Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>So far, global markets remain optimistic that the damage from the war in Iran will be repaired relatively soon; however, that will change as the war enters its second month.</li>
<li>Asian countries are highly dependent on oil and gas shipments from the Middle East, with airlines, petrochemical companies, and gas distribution companies all negatively affected.</li>
<li>Iran now controls when the flow of energy from the Middle East starts and thereby when the war stops. Gulf countries will not allow Iran to be the Straits gatekeeper.</li>
</ul>


So far, global markets remain optimistic that the damage from the war in Iran will be repaired relatively soon; however, that will change as the war enters its second month.
Asian countries are highly dependent on oil and gas shipments from the Middle East, with airlines, petrochemical companies, and gas distribution companies all negatively affected.
Iran now controls when the flow of energy from the Middle East starts and thereby when the war stops. Gulf countries will not allow Iran to be the Straits gatekeeper.


OIL: When a Short-Term Spike Becomes Long-Term Reality

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The Iran war has effectively severed India's primary LNG supply corridor, triggering output cuts at at least three domestic urea plants and a force majeure notice from Petronet LNG.</li>
<li>LNG accounts for 80% of fertiliser sector gas demand in India. A prolonged disruption arriving just ahead of kharif planting risks higher subsidy burdens, costlier imports, margin compression for companies.</li>
<li>Gas-Dependent urea producers (Chambal, GSFC, NFL, RCF) face near-term earnings headwinds; phosphate-focused names like Coromandel could face sulphur input inflation.</li>
</ul>


The Iran war has effectively severed India's primary LNG supply corridor, triggering output cuts at at least three domestic urea plants and a force majeure notice from Petronet LNG.
LNG accounts for 80% of fertiliser sector gas demand in India. A prolonged disruption arriving just ahead of kharif planting risks higher subsidy burdens, costlier imports, margin compression for companies.
Gas-Dependent urea producers (Chambal, GSFC, NFL, RCF) face near-term earnings headwinds; phosphate-focused names like Coromandel could face sulphur input inflation.


How the Iran War Is Squeezing India's Fertiliser Sector?

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-India in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on SWIGGY, HDFC Bank, Axis Bank, Reliance Industries, Bharti Airtel, Hindustan Petroleum, Adani Enterprises, GMR Airports.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-India in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on SWIGGY, HDFC Bank, Axis Bank, Reliance Industries, Bharti Airtel, Hindustan Petroleum, Adani Enterprises, GMR Airports.


MS-India Index Earning Revision (Sep): SWIGGY, HDFC Bank, Axis Bank, Reliance Industries

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

<ul>
<li>GAIL and BPCL have partnered with Chhattisgarh Biofuel Development Authority to establish compressed biogas plants in six cities, utilizing urban waste for clean energy production, promoting sustainability, and creating jobs.</li>
<li>India’s 2025-26 budget is expected to allocate Rs 30,000 crore to new and renewable energy, with PM Surya Ghar scheme aiming for 50 lakh rooftop solar installations by 2026.</li>
<li>Airtel and Bajaj Finance have partnered to create a digital financial services platform. Initially, Airtel will offer Bajaj Finance’s products via its Airtel Thanks App, expanding to nationwide stores later.</li>
</ul>


GAIL and BPCL have partnered with Chhattisgarh Biofuel Development Authority to establish compressed biogas plants in six cities, utilizing urban waste for clean energy production, promoting sustainability, and creating jobs.
India’s 2025-26 budget is expected to allocate Rs 30,000 crore to new and renewable energy, with PM Surya Ghar scheme aiming for 50 lakh rooftop solar installations by 2026.
Airtel and Bajaj Finance have partnered to create a digital financial services platform. Initially, Airtel will offer Bajaj Finance’s products via its Airtel Thanks App, expanding to nationwide stores later.


#91 India Insight: GAIL, BPCL Biogas Plants; Airtel, Bajaj Launch ; ₹30k Cr for Renewable Energy

<ul>
<li>Natural gas may be brought under GST at 18%, replacing fragmented state taxes and excise duties.</li>
<li>Uniform GST boosts cost efficiency, increases gas competitiveness, and benefits companies’ margins.</li>
<li>A simpler, uniform tax regime accelerates natural gas adoption, driving long-term industry growth and profitability.</li>
</ul>


Natural gas may be brought under GST at 18%, replacing fragmented state taxes and excise duties.
Uniform GST boosts cost efficiency, increases gas competitiveness, and benefits companies’ margins.
A simpler, uniform tax regime accelerates natural gas adoption, driving long-term industry growth and profitability.


India

GAIL is an Indian state-owned energy corporation primarily involved in the trade, transmission, production, and distribution of natural gas, as well as LPG and other liquid hydrocarbons. The company also has diversified interests in petrochemicals, city gas distribution, renewable energy, and exploration and production activities. GAIL is headquartered in New Delhi, India, and was founded in August 1984.

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GAIL (GAIL IN)

OIL: When a Short-Term Spike Becomes Long-Term Reality

So far, global markets remain optimistic that the damage from the war in Iran will be repaired relatively soon; however, that will change as the...

David Mudd

How the Iran War Is Squeezing India's Fertiliser Sector?

With LNG flows from the Strait of Hormuz near standstill and Qatar's mega urea plant dark, India's fertiliser companies face a feedstock shock at...

Nimish Maheshwari

MS-India Index Earning Revision (Sep): SWIGGY, HDFC Bank, Axis Bank, Reliance Industries

We analyzed MS-India's consensus for Sep 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in SWIGGY, HDFC Bank, Axis Bank, Reliance Industries, Bharti Airtel,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

#91 India Insight: GAIL, BPCL Biogas Plants; Airtel, Bajaj Launch ; ₹30k Cr for Renewable Energy

GAIL and BPCL partner with Chhattisgarh for biogas plants, India's budget to allocate Rs 30,000 crore for renewable energy, Airtel and Bajaj...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Impact of Bringing Natural Gas Under GST

Proposed inclusion of natural gas in GST at 18% could enhance cost efficiency, competitiveness, and industry growth due to higher demand.

Nimish Maheshwari

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

OIL: When a Short-Term Spike Becomes Long-Term Reality

So far, global markets remain optimistic that the damage from the war in Iran will be repaired relatively soon; however, that will change as the...

David Mudd

How the Iran War Is Squeezing India's Fertiliser Sector?

With LNG flows from the Strait of Hormuz near standstill and Qatar's mega urea plant dark, India's fertiliser companies face a feedstock shock at...

Nimish Maheshwari

MS-India Index Earning Revision (Sep): SWIGGY, HDFC Bank, Axis Bank, Reliance Industries

We analyzed MS-India's consensus for Sep 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in SWIGGY, HDFC Bank, Axis Bank, Reliance Industries, Bharti Airtel,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

#91 India Insight: GAIL, BPCL Biogas Plants; Airtel, Bajaj Launch ; ₹30k Cr for Renewable Energy

​GAIL and BPCL partner with Chhattisgarh for biogas plants, India's budget to allocate Rs 30,000 crore for renewable energy, Airtel and Bajaj...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Impact of Bringing Natural Gas Under GST

​Proposed inclusion of natural gas in GST at 18% could enhance cost efficiency, competitiveness, and industry growth due to higher demand.

Nimish Maheshwari

GAIL and BPCL partner with Chhattisgarh for biogas plants, India's budget to allocate Rs 30,000 crore for renewable energy, Airtel and Bajaj...

Proposed inclusion of natural gas in GST at 18% could enhance cost efficiency, competitiveness, and industry growth due to higher demand.