HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The assassination of Trump in July has greatly increased the probability of his election as president this year. However, a Trump presidency is not necessarily good for healthcare industry.</li>
<li>Trump's reform in the field of healthcare has two major propositions - One is to achieve the independence of US pharmaceutical supply chain. The other is to reduce drug prices.</li>
<li>From a US national security perspective, China's APIs/CXO would be the segments with the highest sanction risk. China Biotech may also face some headwinds. The risk of "decoupling" further increases.</li>
</ul>


The assassination of Trump in July has greatly increased the probability of his election as president this year. However, a Trump presidency is not necessarily good for healthcare industry.
Trump's reform in the field of healthcare has two major propositions - One is to achieve the independence of US pharmaceutical supply chain. The other is to reduce drug prices.
From a US national security perspective, China's APIs/CXO would be the segments with the highest sanction risk. China Biotech may also face some headwinds. The risk of "decoupling" further increases.


What Does a Trump Presidency Mean for China Healthcare?

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-biologics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22932:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Biologics (207940 KS)</a> signed a contract manufacturing agreement worth KRW1.7T ($1.2B) with an Asian pharmaceutical company. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celltrion-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:991:1" rel="noopener">Celltrion Inc (068270 KS)</a> has announced KRW100B ($72M) share buyback, starting October 28.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astellas-pharma-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6091:1" rel="noopener">Astellas Pharma (4503 JP)</a> received FDA approval for Vyloy for gastric cancer. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shionogi-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19535:1" rel="noopener">Shionogi &amp; Co (4507 JP)</a> received FDA Fast Track designation for its RSV drug candidate, S-337395.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zai-lab-ltd-94df40cf-c15e-462f-b3de-8d2d434ae935" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36261:1" rel="noopener">Zai Lab (9688 HK)</a> announced positive topline data from global Phase 1a/1b study of ZL-1310 in small cell lung cancer. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/legend-biotech-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28963:1" rel="noopener">Legend Biotech Corp (LEGN US)</a> sheds Genscript Biotech as its majority shareholder.</li>
</ul>



Samsung Biologics (207940 KS) signed a contract manufacturing agreement worth KRW1.7T ($1.2B) with an Asian pharmaceutical company. Celltrion Inc (068270 KS) has announced KRW100B ($72M) share buyback, starting October 28.

Astellas Pharma (4503 JP) received FDA approval for Vyloy for gastric cancer. Shionogi &amp; Co (4507 JP) received FDA Fast Track designation for its RSV drug candidate, S-337395.

Zai Lab (9688 HK) announced positive topline data from global Phase 1a/1b study of ZL-1310 in small cell lung cancer. Legend Biotech Corp (LEGN US) sheds Genscript Biotech as its majority shareholder.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (Oct 27)- Samsung Biologics, Celltrion, Astellas, Otsuka, Legend, and Zai Lab

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong dollar is strengthening as demand picks up and the carry trade unwinds quickly.  Put/Call Skew declines for HSTech Index as traders sentiment reverses.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hengan-international-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29:1" rel="noopener">Hengan International Group (1044 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/galaxy-entertainment-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:806:1" rel="noopener">Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK)</a> had breakouts from declining wedge patterns and have now formed new uptrends.
</li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-apptec" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23679:1" rel="noopener">Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK)</a> had a breakout reversal from a U-shaped pattern indicating more upside.  The stock's 200 DMA may provide little resistance to further re-rating.</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong dollar is strengthening as demand picks up and the carry trade unwinds quickly.  Put/Call Skew declines for HSTech Index as traders sentiment reverses.

Hengan International Group (1044 HK) and Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK) had breakouts from declining wedge patterns and have now formed new uptrends.

Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK) had a breakout reversal from a U-shaped pattern indicating more upside.  The stock's 200 DMA may provide little resistance to further re-rating.


Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (SEPTEMBER 30)

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 28th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Alibaba, Wuxi Apptec, China Resources Land, Zijin Gold Intl, Yofc, China Life, Minimax, China Mobile, Sensetime, Kingdee.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 28th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in Alibaba, Wuxi Apptec, China Resources Land, Zijin Gold Intl, Yofc, China Life, Minimax, China Mobile, Sensetime, Kingdee.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Alibaba, Wuxi Apptec, China Resources Land, Zijin Gold Intl, Yofc, Minimax

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 4th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Zj Innolight, Tencent, AIA, Minimax, Knowledge Atlas, Yofc, Hua Hong Semi, CCB, Alibaba, ICBC.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 4th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Zj Innolight, Tencent, AIA, Minimax, Knowledge Atlas, Yofc, Hua Hong Semi, CCB, Alibaba, ICBC.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Sep 4th): Zj Innolight, Tencent, AIA, Minimax, Knowledge Atlas, Yofc, CCB

China

GenScript Biotech is a global biotechnology company providing life science research services and products, including gene synthesis, peptide synthesis, protein production, and antibody development. It also offers biologics contract development and manufacturing (CDMO) services and industrial synthetic biology products. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Nanjing, China.

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GenScript Biotech (1548 HK)

What Does a Trump Presidency Mean for China Healthcare?

Trump successfully elected as the US President. His reform in healthcare is to achieve the independence of US pharmaceutical supply chain and...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

APAC Healthcare Weekly (Oct 27)- Samsung Biologics, Celltrion, Astellas, Otsuka, Legend, and Zai Lab

Samsung Biologics secures largest ever contract, Celltrion announced KRW100B buyback, Astellas Pharma got label expansion approval for Vyloy,...

Tina Banerjee

Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (SEPTEMBER 30)

Hong Kong dollar strengthens to the strong end of the band. Hengan and Galaxy share prices have both broken out of Falling Wedge patterns. Wuxi...

David Mudd

HK Short Interest Weekly: Alibaba, Wuxi Apptec, China Resources Land, Zijin Gold Intl, Yofc, Minimax

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 28th and highlight short interest changes in Alibaba (9988 HK), Wuxi...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Sep 4th): Zj Innolight, Tencent, AIA, Minimax, Knowledge Atlas, Yofc, CCB

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Zj Innolight, Tencent, AIA, Minimax, Knowledge Atlas,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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