Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>In January 2024, Thai export value demonstrated significant growth, surpassing expectations with a YoY increase of 10%.</li><li>This robust performance contrasts with December 2023's growth of 4.7% YoY and the NESDC’s export growth projection for this year at 2.9%.</li><li>The healthy growth can be attributed to stronger-than-anticipated demand from trading partners, both in the primary markets — such as the US, which experienced a YoY increase of 13.7% compared to 0.3% in December — and secondary markets like Hong Kong and Russia. </li></ul>

In January 2024, Thai export value demonstrated significant growth, surpassing expectations with a YoY increase of 10%.This robust performance contrasts with December 2023's growth of 4.7% YoY and the NESDC’s export growth projection for this year at 2.9%.The healthy growth can be attributed to stronger-than-anticipated demand from trading partners, both in the primary markets — such as the US, which experienced a YoY increase of 13.7% compared to 0.3% in December — and secondary markets like Hong Kong and Russia. 

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Technically, the SET Index is expected to weaken, with the support at 1,378/1,372 points and the resistance at 1,395 points (50-day EMA)/1,400 points.</li><li>A positive surprise could arise if these rates are lowered from their current levels of 3.45% and 4.2%, respectively.</li><li>We recommend stocks with positive issues: MC, COCOCO, and GFPT.</li></ul>

Technically, the SET Index is expected to weaken, with the support at 1,378/1,372 points and the resistance at 1,395 points (50-day EMA)/1,400 points.A positive surprise could arise if these rates are lowered from their current levels of 3.45% and 4.2%, respectively.We recommend stocks with positive issues: MC, COCOCO, and GFPT.

Expect Positive Surprise from China's Loan Prime Rates

<ul><li>Technically, we expect the SET Index to move sideways up, with the resistance at 1,409 points (75-day EMA/1,416 points) and the support at 1,390 points/1,387 points (25-day EMA).</li><li>The index is still moving in an upward direction, having continued to hit higher highs and higher lows for the fourth consecutive day and successfully breaching the 25-day and 50-day short-term moving averages.</li><li>The target is to test the previous resistance at 1,416 /1,438 points, respectively.</li></ul>

Technically, we expect the SET Index to move sideways up, with the resistance at 1,409 points (75-day EMA/1,416 points) and the support at 1,390 points/1,387 points (25-day EMA).The index is still moving in an upward direction, having continued to hit higher highs and higher lows for the fourth consecutive day and successfully breaching the 25-day and 50-day short-term moving averages.The target is to test the previous resistance at 1,416 /1,438 points, respectively.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the resistance at 1,424 points (25-day EMA) / 1,431 points and the support at 1,407 points (10-day EMA)/1,400 points.</li><li>Any indication of higher-for-longer rates could exert a negative impact on markets.</li><li>If the number of bidders falls short of the supply, indicating diminished demand, this could adversely affect US equity markets, especially the loan and mortgage sectors, as well as global equity markets.</li></ul>

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the resistance at 1,424 points (25-day EMA) / 1,431 points and the support at 1,407 points (10-day EMA)/1,400 points.Any indication of higher-for-longer rates could exert a negative impact on markets.If the number of bidders falls short of the supply, indicating diminished demand, this could adversely affect US equity markets, especially the loan and mortgage sectors, as well as global equity markets.

Wait for Rate Signals From Fed Chairman and Presidents

Technical Analysis

<ul><li>Asian bourses recovered in tandem with US markets amid speculation on 3Q23 earnings.</li><li>The index experienced a mere technical rebound, as trading volume was below an adequate level.</li><li>We expect the index to swing sideways after volume was light and recommend buying on weakness, selling on strength.</li></ul>

Asian bourses recovered in tandem with US markets amid speculation on 3Q23 earnings.The index experienced a mere technical rebound, as trading volume was below an adequate level.We expect the index to swing sideways after volume was light and recommend buying on weakness, selling on strength.

Recommendation: Buy on Weakness, Sell on Strength

Thailand

GFPT Public Company Limited operates a fully integrated poultry business, encompassing feed mills, breeder and broiler farms, hatcheries, chicken evisceration, and processed food production. The company produces and distributes fresh, frozen, and cooked chicken products, as well as land and aquatic animal feed, for both domestic and international markets. GFPT was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.

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GFPT (GFPT TB)

Economic Update – Exports & Imports

This robust performance contrasts with December 2023's growth of 4.7% YoY and the NESDC’s export growth projection for this year at 2.9%.

Krungthai XSpring

Expect Positive Surprise from China's Loan Prime Rates

Technically, the SET Index is expected to weaken, with the support at 1,378/1,372 points and the resistance at 1,395 points (50-day EMA)/1,400...

Krungthai XSpring

KTX Zoom - Feb 8, 0224

Technically, we expect the SET Index to move sideways up, with the resistance at 1,409 points (75-day EMA/1,416 points) and the support at 1,390...

Krungthai XSpring

Wait for Rate Signals From Fed Chairman and Presidents

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the resistance at 1,424 points (25-day EMA) / 1,431 points and the support at 1,407...

Krungthai XSpring

Recommendation: Buy on Weakness, Sell on Strength

Asian bourses recovered in tandem with US markets amid speculation on 3Q23 earnings. The index experienced a mere technical rebound, as trading...

Krungthai XSpring

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