Senior Technology Analyst, Japanese Equities, LightStream Research

Scott Foster

Senior Technology Analyst, Japanese Equities

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The UK Post Office "Horizon Scandal" has blown up, putting Fujitsu's computer system failure on the front pages and on the agenda of Parliament and Prime Minister Sunak.</li>
<li>Fujitsu UK has been awarded £6.8bn in public contracts since 2012. The Justice Secretary is  now talking about compensation for the enormous financial and personal damage caused.</li>
<li>Fujitsu's share price is coming off a new all-time high reached in December. The amount of compensation and loss of potential future contracts is substantial but uncertain.</li>
</ul>


The UK Post Office "Horizon Scandal" has blown up, putting Fujitsu's computer system failure on the front pages and on the agenda of Parliament and Prime Minister Sunak.
Fujitsu UK has been awarded £6.8bn in public contracts since 2012. The Justice Secretary is  now talking about compensation for the enormous financial and personal damage caused.
Fujitsu's share price is coming off a new all-time high reached in December. The amount of compensation and loss of potential future contracts is substantial but uncertain.


Fujitsu (6702 JP): Horizon Scandal Blows Up

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<strong>Fujitsu <a href="https://pr.fujitsu.com/jp/ir/finance/2024/pdf/en/01.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Earnings</a></strong>. Revenues +2.1%, OP +77.5%, Pretax +65.1%, Net -13.0% (basis effect from FY23 one-offs). Forecast? Revs -2.8%, OP/adj +35.8%/+17.2%, Net/adj +77.4%/+3.7%. All guided measures shy vs the Street consensus.</li>
<li>The company presented a progress update on its <a href="https://pr.fujitsu.com/jp/ir/finance/2024/pdf/en/md.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Medium-Term Management Plan</a>. Core profits are better. Things are improving. </li>
<li>The company also <a href="https://pr.fujitsu.com/jp/news/2025/04/en/24-2.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> a big 11-month ¥170bn buyback. Last year's was ¥180bn (completed 24 March). Worth checking out the details (and our brand-new buyback tool)</li>
</ul>



Fujitsu Earnings. Revenues +2.1%, OP +77.5%, Pretax +65.1%, Net -13.0% (basis effect from FY23 one-offs). Forecast? Revs -2.8%, OP/adj +35.8%/+17.2%, Net/adj +77.4%/+3.7%. All guided measures shy vs the Street consensus.
The company presented a progress update on its Medium-Term Management Plan. Core profits are better. Things are improving. 
The company also announced a big 11-month ¥170bn buyback. Last year's was ¥180bn (completed 24 March). Worth checking out the details (and our brand-new buyback tool)


Fujitsu (6702) - Earnings/Guidance OK, Margins Better, But New Quiddity Buyback Data Tool 🥳

Japanese Turnaround Situations, Short-Ideas, Azabu Research

Michael Allen

Japanese Turnaround Situations, Short-Ideas

Azabu Research

Azabu Research is a publishing and consulting firm focused on distressed equities in the Japanese market. We specialize in turnaround strategies, corporate combinations, divestitures, and restructuring.

Publisher of the Tokyo Turnaround Letter, which conducts the most thorough research possible of publicly available information, including forensic tests for fraudulent overstatement of assets and understatement of liabilities, as well as rigorous market and industry analysis to assess the underlying strengths of the company’s products or services, the appropriateness of the company’s turnaround strategy, and the skill of its current management team. The average length of a report exceeds 25 pages of text and tables, excluding any disclosures or executive summaries.

We have more than 30 years of experience in applying this process to distressed equities in Japan. Additionally, subscribers have free access to detailed, yet easily navigated earnings models for the target company as well as the top five comparable companies, and unlimited access to the analyst for follow-up questions.

Azabu Research also conducts be-spoke research on a project basis, and provides consulting services to companies looking to restructure, divest, make acquisitions, go public, or improve investor sentiment toward their stock.

Independent Research and Consulting Firm

<ul>
<li>A massive shortage of IT professionals combined with Shift's overwhelming dominance of the labor market should drive 20% annual revenue growth through 2030. </li>
<li>But Shift missed consensus profitability estimates 3 consecutive quarters, and the share price is down 67% in 12 months, compared to an 18% rise in the median peer. </li>
<li>In our view, a recovery in profitability is already underway, and shares are at least 45% undervalued</li>
</ul>


A massive shortage of IT professionals combined with Shift's overwhelming dominance of the labor market should drive 20% annual revenue growth through 2030. 
But Shift missed consensus profitability estimates 3 consecutive quarters, and the share price is down 67% in 12 months, compared to an 18% rise in the median peer. 
In our view, a recovery in profitability is already underway, and shares are at least 45% undervalued


Shift (3697): Profitability Rebound Underway

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Tech laggards bought in the US showing many in the market scrambling to catch the upside after the rapid snapback from last weeks drop.</li>
<li>Server related strength after Cisco numbers may see sentiment for Nidec finally improving with its cooling modules business emerging as an earnings driver.</li>
<li>Strong numbers for Coherent confirm the positive trends for its optical transceiver business which points to continued upside for AI data center plays</li>
</ul>


Tech laggards bought in the US showing many in the market scrambling to catch the upside after the rapid snapback from last weeks drop.
Server related strength after Cisco numbers may see sentiment for Nidec finally improving with its cooling modules business emerging as an earnings driver.
Strong numbers for Coherent confirm the positive trends for its optical transceiver business which points to continued upside for AI data center plays


Japan Morning Connection: Sanken Electric, Nidec, Asahi Intecc

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

<ul>
<li>There are signs of a recovery in the chip sector</li>
<li>Memory spot prices are up, and revenues have risen for six consecutive months</li>
<li>Growth is higher than average, indicating the start of another super-cycle</li>
</ul>


There are signs of a recovery in the chip sector
Memory spot prices are up, and revenues have risen for six consecutive months
Growth is higher than average, indicating the start of another super-cycle


Japan

Fujitsu Ltd manufactures semiconductor, computer, and communication equipment. The Company provides comprehensive information technology, network and telecommunication solutions, and Internet services.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Fujitsu Ltd (6702 JP)

Fujitsu (6702 JP): Horizon Scandal Blows Up

The UK Post Office Horizon Scandal has blown up. Fujitsu likely to pay compensation and lose future business due to its computer system failures....

Scott Foster

Fujitsu (6702) - Earnings/Guidance OK, Margins Better, But New Quiddity Buyback Data Tool 🥳

Fujitsu earnings came out. A little light on both results and guidance (waves hand at world). We also got a buyback. Supply/demand dynamics are not...

Travis Lundy

Shift (3697): Profitability Rebound Underway

Japan's massive shortage of IT professionals and Shift's dominance of the IT labor market should sustain 20% annual sales growth. Profit could grow...

Michael Allen

Japan Morning Connection: Sanken Electric, Nidec, Asahi Intecc

US tech laggards are now catching up after a rapid rebound, server-related strength boosts Nidec's sentiment, and Coherent's strong numbers...

Andrew Jackson

Are Semiconductors Finally Recovering?

The chip sector is beginning to recover with rising memory prices and six consecutive months of above-average revenue growth, suggesting the onset...

Jim Handy

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Fujitsu (6702 JP): Horizon Scandal Blows Up

The UK Post Office Horizon Scandal has blown up. Fujitsu likely to pay compensation and lose future business due to its computer system failures....

Scott Foster

Fujitsu (6702) - Earnings/Guidance OK, Margins Better, But New Quiddity Buyback Data Tool 🥳

Fujitsu earnings came out. A little light on both results and guidance (waves hand at world). We also got a buyback. Supply/demand dynamics are not...

Travis Lundy

Shift (3697): Profitability Rebound Underway

Japan's massive shortage of IT professionals and Shift's dominance of the IT labor market should sustain 20% annual sales growth. Profit could grow...

Michael Allen

Japan Morning Connection: Sanken Electric, Nidec, Asahi Intecc

​US tech laggards are now catching up after a rapid rebound, server-related strength boosts Nidec's sentiment, and Coherent's strong numbers...

Andrew Jackson

Are Semiconductors Finally Recovering?

​The chip sector is beginning to recover with rising memory prices and six consecutive months of above-average revenue growth, suggesting the onset...

Jim Handy

US tech laggards are now catching up after a rapid rebound, server-related strength boosts Nidec's sentiment, and Coherent's strong numbers...

The chip sector is beginning to recover with rising memory prices and six consecutive months of above-average revenue growth, suggesting the onset...