ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

PT Surya Citra Media Tbk / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The news that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/surya-citra-media-pt-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14739:1" rel="noopener">PT Surya Citra Media's</a> digital platform Vidio has raised an additional US$45m from Sinarmas, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grab-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26950:1" rel="noopener">Grab (GRAB US)</a>, and Bali United should be seen as a positive.</li>
<li>Vidio is Indonesia's leading OTT platform with 61m subs and 2.5m paying subs forecast to grow to 4m by year-end with Champions League, World Cup, and Original Drama driving demand.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/surya-citra-media-pt-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14739:1" rel="noopener">PT Surya Citra Media</a> looks cheap relative to its holding in Vidio, which is worth 71% of its market cap, and trading at a discount to 5-year average forward PER.</li>
</ul>


The news that PT Surya Citra Media's digital platform Vidio has raised an additional US$45m from Sinarmas, Grab (GRAB US), and Bali United should be seen as a positive.
Vidio is Indonesia's leading OTT platform with 61m subs and 2.5m paying subs forecast to grow to 4m by year-end with Champions League, World Cup, and Original Drama driving demand.

PT Surya Citra Media looks cheap relative to its holding in Vidio, which is worth 71% of its market cap, and trading at a discount to 5-year average forward PER.


PT Surya Citra Media Tbk (SCMA IJ) - A Vote of Confidence in Vidio

Telco/Internet specialist

Kirk Boodry

Redex Research

<ul>
<li>Tech weakness has not only eroded the underlying asset value but raised concerns on leverage and the potential for an ARM IPO. The discount expanded by 4pp in one week</li>
<li>The timing and pricing of an ARM IPO looks more precarious as the semiconductor sector fell 13% over two days and is now down 34% from all-time highs</li>
<li>Currency tailwinds have provided some offset with an unprecedented dollar move mimiting downside in Softbank shares to 8% YTD versus a 24% decline for the $-based ADR</li>
</ul>


Tech weakness has not only eroded the underlying asset value but raised concerns on leverage and the potential for an ARM IPO. The discount expanded by 4pp in one week
The timing and pricing of an ARM IPO looks more precarious as the semiconductor sector fell 13% over two days and is now down 34% from all-time highs
Currency tailwinds have provided some offset with an unprecedented dollar move mimiting downside in Softbank shares to 8% YTD versus a 24% decline for the $-based ADR


Softbank Group - Semiconductor Weakness Expands Discount

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goto-gojek-tokopedia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo (GOTO IJ)</a>  announced 1Q2022 and FY2021 results on 30th May. Gross income grew by 43.5% YoY in 2021 with a growth of 53.5% YoY in 1Q2022.</li>
<li>However, gross margins show no improvement and operating losses have also worsened with the merger of Tokopedia in May 2021.</li>
<li>GoTo plans to turnaround its profitability through synergies, improved monetisation and cost efficiencies. However, we don’t expect profits in the near future.</li>
</ul>



GoTo (GOTO IJ)  announced 1Q2022 and FY2021 results on 30th May. Gross income grew by 43.5% YoY in 2021 with a growth of 53.5% YoY in 1Q2022.
However, gross margins show no improvement and operating losses have also worsened with the merger of Tokopedia in May 2021.
GoTo plans to turnaround its profitability through synergies, improved monetisation and cost efficiencies. However, we don’t expect profits in the near future.


GoTo: Growth in Top Line Doesn't Mean Improvement in Profitability

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Tsingtao Brewery Co Ltd H / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>IPO volumes remain subdued across the region, although a number of deals are said to be looking to launch soon.</li>
<li>Placements stole the limelight this week with Tsingtao, Woodside and Digital Tel Infra all managing to do well.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
IPO volumes remain subdued across the region, although a number of deals are said to be looking to launch soon.
Placements stole the limelight this week with Tsingtao, Woodside and Digital Tel Infra all managing to do well.


ECM Weekly (5th June 2022) - Tsingtao, Woodside, Digital Tel, CALB, Scivita

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goto-gojek-tokopedia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo</a> announced its much-anticipated FY2021 and 1Q2022 results, which did not disappoint, with improvements in a number of different metrics across its main verticals.  </li>
<li>1Q2022 saw a QoQ increase for on-demand, e-commerce, and fintech versus a seasonally strong 4Q plus the group improved take rates and contribution margin in 1Q2022 versus 4Q2021.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goto-gojek-tokopedia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo</a>'s guidance for 2Q2022 is positive and it should be boosted by higher commission rates plus continuing synergies across the group, helping to improve profitability and growth.</li>
</ul>



GoTo announced its much-anticipated FY2021 and 1Q2022 results, which did not disappoint, with improvements in a number of different metrics across its main verticals.  
1Q2022 saw a QoQ increase for on-demand, e-commerce, and fintech versus a seasonally strong 4Q plus the group improved take rates and contribution margin in 1Q2022 versus 4Q2021.

GoTo's guidance for 2Q2022 is positive and it should be boosted by higher commission rates plus continuing synergies across the group, helping to improve profitability and growth.


GoTo (GOTO IJ) - Ploughing a Path to Profitability

Singapore

Grab Holdings Limited operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, develops delivery management, mobility, financial services, and enterprise software solutions. Grab Holdings serves customers worldwide.

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Grab Holdings (GRAB US)

PT Surya Citra Media Tbk (SCMA IJ) - A Vote of Confidence in Vidio

Surya Citra Media looks cheap relative to its holding in Vidio, which is worth 71% of its market cap, and it's trading at a decent discount to its...

Angus Mackintosh

Softbank Group - Semiconductor Weakness Expands Discount

The discount to fair value has expanded by 4pp in a week as tech weakness not only reduces net asset value but also raises concerns on an IPO of...

Kirk Boodry

GoTo: Growth in Top Line Doesn't Mean Improvement in Profitability

Though GoTo's gross income saw strong growth in 1Q2022, gross margins show no improvement alongside worsening operating losses. Operating costs are...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

ECM Weekly (5th June 2022) - Tsingtao, Woodside, Digital Tel, CALB, Scivita

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

GoTo (GOTO IJ) - Ploughing a Path to Profitability

GoTo's guidance for 2Q2022 is positive and it should be boosted by higher commission rates plus continuing synergies across the group, helping to...

Angus Mackintosh

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