New Zealand Professional Investment Services Firm, Forsyth Barr

Forsyth Barr

New Zealand Professional Investment Services Firm

We are proud to be a New Zealand owned firm, with 21 offices throughout the country and over 300 employees. We assist personal, institutional and corporate clients providing a full range of investment services.

Forsyth Barr is a foundation New Zealand Exchange firm (NZX) and accredited market participant. We have been confirmed by the Financial Markets Authority as a Qualifying Financial Entity (QFE).

Research is the cornerstone of our advice. We have one of New Zealand's leading teams of analysts. Our global affiliations ensure comprehensive research coverage of all major investment markets.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Bond yields have continued to dictate listed property share performance</li><li>Long bond yields rose +30bp in September, returning to mid-June highs, resulting in a broad based sell-off of the property names</li><li>As a result of some large share price movements the property sector dividend yield spreads to 10 year interest rates expanded slightly</li></ul>

Bond yields have continued to dictate listed property share performanceLong bond yields rose +30bp in September, returning to mid-June highs, resulting in a broad based sell-off of the property namesAs a result of some large share price movements the property sector dividend yield spreads to 10 year interest rates expanded slightly

Real Estate Reflections: Déjà Vu All Over Again

<ul><li>Listed property vehicles (LPVs) who reported in August generally delivered a solid set of results, although interest rates continue to be a key headwind for the sector</li><li>Operational outcomes were more positive with solid like-for-like income growth driven by strong market rent reviews and leasing outcomes</li><li>Long-bond yields moved higher over August and only modest moves in share prices resulted in the sector yield spread contracting to a 14-year low</li></ul>

Listed property vehicles (LPVs) who reported in August generally delivered a solid set of results, although interest rates continue to be a key headwind for the sectorOperational outcomes were more positive with solid like-for-like income growth driven by strong market rent reviews and leasing outcomesLong-bond yields moved higher over August and only modest moves in share prices resulted in the sector yield spread contracting to a 14-year low

Real Estate Reflections: Debt Costs Rising

<ul><li>Leading into reporting season, listed property stocks have rallied but still slightly underperformed the broader market in July</li><li>Generally positive operating trends</li><li>A drop in bond rates has spurred property sector rally </li></ul>

Leading into reporting season, listed property stocks have rallied but still slightly underperformed the broader market in JulyGenerally positive operating trendsA drop in bond rates has spurred property sector rally 

Real Estate Reflections: A Look Under the Hood (10-Aug-2022)

Equity Bottom-Up

Precinct Properties New Zealand / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>After a strong run in 2025, the listed property sector took a step back in November, falling c.-3% in the month partly driven by longer-term interest rates, which retraced some of their recent declines.</li><li>The sector is now trading at a -12% discount to asset values and a gross yield of 7.4%, which is a +300bp spread to long bond rates, broadly in line with history.</li><li>Our sector preference remains Precinct (PCT) for its high-quality portfolio, attractive gross yield and its third-party capital strategy, and Stride (SPG) for its attractive yield and improving management fee income streams.</li></ul>

After a strong run in 2025, the listed property sector took a step back in November, falling c.-3% in the month partly driven by longer-term interest rates, which retraced some of their recent declines.The sector is now trading at a -12% discount to asset values and a gross yield of 7.4%, which is a +300bp spread to long bond rates, broadly in line with history.Our sector preference remains Precinct (PCT) for its high-quality portfolio, attractive gross yield and its third-party capital strategy, and Stride (SPG) for its attractive yield and improving management fee income streams.

Real Estate Reflections Stumbling Towards the Finish Line

Equity Capital Markets

Precinct Properties New Zealand / Equity Capital Markets

<ul><li>The listed property sector was broadly flat in October after delivering a +18% total return year-to-date.</li><li>Precinct (PCT) raised NZ$325m of additional equity in the month, which weighed on sector performance as investors looked for funders, and the risk of further capital raisings weighed on sentiment.</li><li>Our analysis of the sector’s long-term development pipelines and potential funding options highlights a divide between those with access to capital (PCT, Goodman (GMT)) and those without, who may need to recycle non-core assets or tap into additional sources of capital to fund growth aspirations.</li></ul>

The listed property sector was broadly flat in October after delivering a +18% total return year-to-date.Precinct (PCT) raised NZ$325m of additional equity in the month, which weighed on sector performance as investors looked for funders, and the risk of further capital raisings weighed on sentiment.Our analysis of the sector’s long-term development pipelines and potential funding options highlights a divide between those with access to capital (PCT, Goodman (GMT)) and those without, who may need to recycle non-core assets or tap into additional sources of capital to fund growth aspirations.

Real Estate Reflections Taking a Breather

New Zealand

Goodman Property Trust is a property trust that invests in, manages and develope portfolio of diversified property assets in Auckland. The Trust's portfolio comprises of office, industrial and retail properties.

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Goodman Property Trust (GMT NZ)

Real Estate Reflections: Déjà Vu All Over Again

Bond yields have continued to dictate listed property share performance; Long bond yields rose +30bp in September, returning to mid-June highs,...

Forsyth Barr

Real Estate Reflections: Debt Costs Rising

Listed property vehicles (LPVs) who reported in August generally delivered a solid set of results, although interest rates continue to be a key...

Forsyth Barr

Real Estate Reflections: A Look Under the Hood (10-Aug-2022)

Leading into reporting season, listed property stocks have rallied but still slightly underperformed the broader market in July

Forsyth Barr

Real Estate Reflections Stumbling Towards the Finish Line

The sector is now trading at a -12% discount to asset values and a gross yield of 7.4%, which is a +300bp spread to long bond rates, broadly in...

Forsyth Barr

Real Estate Reflections Taking a Breather

Precinct (PCT) raised NZ$325m of additional equity in the month, which weighed on sector performance as investors looked for funders, and the risk...

Forsyth Barr

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