Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Even a slight disappointment from NVDA could trigger a big correction in Japanese SPE names who have already started to waver in the last few days post-earnings. </li>
<li>Lasertec, Disco and Advantest retreating but merely a blip on their 1-year charts with room for more profit taking.</li>
<li>Space names Synspective and Axelspace still look attractive ahead of SpaceX pricing in 3 weeks.</li>
</ul>


Even a slight disappointment from NVDA could trigger a big correction in Japanese SPE names who have already started to waver in the last few days post-earnings. 
Lasertec, Disco and Advantest retreating but merely a blip on their 1-year charts with room for more profit taking.
Space names Synspective and Axelspace still look attractive ahead of SpaceX pricing in 3 weeks.


Japan Morning Connection: NVDA Numbers Tomorrow Loom Over Already Wavering SPE Names

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Oct 2nd. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD30,228m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Advantest, Fujikura, Lasertec, Simplex, Furukawa Electric, Tokyo Electron, Nagoya Railroad, Taiyo Yuden, Toyota Motor.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Oct 2nd. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD30,228m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Advantest, Fujikura, Lasertec, Simplex, Furukawa Electric, Tokyo Electron, Nagoya Railroad, Taiyo Yuden, Toyota Motor.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Oct 2nd): Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Advantest, Fujikura, Lasertec

<ul>
<li>Disco, Kokusai and Softbank among the biggest tech laggards set to scramble higher on ceasefire news.</li>
<li>Intel joining Musk's Terafab and generating interest from Google and Amazon a positive for the main Intel suppliers such as Lasertec and Ibiden.</li>
<li>Defensive outperformers set to lose their recent upside momentum on the risk-on shift.</li>
</ul>


Disco, Kokusai and Softbank among the biggest tech laggards set to scramble higher on ceasefire news.
Intel joining Musk's Terafab and generating interest from Google and Amazon a positive for the main Intel suppliers such as Lasertec and Ibiden.
Defensive outperformers set to lose their recent upside momentum on the risk-on shift.


Japan Morning Connection: Ceasefire Set to Send Tech and AI Laggards Surging Higher

<ul>
<li>QD Laser (6613 JP) was +7.15% yesterday but may continue to get a lift with US optical/phonetic related names outperforming.</li>
<li>A dour tone for Fujitsu Ltd (6702 JP) and NEC Corp (6701 JP) etc, especially with a switch to a more risk-on footing in the wings.</li>
<li>Oil and gas infra names did better overnight, so may get a follow through for Chiyoda Corp (6366 JP) and Jgc Corp (1963 JP).</li>
</ul>


QD Laser (6613 JP) was +7.15% yesterday but may continue to get a lift with US optical/phonetic related names outperforming.
A dour tone for Fujitsu Ltd (6702 JP) and NEC Corp (6701 JP) etc, especially with a switch to a more risk-on footing in the wings.
Oil and gas infra names did better overnight, so may get a follow through for Chiyoda Corp (6366 JP) and Jgc Corp (1963 JP).


Japan Morning Connection: Fading Oil Sets a Positive Tone for Risk-On Tech, Airlines and Shippers

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Suzhou Dongshan Precision A / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish as long as $141.50 support on ACWI-US continues to hold. We discussed last week (2/26/26 Int'l Compass) to trim exposure to Korea and Taiwan...</li>
<li>...Noting for Korea that "with recent upside acceleration there is risk of a larger pullback following the current parabolic upside period."</li>
<li>That pullback has begun to materialize, and the growing list of concerns that we have highlighted since early-February remains a problem for global equities near-term</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish as long as $141.50 support on ACWI-US continues to hold. We discussed last week (2/26/26 Int'l Compass) to trim exposure to Korea and Taiwan...
...Noting for Korea that "with recent upside acceleration there is risk of a larger pullback following the current parabolic upside period."
That pullback has begun to materialize, and the growing list of concerns that we have highlighted since early-February remains a problem for global equities near-term


Pullback Offering Buying Opportunities; Crucial Support at $141.50 on ACWI-US Holding for Now

Japan

Fujikura Ltd. manufactures and sells wires and cables such as optical fiber cables and coaxial cables. The Company's products include optical transmission system, electronic materials, and telecommunication cables.

Price Gauge
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Fujikura Ltd (5803 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: NVDA Numbers Tomorrow Loom Over Already Wavering SPE Names

SPE names brace for NVDA numbers tomorrow after already wavering post earnings. Market remains gun-shy on mainstay AI plays making it likely for...

Andrew Jackson

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Oct 2nd): Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Advantest, Fujikura, Lasertec

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Mitsubishi UFJ Financial (8306 JP), Advantest (6857 JP), Fujikura...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Japan Morning Connection: Ceasefire Set to Send Tech and AI Laggards Surging Higher

A 2-week ceasefire has been agreed, subject to the straits being reopened, sending oil sharply lower and futures sharply higher. Will be a more...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Fading Oil Sets a Positive Tone for Risk-On Tech, Airlines and Shippers

Oil fading at the open sets a positive tone for risk on tech, airlines and shippers, while optical names continue to surge on data center order...

Andrew Jackson

Pullback Offering Buying Opportunities; Crucial Support at $141.50 on ACWI-US Holding for Now

Pullback Offering Buying Opportunities; Crucial Support at $141.50 on $ACWI Holding for Now; Discussed to trim exposure to Korea $EWY and Taiwan...

Vermilion Research

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