Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Numbers from PulteGroup pointing to a nascent bottoming sends builders higher.</li>
<li>Texas Instruments down afterhours will weigh on Rohm, Fuji Elec, Renesas etc, but this may be short lived.</li>
<li>Can Davinci success in the US be a positive read for Sysmex's Hinotori with the stock on its knees?</li>
</ul>


Numbers from PulteGroup pointing to a nascent bottoming sends builders higher.
Texas Instruments down afterhours will weigh on Rohm, Fuji Elec, Renesas etc, but this may be short lived.
Can Davinci success in the US be a positive read for Sysmex's Hinotori with the stock on its knees?


Japan Morning Connection: So Far Takaichi as PM Is Turning Out to Be a Sell the Fact Moment

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Context: The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/honda-motor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:154:1" rel="noopener">Honda (7267 JP)</a> vs. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fuji-heavy-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5439:1" rel="noopener">Subaru (7270 JP)</a> price-ratio has deviated two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Going long Honda (7267 JP) and short Subaru (7270 JP) targets a 5% return.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.</li>
</ul>



Context: The Honda (7267 JP) vs. Subaru (7270 JP) price-ratio has deviated two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.

Highlights: Going long Honda (7267 JP) and short Subaru (7270 JP) targets a 5% return.

Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.


Long Honda (7267 JP) Vs. Short Subaru (7270 JP): Japan Auto Stat Arb Opportunity Targeting 5%

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
Context: After three consecutive up weeks, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1" rel="noopener">Toyota (7203 JP)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp-spon-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8245:1" rel="noopener">Toyota ADR (TM US)</a> now screens as overbought, with quantitative models signaling a high probability of a trend reversal.</li>
<li>
Trade Idea: Elevated implied volatility (82–83rd percentile) makes short call strategies attractive. Selling near-term calls captures rich premium while aligning with downside risk.</li>
<li>
Why Read: This Insight highlights a timely opportunity where technical overbought signals and historically rich IV converge — ideal for investors seeking a tactical setup.</li>
</ul>



Context: After three consecutive up weeks, Toyota (7203 JP) / Toyota ADR (TM US) now screens as overbought, with quantitative models signaling a high probability of a trend reversal.

Trade Idea: Elevated implied volatility (82–83rd percentile) makes short call strategies attractive. Selling near-term calls captures rich premium while aligning with downside risk.

Why Read: This Insight highlights a timely opportunity where technical overbought signals and historically rich IV converge — ideal for investors seeking a tactical setup.


Toyota (7203 JP // TM US) Hits Overbought: Rich Options for Tactical Shorts

<ul>
<li>
Context: The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1" rel="noopener">Toyota (7203 JP)</a> vs. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fuji-heavy-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5439:1" rel="noopener">Subaru (7270 JP)</a> price-ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.</li>
<li>
Highlight: Both companies in this highly correlated pair reported results on 7 August 2025, opening up a rare opportunity.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.</li>
</ul>



Context: The Toyota (7203 JP) vs. Subaru (7270 JP) price-ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.

Highlight: Both companies in this highly correlated pair reported results on 7 August 2025, opening up a rare opportunity.

Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.


Toyota (7203 JP) Vs. Subaru (7270 JP): Rare Mean-Reversion Setup After Earnings

Commonwealth Bank of Australia / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlight: Currently seven pair trade opportunities across two markets and two sectors persist.</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlight: Currently seven pair trade opportunities across two markets and two sectors persist.

Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (18 Aug)

Japan

Subaru Corp manufactures passenger cars, buses, motor vehicle parts, and industrial machinery.  The Company also produces aircraft parts and supplies it to defense agency and Boeing Co.  The Company sells its passenger cars under the Subaru brand name.

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Subaru Corp (7270 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: So Far Takaichi as PM Is Turning Out to Be a Sell the Fact Moment

Power and analog semi's may take a hit after Texas Instruments fell after hours. May be a buy the dip opportunity for Rohm, Fuji Elec and Renesas....

Andrew Jackson

Long Honda (7267 JP) Vs. Short Subaru (7270 JP): Japan Auto Stat Arb Opportunity Targeting 5%

Potential pair trade opportunity in going long Honda (7267 JP) and short Subaru (7270 JP) for a 5% target return, appealing to quantitative traders...

Gaudenz Schneider

Toyota (7203 JP // TM US) Hits Overbought: Rich Options for Tactical Shorts

Rich options and an overbought signal converge, with models pointing to a probable reversal. Short call strategies allow investors to monetize...

Gaudenz Schneider

Toyota (7203 JP) Vs. Subaru (7270 JP): Rare Mean-Reversion Setup After Earnings

The pair long Toyota (7203 JP) vs. short Subaru (7270 JP) has generated a trade close signal as of 18 Aug. The price ratio mean-reverted with...

Gaudenz Schneider

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (18 Aug)

Statistical methodology identifies seven pair trade opportunities across two markets and two sectors. Update on previously flagged opportunities,...

Gaudenz Schneider

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Japan Morning Connection: So Far Takaichi as PM Is Turning Out to Be a Sell the Fact Moment

Power and analog semi's may take a hit after Texas Instruments fell after hours. May be a buy the dip opportunity for Rohm, Fuji Elec and Renesas....

Andrew Jackson

Long Honda (7267 JP) Vs. Short Subaru (7270 JP): Japan Auto Stat Arb Opportunity Targeting 5%

Potential pair trade opportunity in going long Honda (7267 JP) and short Subaru (7270 JP) for a 5% target return, appealing to quantitative traders...

Gaudenz Schneider

Toyota (7203 JP // TM US) Hits Overbought: Rich Options for Tactical Shorts

Rich options and an overbought signal converge, with models pointing to a probable reversal. Short call strategies allow investors to monetize...

Gaudenz Schneider

Toyota (7203 JP) Vs. Subaru (7270 JP): Rare Mean-Reversion Setup After Earnings

The pair long Toyota (7203 JP) vs. short Subaru (7270 JP) has generated a trade close signal as of 18 Aug. The price ratio mean-reverted with...

Gaudenz Schneider

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (18 Aug)

​Statistical methodology identifies seven pair trade opportunities across two markets and two sectors. Update on previously flagged opportunities,...

Gaudenz Schneider

Statistical methodology identifies seven pair trade opportunities across two markets and two sectors. Update on previously flagged opportunities,...