Research from Quam Securities, Quam Securities

Quam Securities Research

Research from Quam Securities

Quam Securities

Since its inception in 1986, Quam Securities Limited (Quam Securities) has grown to become one of the few mid-tier securities brokerages in Hong Kong with global execution capabilities for both private and institutional clients. It boasts a well-established network in Greater China including Taiwan and in major world markets through the Global Alliance Partners (GAP). Quam Securities is well-positioned not only to harness and drive business within the China Tonghai International Financial Limited but also between China and the world markets.

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>China’s Jun CPI rose 1.0% y/y, PPI surged 4.1% y/y and hit 4-year high</li><li>The HSI closed at 24,030, down 169 points or 0.7%, reversing early gains as weakness and volatility in regional technology shares weighed on market sentiment.</li><li>SSEC/SZSE/GEI moved by +1.65%/+3.07%/+4.49%, rebounding from one-month lows as investors welcomed the PBOC's pledge to keep policy supportive.</li></ul>

China’s Jun CPI rose 1.0% y/y, PPI surged 4.1% y/y and hit 4-year highThe HSI closed at 24,030, down 169 points or 0.7%, reversing early gains as weakness and volatility in regional technology shares weighed on market sentiment.SSEC/SZSE/GEI moved by +1.65%/+3.07%/+4.49%, rebounding from one-month lows as investors welcomed the PBOC's pledge to keep policy supportive.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>In 1H26, the Hang Seng Index (HSI) has shown a moderate correction but highly distorted signal, declining by ~3,450 points from 26,338 to 22,881 between Jan 2 and Jun 30, 2026.</li><li>However, we believe the headline index performance fails to capture the true market dynamics, particularly the ongoing AI-driven structural rally across AI foundation model, semiconductor memory and PCB names.</li><li>As a result, we believe that HSI is no longer a reliable benchmark for capturing “growth beta” in Hong Kong equities.</li></ul>

In 1H26, the Hang Seng Index (HSI) has shown a moderate correction but highly distorted signal, declining by ~3,450 points from 26,338 to 22,881 between Jan 2 and Jun 30, 2026.However, we believe the headline index performance fails to capture the true market dynamics, particularly the ongoing AI-driven structural rally across AI foundation model, semiconductor memory and PCB names.As a result, we believe that HSI is no longer a reliable benchmark for capturing “growth beta” in Hong Kong equities.

Market Strategy – When the Index Falls Behind – HSI Distortion in an AI-Driven Market

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>We expect global CIS sales to decline 5.1% YoY in 2022, mainly dragged by the weak performance in mobile CIS market.</li><li>We expect CIS market to recover in 2H23, as mobile CIS inventory level returns to a normal level.</li><li>However, challenges remain given high uncertainties in economy and geopolitical issues.</li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

We expect global CIS sales to decline 5.1% YoY in 2022, mainly dragged by the weak performance in mobile CIS market.We expect CIS market to recover in 2H23, as mobile CIS inventory level returns to a normal level.However, challenges remain given high uncertainties in economy and geopolitical issues.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China CIS Sector – Maintain long-term positive outlook; near-term challenges persist

China

GigaDevice Semiconductor Inc. manufactures and distributes non volatile memory devices. The Company produces and sells memory cards, controllers, flash chips, integrated circuits, and other products. GigaDevice Semiconductor also operates goods and technology import and export, import and export agency, and other businesses.

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GigaDevice Semiconductor (603986 CH)

Quam Morning Note (10 Jul) - China CPI

China’s Jun CPI rose 1.0% y/y, PPI surged 4.1% y/y and hit 4-year high The HSI closed at 24,030, down 169 points or 0.7%, reversing early gains as...

Quam Securities

Market Strategy – When the Index Falls Behind – HSI Distortion in an AI-Driven Market

In 1H26, the Hang Seng Index (HSI) has shown a moderate correction but highly distorted signal, declining by ~3,450 points from 26,338 to 22,881...

Quam Securities

China CIS Sector – Maintain long-term positive outlook; near-term challenges persist

We expect CIS market to recover in 2H23, as mobile CIS inventory level returns to a normal level.However, challenges remain given high...

CMB International

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