Asia and Global Semiconductor and Tech Research

Andrew Lu

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>More y/y improvement (or decline deceleration) for PC/server, power management IC (PMIC), CMOS sensor/touch controller, GaAs RF/VCSEL, gaming GPU card, memory, and foundry vendors</li>
<li>GaAs RF/VCSEL and gaming GPU card vendors saw very impressive sales growth, driven by new phones introduction and rush orders to use NVIDIA RTX 4090 gaming card for AI training.</li>
<li>Stronger than expected Oct for TSMC and Gigabyte might drive 4Q sales and near term share price upside; Visera, Andes Tech, and AP Memory might see sales and price downside.</li>
</ul>


More y/y improvement (or decline deceleration) for PC/server, power management IC (PMIC), CMOS sensor/touch controller, GaAs RF/VCSEL, gaming GPU card, memory, and foundry vendors
GaAs RF/VCSEL and gaming GPU card vendors saw very impressive sales growth, driven by new phones introduction and rush orders to use NVIDIA RTX 4090 gaming card for AI training.
Stronger than expected Oct for TSMC and Gigabyte might drive 4Q sales and near term share price upside; Visera, Andes Tech, and AP Memory might see sales and price downside.


What Early Indicators from the Reported Oct 23 Taiwan Semi Sales

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (TSM US)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>U.S. expands China chip restrictions -- Implementing lower performance thresholds and further restricting sales via third party countries.</li>
<li>Intel and AMD chips likely also impacted, as well as equipment from ASML, Lam, Applied Materials, Tokyo Electron and others. We will learn more today from Lam and ASML results.</li>
<li>Taiwan AI Plays also to be impacted -- Shares of Wistron, Quanta, Gold Circuit, Asia Vital Gigabyte, Super Micro, Alchip appear precarious.</li>
</ul>


U.S. expands China chip restrictions -- Implementing lower performance thresholds and further restricting sales via third party countries.
Intel and AMD chips likely also impacted, as well as equipment from ASML, Lam, Applied Materials, Tokyo Electron and others. We will learn more today from Lam and ASML results.
Taiwan AI Plays also to be impacted -- Shares of Wistron, Quanta, Gold Circuit, Asia Vital Gigabyte, Super Micro, Alchip appear precarious.


U.S. Expands China Chip Restrictions: Taiwan AI Names Most at Risk of Pullback

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Oct 9th. The aggregated short interest was USD41.5bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Shin Kong Financial, UMC, Zhen Ding Technology, Winbond Electronics, MediaTek.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Oct 9th. The aggregated short interest was USD41.5bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Shin Kong Financial, UMC, Zhen Ding Technology, Winbond Electronics, MediaTek.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Oct 9th): Shin Kong Financial, UMC, Zhen Ding Technology, MediaTek

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Oct 2nd. The aggregated short interest was USD41.4bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Shin Kong Financial, Gold Circuit Electronics, Wistron, Walsin Technology, Nanya Technology.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Oct 2nd. The aggregated short interest was USD41.4bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Shin Kong Financial, Gold Circuit Electronics, Wistron, Walsin Technology, Nanya Technology.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Oct 2nd): Shin Kong Financial, Gold Circuit Electronics, Wistron

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Sep 25th. The aggregated short interest was USD41.3bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Shin Kong Financial, Zhen Ding Technology, ASE Industrial, Nan Ya Plastics, Wistron.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Sep 25th. The aggregated short interest was USD41.3bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Shin Kong Financial, Zhen Ding Technology, ASE Industrial, Nan Ya Plastics, Wistron.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Sep 25th): Shin Kong Financial, Zhen Ding Technology, ASE Industrial

Taiwan

Gigabyte Technology Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets computer motherboards and other peripheral products.

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Gigabyte Technology (2376 TT)

What Early Indicators from the Reported Oct 23 Taiwan Semi Sales

What Early Indicators from the Reported Oct 23 Taiwan Semi Sales? PC/server, PMIC, CMOS sensor/touch controller, GaAs RF, gaming GPU card, memory...

Andrew Lu

U.S. Expands China Chip Restrictions: Taiwan AI Names Most at Risk of Pullback

Intel and AMD chips likely also impacted, as well as equipment from ASML, Lam, Applied Materials, Tokyo Electron and others. Rather than sell...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Oct 9th): Shin Kong Financial, UMC, Zhen Ding Technology, MediaTek

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Shin Kong Financial, UMC, Zhen Ding Technology,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Oct 2nd): Shin Kong Financial, Gold Circuit Electronics, Wistron

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Shin Kong Financial, Gold Circuit Electronics,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Sep 25th): Shin Kong Financial, Zhen Ding Technology, ASE Industrial

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Shin Kong Financial, Zhen Ding Technology, ASE...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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52-week Range

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