along with float and capping changes, the gross round-trip trade across both...

Brian Freitas

Names with Increased Volume Leading into Earnings Season....

With Earning Season upon us we looked back over the last 3 weeks to see which names have had a good increase in volume. At the top of the list was...

Custom Products Group

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Japan Morning Connection: Tokyo Metro IPO Should See Strong Demand

​Nervous markets overnight due to a number of earnings misses. Tokyo Metro IPO expected to see strong demand, especially from risk-adverse retail...

Andrew Jackson

Cautiously Optimistic Following Downtrend Reversals; Japan Continues to Lead; Bottoms-Up Stock Rec's

The bear market rally that we were on watch for started last week, confirmed by the bullish reversals on the DAX, Hang Seng, MSCI China $MCHI, and...

Vermilion Research

Major Breakouts For WTI and Brent Crude Oil. Actionable Themes: Energy, Manufacturing, Autos/Parts

Today we highlight several positive developments that have occurred since last week’s Int’l Compass report, all of which continue to support our...

Vermilion Research

MV Global Uranium & Nuclear Energy/Infra Index Rebalance: Changes Lead to US$1.65bn Trade

There are 2 constituent changes each for the NLR and NUCL ETFs. Along with float and capping changes, the gross round-trip trade across both...

Brian Freitas

Names with Increased Volume Leading into Earnings Season....

With Earning Season upon us we looked back over the last 3 weeks to see which names have had a good increase in volume. At the top of the list was...

Custom Products Group

Nervous markets overnight due to a number of earnings misses. Tokyo Metro IPO expected to see strong demand, especially from risk-adverse retail...