ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grab-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26950:1" rel="noopener">Grab</a>'s1Q2023 made for positive reading with rapid revenue growth and a quickening of progress towards profitability but the focus perplexingly seemed to be drawn to the ethereal measure of GMV. </li>
<li>The delivery segment saw the most significant GMV slowdown, impacted by a high base and seasonality but saw rapid revenue growth and record margins. Mobility remained the cash cow.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grab-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26950:1" rel="noopener">Grab</a>'s profitability improved considerably in 1Q2023 across all segments, with management upgrading the outlook for FY2023 for adjusted EBITDA and maintaining its breakeven target for 4Q2023, which now looks conservative.</li>
</ul>



Grab's1Q2023 made for positive reading with rapid revenue growth and a quickening of progress towards profitability but the focus perplexingly seemed to be drawn to the ethereal measure of GMV. 
The delivery segment saw the most significant GMV slowdown, impacted by a high base and seasonality but saw rapid revenue growth and record margins. Mobility remained the cash cow.

Grab's profitability improved considerably in 1Q2023 across all segments, with management upgrading the outlook for FY2023 for adjusted EBITDA and maintaining its breakeven target for 4Q2023, which now looks conservative.


Grab (GRAB US) - Living in an Ethereal World

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:446:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)</a>'s spin-off's continue to draw interest.</li>
<li>The REIT were out in full force this week for placements as interest rates globally appear to be approaching their peak.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
On the IPO front, JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US) and Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)'s spin-off's continue to draw interest.
The REIT were out in full force this week for placements as interest rates globally appear to be approaching their peak.


ECM Weekly (21st May 2023) - Alibaba, Cainiao, Baba Cloud, Nexus, DXN, Growatt, Rakuten, JD Ind

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), RHB Invest

RHB Invest

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

RHB Investment Bank is one of the leading capital market players in Malaysia. Supported by an award-winning research team of experienced product specialists, RHB Group Investment Banking offers a full range of investment banking products and services covering primary markets, such as advisory (corporate & debt restructuring, mergers and acquisitions, takeovers), fundraising via both equity and debt instruments, and secondary markets including securities trading for both institutional and retail clients. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>We lower 2023F-2025F earnings forecast for ComfortDelGro by 10–12%.</li><li>We expect ComfortDelGro's earnings to gradually improve in 2H23 amidst reductions in taxi rental rebates and benefits from the annual indexation of overseas bus contracts.</li><li>Singapore should continue to see improvement in ridership for rail, reduction in Singapore taxi rental discount from 15% to 10% starting 1 Apr 2023, and the scope to increase commission rates for taxi bookings (ComfortDelGro charges 5% vs 20% for Grab &amp; Gojek), and eventual reduction of incentives offered to taxi drivers in China during 1Q23.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

We lower 2023F-2025F earnings forecast for ComfortDelGro by 10–12%.We expect ComfortDelGro's earnings to gradually improve in 2H23 amidst reductions in taxi rental rebates and benefits from the annual indexation of overseas bus contracts.Singapore should continue to see improvement in ridership for rail, reduction in Singapore taxi rental discount from 15% to 10% starting 1 Apr 2023, and the scope to increase commission rates for taxi bookings (ComfortDelGro charges 5% vs 20% for Grab &amp; Gojek), and eventual reduction of incentives offered to taxi drivers in China during 1Q23.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ComfortDelGro - Expecting Some Improvement In 2H23; Keep BUY

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grab-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26950:1" rel="noopener">Grab Holdings (GRAB US)</a> ’s share price dropped by about 15% despite reported revenue and adjusted EBITDA losses beating consensus estimates.</li>
<li>Deliveries’ growth has started falling as more people preferring to dine-out. Grab’s incentive optimisation also has contributed to the fall in growth rates.</li>
<li>Grab’s aggressive ambitions to turn around profitability is a significant downside risk as it will impact growth going forward and force the company to invest back on growth.</li>
</ul>



Grab Holdings (GRAB US) ’s share price dropped by about 15% despite reported revenue and adjusted EBITDA losses beating consensus estimates.
Deliveries’ growth has started falling as more people preferring to dine-out. Grab’s incentive optimisation also has contributed to the fall in growth rates.
Grab’s aggressive ambitions to turn around profitability is a significant downside risk as it will impact growth going forward and force the company to invest back on growth.


Grab: Strong Earnings Beat Fails to Impress Market as Growth Rates Decelerating

Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We have a whopper! For more than a year, we have been noting how IBC deals have been getting smaller.</li><li>While there have been four $1 billion-plus deals announced so far in 2023, in terms of size, we have not seen anything like the $27 billion pre-money value for the proposed SPAC IBC merger that was announced at the end of last week by SPAC Black Spade Acquisition Co. (BSAQ) and privately held VinFast Auto, a Vietnamese manufacturer of EVs, since the peak of the SPAC euphoria in 2021.</li><li>In fact, this transaction happens to be the third-largest SPAC merger deal in history behind MSP Recovery (LIFW) in July 2021 (TEV $32.6 billion) and Grab (GRAB) in April 2021 (TEV $31.3 billion).</li></ul>

We have a whopper! For more than a year, we have been noting how IBC deals have been getting smaller.While there have been four $1 billion-plus deals announced so far in 2023, in terms of size, we have not seen anything like the $27 billion pre-money value for the proposed SPAC IBC merger that was announced at the end of last week by SPAC Black Spade Acquisition Co. (BSAQ) and privately held VinFast Auto, a Vietnamese manufacturer of EVs, since the peak of the SPAC euphoria in 2021.In fact, this transaction happens to be the third-largest SPAC merger deal in history behind MSP Recovery (LIFW) in July 2021 (TEV $32.6 billion) and Grab (GRAB) in April 2021 (TEV $31.3 billion).

Singapore

Grab Holdings Limited operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, develops delivery management, mobility, financial services, and enterprise software solutions. Grab Holdings serves customers worldwide.

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Grab Holdings (GRAB US)

Grab (GRAB US) - Living in an Ethereal World

Grab's1Q2023 made for positive reading with rapid revenue growth and a quickening of progress towards profitability. Too much time dwelling on...

Angus Mackintosh

ECM Weekly (21st May 2023) - Alibaba, Cainiao, Baba Cloud, Nexus, DXN, Growatt, Rakuten, JD Ind

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

ComfortDelGro - Expecting Some Improvement In 2H23; Keep BUY

We expect ComfortDelGro's earnings to gradually improve in 2H23 amidst reductions in taxi rental rebates and benefits from the annual indexation of...

RHB Invest

Grab: Strong Earnings Beat Fails to Impress Market as Growth Rates Decelerating

Grab’s share price dropped by about 15% despite earnings beating consensus. Growth rates have started falling and aggressive profit targets have...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

SPAC Talk : The Whopper SPAC Merger

We have a whopper! For more than a year, we have been noting how IBC deals have been getting smaller. While there have been four $1 billion-plus...

Water Tower Research

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