Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

S&P BSE SENSEX Index / Technical Analysis

S&P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX EQUITY)

<ul>
<li>Our 2023 outlook remains unchanged as we continue to expect broad-based consolidation with $93 capping upside on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), while important downside targets are $86, $84, and $75-77.</li>
<li>We still recommend tactical overweight to defensives including gold miners and MSCI ACWI Staples, Health Care, and Utilities, given ACWI-US remains near the top of our expected 2023 trading range.</li>
<li>We are now starting to see broad-based improvement, particularly in Japan and India, but also in Taiwan and South Korea. Most of today's buy recommendations are cyclicals in these countries.</li>
</ul>


Our 2023 outlook remains unchanged as we continue to expect broad-based consolidation with $93 capping upside on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), while important downside targets are $86, $84, and $75-77.
We still recommend tactical overweight to defensives including gold miners and MSCI ACWI Staples, Health Care, and Utilities, given ACWI-US remains near the top of our expected 2023 trading range.
We are now starting to see broad-based improvement, particularly in Japan and India, but also in Taiwan and South Korea. Most of today's buy recommendations are cyclicals in these countries.


Broad-Based Improvement in India, Add Exposure/Overweight. Buys: Cyclicals in Japan, India, & Taiwan

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (TSM US)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>TSMC is holding about US$1bn of finished Apple processors it cannot package for want of DRAM, and first-half smartphone processor shipments fell 15% year over year.</li>
<li>Memory revenue rose 305% in the first half against 45% for logic; WSTS raised its 2026 industry forecast to US$1.655tn, growth of 108%.</li>
<li>Winbond's customers are pressing for supply contracts running into 2030, SanDisk has sold about two-thirds of its fiscal 2028 output, and Nan Ya PCB approved its largest ever plant.</li>
</ul>


TSMC is holding about US$1bn of finished Apple processors it cannot package for want of DRAM, and first-half smartphone processor shipments fell 15% year over year.
Memory revenue rose 305% in the first half against 45% for logic; WSTS raised its 2026 industry forecast to US$1.655tn, growth of 108%.
Winbond's customers are pressing for supply contracts running into 2030, SanDisk has sold about two-thirds of its fiscal 2028 output, and Nan Ya PCB approved its largest ever plant.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: DRAM Strands US$1bn of Apple Chips; Customers Now Book 2030 Capacity

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Aug 7th. The aggregated holding was USD2,146.7bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD3,263mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Quanta Computer, Nanya Technology, TSMC, Wistron, Hon Hai Precision.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Aug 7th. The aggregated holding was USD2,146.7bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD3,263mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Quanta Computer, Nanya Technology, TSMC, Wistron, Hon Hai Precision.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 7th): Quanta Computer, Nanya Technology, TSMC, Wistron

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bizlink-holding-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6779:1" rel="noopener">Bizlink Holding (3665 TT)</a> is looking to raise up to US$315m in its upcoming GDRs offering. The firm is also looking to raise another US$500m via convertible bonds.</li>
<li>Similar to previous GDR listings, the firm has undergone a long drawn out process prior to launching the deal, having to jump through a number of board/shareholder/regulatory approval loops.</li>
<li>In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Bizlink Holding (3665 TT) is looking to raise up to US$315m in its upcoming GDRs offering. The firm is also looking to raise another US$500m via convertible bonds.
Similar to previous GDR listings, the firm has undergone a long drawn out process prior to launching the deal, having to jump through a number of board/shareholder/regulatory approval loops.
In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.


Aequitas: BizLink Holding Inc Offering - Well Flagged US$815 GDR+CB Combo; Rebound in Stock Momentum

Ezconn Corporation / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ezconn-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2441:1" rel="noopener">Ezconn Corporation (6442 TT)</a> is looking to raise up to US$190m in its upcoming global depository receipts (GDRs) offering.</li>
<li>In June 2026, Ezconn announced its board’s resolution to issue between 4-5m common shares via a GDR offering, with proceeds to be used to purchase overseas raw materials.</li>
<li>Similar to previous GDR listings, the deal is a drawn out process with the firm required to jump through a number of board/shareholder/regulatory approval loops.</li>
</ul>



Ezconn Corporation (6442 TT) is looking to raise up to US$190m in its upcoming global depository receipts (GDRs) offering.
In June 2026, Ezconn announced its board’s resolution to issue between 4-5m common shares via a GDR offering, with proceeds to be used to purchase overseas raw materials.
Similar to previous GDR listings, the deal is a drawn out process with the firm required to jump through a number of board/shareholder/regulatory approval loops.


Aequitas: Ezconn Corporation GDR Early Look - Smaller Deal After a Large Share Price Correction

Taiwan

Gigabyte Technology Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets computer motherboards and other peripheral products.

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Gigabyte Technology (2376 TT)

Broad-Based Improvement in India, Add Exposure/Overweight. Buys: Cyclicals in Japan, India, & Taiwan

Seeing broad-based improvement in India #SENSEX -- overweight/add exposure. We still recommend a tactical overweight to ACWI defensives with $ACWI...

Vermilion Research

Taiwan Tech Weekly: DRAM Strands US$1bn of Apple Chips; Customers Now Book 2030 Capacity

TSMC faces DRAM shortage, smartphone processor shipments drop, memory revenue surges, industry forecast raised, Winbond and SanDisk see strong...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 7th): Quanta Computer, Nanya Technology, TSMC, Wistron

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Quanta Computer, Nanya Technology, TSMC,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Aequitas: BizLink Holding Inc Offering - Well Flagged US$815 GDR+CB Combo; Rebound in Stock Momentum

BizLink Holding Inc is looking to raise up to US$315m in its upcoming global depository receipts (GDRs) offering. The firm is also looking to raise...

Akshat Shah

Price Gauge

52-week Range

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Broad-Based Improvement in India, Add Exposure/Overweight. Buys: Cyclicals in Japan, India, & Taiwan

Seeing broad-based improvement in India #SENSEX -- overweight/add exposure. We still recommend a tactical overweight to ACWI defensives with $ACWI...

Vermilion Research

Taiwan Tech Weekly: DRAM Strands US$1bn of Apple Chips; Customers Now Book 2030 Capacity

​TSMC faces DRAM shortage, smartphone processor shipments drop, memory revenue surges, industry forecast raised, Winbond and SanDisk see strong...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 7th): Quanta Computer, Nanya Technology, TSMC, Wistron

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Quanta Computer, Nanya Technology, TSMC,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Aequitas: BizLink Holding Inc Offering - Well Flagged US$815 GDR+CB Combo; Rebound in Stock Momentum

BizLink Holding Inc is looking to raise up to US$315m in its upcoming global depository receipts (GDRs) offering. The firm is also looking to raise...

Akshat Shah

Aequitas: Ezconn Corporation GDR Early Look - Smaller Deal After a Large Share Price Correction

Ezconn Corporation (6422.TT) is looking to raise up to US$190m in its upcoming global depository receipts (GDRs) offering.

Akshat Shah

TSMC faces DRAM shortage, smartphone processor shipments drop, memory revenue surges, industry forecast raised, Winbond and SanDisk see strong...