Silver Point

Thomas J. Monaco

Silver Point is a boutique research firm that focuses on the broader financial services sector, with a particular focus on troubled institutions globally. 

Asia Ex Japan

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

* Despite bottom-line improvement on a go-forward basis, deferred tax asset (DTA) write-downs are likely at major global financial companies  - beckoning for major 2018 EPS revisions.* Domestic institutions such as, Bank of America (BAC.US), Goldman Sachs (GS.US), and Morgan Stanley (MS.US) stand out with large DTAs in the US.  * Of the international companies with US subsidiaries, the Swiss financials would post shocking results, while HSBC Holdings could have a 25% EPS adjustment, by our…

* Despite bottom-line improvement on a go-forward basis, deferred tax asset (DTA) write-downs are likely at major global financial companies  - beckoning for major 2018 EPS revisions.* Domestic institutions such as, Bank of America (BAC.US), Goldman Sachs (GS.US), and Morgan Stanley (MS.US) stand out with large DTAs in the US.  * Of the international companies with US subsidiaries, the Swiss financials would post shocking results, while HSBC Holdings could have a 25% EPS adjustment, by our…

HSBC Holdings Plc – Likely Getting a Big Hickey From President Trump

* Margin finance not only remains a concern for the US share market, but the US housing market as well. * Charles Schwab is the latest example of pushing the envelope too far with their clients.As a follow-on to our note "Shanghai-ed by Western Brokers" dated September 2, 2017 where we called out US brokers/investment banks for aggressively lending on margin to high net worth (HNW)/retail investors, we decided to do a little mystery shopping of our own. This afternoon we visited a retail outlet…

* Margin finance not only remains a concern for the US share market, but the US housing market as well. * Charles Schwab is the latest example of pushing the envelope too far with their clients.As a follow-on to our note "Shanghai-ed by Western Brokers" dated September 2, 2017 where we called out US brokers/investment banks for aggressively lending on margin to high net worth (HNW)/retail investors, we decided to do a little mystery shopping of our own. This afternoon we visited a retail outlet…

Thematic Investing in Tech and Media, CM Research

Cyrus Mewawalla

Thematic Investing in Tech and Media

Thematic TMT investing

CM Research

CM Research is an independent research house based in London, England. We provide global thematic research in the Technology, Media and Telecoms (TMT) sectors. 

Our focus is on disruptive technologies: how will they unfold; which industries will be impacted; and who will be the ultimate winners and losers. 

Our aim is to help investors predict share prices and corporate executives stay one step ahead of the technology trends that are shaping their industry. 

We research technology investment themes in detail and then feed the results into a scorecard system to quantify the impact of several conflicting themes on individual stocks. 

Recent themes covered include internet TV, the Internet of Things, Big Data, Mobile payments, crowdfunding, artificial intelligence, the cloud, software defined networking and Generation Hashtag.

We cover the top 500 global TMT stocks by market capitalisation and several technology start-ups and pre-IPO companies too. 

In 2015, CM Research analysts outperformed the Bloomberg Benchmark Analyst Index - which measures how good analysts are at predicting stock prices - by 7.1%.

<ul><li>In a world where computer code is trusted more than human-run operations – especially amongst tech-savvy, urban Millennials – blockchain is a concept whose time has begun.</li><li>The blockchain protocol will come to be seen as a powerful antidote to the high fees charged by intermediaries such as banks, law firms and other “middlemen”.</li><li>Most blockchain projects are still in development mode.</li><li>But, over the next decade, DLT will hasten disruption in many sectors, including payments, lending, share trading, real estate, healthcare and infrastructure.</li><li>In this report, we look at the likely movers and shakers.</li></ul>

In a world where computer code is trusted more than human-run operations – especially amongst tech-savvy, urban Millennials – blockchain is a concept whose time has begun.The blockchain protocol will come to be seen as a powerful antidote to the high fees charged by intermediaries such as banks, law firms and other “middlemen”.Most blockchain projects are still in development mode.But, over the next decade, DLT will hasten disruption in many sectors, including payments, lending, share trading, real estate, healthcare and infrastructure.In this report, we look at the likely movers and shakers.

India - Politics, Industrials, IT and Large Caps, EMAlpha

Pankaj Sharma

India - Politics, Industrials, IT and Large Caps

<h2>New challenges emerging for Renewable Power in India</h2>Some of the recent developments in this space indicate that the India renewable story is facing some new and unexpected head winds:<ol><li>
Increase in Solar PV prices - The price for Solar Photo Voltaic (PV) modules' which are imported from China has increased approximately 15% in last four months and the projects especially the ones which have quoted very aggressive tariffs may face commercial viability issues as a result. PV modules are primarily…</li></ol>

New challenges emerging for Renewable Power in IndiaSome of the recent developments in this space indicate that the India renewable story is facing some new and unexpected head winds:
Increase in Solar PV prices - The price for Solar Photo Voltaic (PV) modules' which are imported from China has increased approximately 15% in last four months and the projects especially the ones which have quoted very aggressive tariffs may face commercial viability issues as a result. PV modules are primarily…

Not All Is Well with India Renewable Story, Eerie Similarities with Earlier Events in Thermal Power

* China-style margin call could be lurking given the massive amount of leverage Western brokers have been handing their HNW clients;* Technology shares could be the impetus without catalysts beyond the well-priced for iPhone8 replacement cycle; and* Without many engines of growth remaining for the Western brokers beyond “margin finance”, there are very few reasons to own the space.Over a three week period in June 2015, the Chinese A-share market collapsed by about 30% - having soared over 150%…

* China-style margin call could be lurking given the massive amount of leverage Western brokers have been handing their HNW clients;* Technology shares could be the impetus without catalysts beyond the well-priced for iPhone8 replacement cycle; and* Without many engines of growth remaining for the Western brokers beyond “margin finance”, there are very few reasons to own the space.Over a three week period in June 2015, the Chinese A-share market collapsed by about 30% - having soared over 150%…

United States

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc., a bank holding company, is a global investment banking and securities firm specializing in investment banking, trading and principal investments, asset management and securities services.  The Company provides services to corporations, financial institutions, governments, and high-net worth individuals.

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Goldman Sachs Group (GS US)

HSBC Holdings Plc – Likely Getting a Big Hickey From President Trump

* Despite bottom-line improvement on a go-forward basis, deferred tax asset (DTA) write-downs are likely at major global financial companies -...

Thomas J. Monaco

US Brokers - Chuck Bucks Fueling Housing

* Margin finance not only remains a concern for the US share market, but the US housing market as well. * Charles Schwab is the latest example of...

Thomas J. Monaco

Blockchain as an Investment Theme

In a world where computer code is trusted more than human-run operations – especially amongst tech-savvy, urban Millennials – blockchain is a...

CM Research

Not All Is Well with India Renewable Story, Eerie Similarities with Earlier Events in Thermal Power

New challenges emerging for Renewable Power in IndiaSome of the recent developments in this space indicate that the India renewable story is facing...

Pankaj Sharma

Shanghai-Ed by Western Brokers

* China-style margin call could be lurking given the massive amount of leverage Western brokers have been handing their HNW clients;* Technology...

Thomas J. Monaco

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