Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment</li>
<li>Our bullish near-term outlook will remain in place as long as the 6-month uptrend continues on ACWI-US, which generally coincides with the 50-day MA.</li>
<li>Short-Term supports to watch on ACWI-US include the 6-month uptrend (currently at $139.40), the 50-day MA (currently $137.95), and $135.70.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment
Our bullish near-term outlook will remain in place as long as the 6-month uptrend continues on ACWI-US, which generally coincides with the 50-day MA.
Short-Term supports to watch on ACWI-US include the 6-month uptrend (currently at $139.40), the 50-day MA (currently $137.95), and $135.70.


Expecting Upside to Continue into Early-2026 for Global Equities $ACWI

<ul>
<li>A pullback is finally underway following Trump's Friday tape bomb and the decisive loss of the 20-day MA on the SPX, though $<span style="color: #24a9a7;">ACWI is testing the 4-month uptrend at $136</span>
</li>
<li>We are no longer near-term bullish which had been in place since our April 22 report, but we are still bullish intermediate-term and are buyers on pullbacks.</li>
<li>Short-Term supports to watch on ACWI-US include the 4+ month uptrend (currently at $136), $134-$134.50, $131.50-$132, $130, $128, and $125-$126.</li>
</ul>


A pullback is finally underway following Trump's Friday tape bomb and the decisive loss of the 20-day MA on the SPX, though $ACWI is testing the 4-month uptrend at $136

We are no longer near-term bullish which had been in place since our April 22 report, but we are still bullish intermediate-term and are buyers on pullbacks.
Short-Term supports to watch on ACWI-US include the 4+ month uptrend (currently at $136), $134-$134.50, $131.50-$132, $130, $128, and $125-$126.


Stick With Global Technology; Pullback Phase Finally Here on $ACWI; Supports to Buy

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-hengrui-pharmaceuticals-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44224:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals (1276 HK)</a> entered into agreements with Braveheart Bio, to grant Braveheart an exclusive worldwide right of HRS-1893, a selective myosin inhibitor that treats hypertrophic cardiomyopathy.</li>
<li>The only approved product available worldwide is Bristol Myer Squibb’s Camzyos (mavacamten) which was approved for marketing by FDA in April 2022 for obstructive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy.</li>
<li>With Robust R&amp;D and future potential drug candidates under its belt, Jiangsu Hengrui continues to remain an attractive bet, with a long-term perspective.</li>
</ul>



Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals (1276 HK) entered into agreements with Braveheart Bio, to grant Braveheart an exclusive worldwide right of HRS-1893, a selective myosin inhibitor that treats hypertrophic cardiomyopathy.
The only approved product available worldwide is Bristol Myer Squibb’s Camzyos (mavacamten) which was approved for marketing by FDA in April 2022 for obstructive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy.
With Robust R&amp;D and future potential drug candidates under its belt, Jiangsu Hengrui continues to remain an attractive bet, with a long-term perspective.


Jiangsu Hengrui (1276 HK): Deals Galore; This Time for Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy with Braveheart

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beigene-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27352:1" rel="noopener">BeiGene (6160 HK)</a> reported 2Q25 revenues of $1.3B, up 42% YoY (1H25 Revenue: $2.4B, up 45%), driven primarily by growth in Brukinsa sales in the U.S. and Europe.</li>
<li>In 2Q25, U.S. sale of Brukinsa was $684M, up 43% YoY. For three consecutive quarters now, Brukinsa outpaced its closest competitor Calquence which reported US revenue of $583M in 2Q25.</li>
<li>BeiGene now expects 2025 revenue to be in the range of $5.0–5.3B (up 29–39% YoY) compared to the previous revenue guidance of $4.9–5.3B.</li>
</ul>



BeiGene (6160 HK) reported 2Q25 revenues of $1.3B, up 42% YoY (1H25 Revenue: $2.4B, up 45%), driven primarily by growth in Brukinsa sales in the U.S. and Europe.
In 2Q25, U.S. sale of Brukinsa was $684M, up 43% YoY. For three consecutive quarters now, Brukinsa outpaced its closest competitor Calquence which reported US revenue of $583M in 2Q25.
BeiGene now expects 2025 revenue to be in the range of $5.0–5.3B (up 29–39% YoY) compared to the previous revenue guidance of $4.9–5.3B.


BeiGene (6160 HK): Brukinsa Extend Lead in US, Robust Pipeline, Positive Guidance Revision

<ul>
<li>In 1H25, Jiangsu Hengrui reported 16% YoY increase in revenue to RMB 15.8B primarily attributable to the growth of innovative drugs sales along with increase in licensing revenue.</li>
<li>R&amp;D expenses surged 6% to RMB 3.2B due to ongoing clinical trials. Net profit increased 30% YoY to RMB 4.5B resulting in net margin expanding 310bps to 28.3% in 1H25.</li>
<li>In 1H25, the company obtained marketing approvals for six Class 1 innovative drugs, including trastuzumab rezetecan injection (as second line of treatment for NSCLC with HER2 mutations).</li>
</ul>


In 1H25, Jiangsu Hengrui reported 16% YoY increase in revenue to RMB 15.8B primarily attributable to the growth of innovative drugs sales along with increase in licensing revenue.
R&amp;D expenses surged 6% to RMB 3.2B due to ongoing clinical trials. Net profit increased 30% YoY to RMB 4.5B resulting in net margin expanding 310bps to 28.3% in 1H25.
In 1H25, the company obtained marketing approvals for six Class 1 innovative drugs, including trastuzumab rezetecan injection (as second line of treatment for NSCLC with HER2 mutations).


Jiangsu Hengrui (1276 HK): Robust 1H25; Innovative Drugs Key; Out-Licensing Affirm Pipeline Strength

United Kingdom

GlaxoSmithKline PLC operates as a research-based pharmaceutical company. The Company develops, manufactures, and markets vaccines, prescription, and over-the-counter medicines, as well as health-related consumer products. GlaxoSmithKline provides products for infections, depression, skin conditions, asthma, heart and circulatory disease, and cancer.

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GlaxoSmithKline PLC (GSK LN)

Expecting Upside to Continue into Early-2026 for Global Equities $ACWI

Expecting Upside to Continue into Early-2026 for Global Equities $ACWI. Discussed Thursday to expect support at the 50-day MA. Actionable Themes:...

Vermilion Research

Stick With Global Technology; Pullback Phase Finally Here on $ACWI; Supports to Buy

Stick With Global Technology; Pullback Phase Finally Here on $ACWI $SPX Likely in 3%-7% Range; Supports to watch on $ACWI include $136, $134...

Vermilion Research

Jiangsu Hengrui (1276 HK): Deals Galore; This Time for Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy with Braveheart

Jiangsu Hengrui grants Braveheart Bio exclusive wordlwide rights for HRS-1893, an investigational drug for hypertrophic cardiomyopathy for an...

Tina Banerjee

BeiGene (6160 HK): Brukinsa Extend Lead in US, Robust Pipeline, Positive Guidance Revision

Beigene announced positive topline results from Phase 1/2 study of sonrotoclax, a next-generation and potentially best-in-class investigational...

Tina Banerjee

Jiangsu Hengrui (1276 HK): Robust 1H25; Innovative Drugs Key; Out-Licensing Affirm Pipeline Strength

Jiangsu Hengrui sees16% revenue growth in 1H25. Innovative drug sales were up 15% YoY and contributed 48% of revenue. Aided by 43% jump in...

Tina Banerjee

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Expecting Upside to Continue into Early-2026 for Global Equities $ACWI

Expecting Upside to Continue into Early-2026 for Global Equities $ACWI. Discussed Thursday to expect support at the 50-day MA. Actionable Themes:...

Vermilion Research

Stick With Global Technology; Pullback Phase Finally Here on $ACWI; Supports to Buy

Stick With Global Technology; Pullback Phase Finally Here on $ACWI $SPX Likely in 3%-7% Range; Supports to watch on $ACWI include $136, $134...

Vermilion Research

Jiangsu Hengrui (1276 HK): Deals Galore; This Time for Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy with Braveheart

​Jiangsu Hengrui grants Braveheart Bio exclusive wordlwide rights for HRS-1893, an investigational drug for hypertrophic cardiomyopathy for an...

Tina Banerjee

BeiGene (6160 HK): Brukinsa Extend Lead in US, Robust Pipeline, Positive Guidance Revision

Beigene announced positive topline results from Phase 1/2 study of sonrotoclax, a next-generation and potentially best-in-class investigational...

Tina Banerjee

Jiangsu Hengrui (1276 HK): Robust 1H25; Innovative Drugs Key; Out-Licensing Affirm Pipeline Strength

​Jiangsu Hengrui sees16% revenue growth in 1H25. Innovative drug sales were up 15% YoY and contributed 48% of revenue. Aided by 43% jump in...

Tina Banerjee

Jiangsu Hengrui grants Braveheart Bio exclusive wordlwide rights for HRS-1893, an investigational drug for hypertrophic cardiomyopathy for an...

Jiangsu Hengrui sees16% revenue growth in 1H25. Innovative drug sales were up 15% YoY and contributed 48% of revenue. Aided by 43% jump in...