Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Our <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/eqd-the-nifty-potential-upside-from-here" target="_blank" rel="noopener">last insight</a> predicted quite precisely what happened to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a> during the last 3 weeks (our forecast was a 3-5 weeks rally, around +4%/+5% higher).</li>
<li>After 3 weeks up in a row, last week the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY</a> pulled back - <strong>the question obviously now is: would this be a good time to enter/re-enter the trade LONG</strong>?</li>
<li>The answer, as always, lies in our Market Reversal Matrix models, keep reading to find out...</li>
</ul>


Our last insight predicted quite precisely what happened to the NIFTY Index during the last 3 weeks (our forecast was a 3-5 weeks rally, around +4%/+5% higher).
After 3 weeks up in a row, last week the NIFTY pulled back - the question obviously now is: would this be a good time to enter/re-enter the trade LONG?
The answer, as always, lies in our Market Reversal Matrix models, keep reading to find out...


India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>L&amp;T Secures Rs 10,000-15,000 Crore Order in the Middle East</li>
<li>Power Grid Corporation Shares Rise After Winning Key Transmission Projects</li>
<li>NHPC to Raise INR 2,300 Crore for Expansion through Securitization</li>
</ul>


L&amp;T Secures Rs 10,000-15,000 Crore Order in the Middle East
Power Grid Corporation Shares Rise After Winning Key Transmission Projects
NHPC to Raise INR 2,300 Crore for Expansion through Securitization


# 62 India Insight: HDFC Bank Plans INR 60K Loan Sale, L&T Order, NHPC INR 2,300 Crore Expansion

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We visited some paint dealers representing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asian-paints-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6354:1" rel="noopener">Asian Paints (APNT IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/akzo-nobel-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17499:1" rel="noopener">Akzo Nobel India (AKZO IN)</a>  to understand the current competitive intensity in the industry.</li>
<li>While three months is too short of a time frame to observe a significant change in industry structure, current signals seem to favor the incumbent. </li>
<li>Opus may influence dealers and painters, but what if consumers simply prefer APNT?</li>
</ul>


We visited some paint dealers representing Asian Paints (APNT IN) and Akzo Nobel India (AKZO IN)  to understand the current competitive intensity in the industry.
While three months is too short of a time frame to observe a significant change in industry structure, current signals seem to favor the incumbent. 
Opus may influence dealers and painters, but what if consumers simply prefer APNT?


India Channel Insight | Asian Paints (APNT IN) | Mindshare Master

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Event-Driven

Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aditya-birla-fashion-and-retail-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19048:1" rel="noopener">Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd (ABFRL IN)</a> on 1st April announced a vertical demerger and separate listing of its matured and asset-light Madura brand portfolio.</li>
<li>Assessment of demerger: whether it is seriously a value creation opportunity or just a strategic gimmick for merger-demerger in Mega Bull Run.</li>
<li>Valuation of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aditya-birla-fashion-and-retail-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19048:1" rel="noopener">Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd (ABFRL IN)</a> , whether any juice left in the company?</li>
</ul>



Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd (ABFRL IN) on 1st April announced a vertical demerger and separate listing of its matured and asset-light Madura brand portfolio.
Assessment of demerger: whether it is seriously a value creation opportunity or just a strategic gimmick for merger-demerger in Mega Bull Run.
Valuation of Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd (ABFRL IN) , whether any juice left in the company?


ABFRL's Demerger: A Game-Changer or a Gamble?

<ul>
<li>There is a lot of excitement and uncertainty about the paint sector especially Asian Paints' leadership in the broader market and among analysts.</li>
<li>We interact with a couple of paint dealers across Delhi and Dimapur to gauge the sentiment on the ground.</li>
<li>While there is no denying that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grasim-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:290:1" rel="noopener">Grasim Industries (GRASIM IN)</a> poses a credible threat it might be too early to write off the market leader <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asian-paints-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6354:1" rel="noopener">Asian Paints (APNT IN)</a>. </li>
</ul>


There is a lot of excitement and uncertainty about the paint sector especially Asian Paints' leadership in the broader market and among analysts.
We interact with a couple of paint dealers across Delhi and Dimapur to gauge the sentiment on the ground.
While there is no denying that Grasim Industries (GRASIM IN) poses a credible threat it might be too early to write off the market leader Asian Paints (APNT IN). 


India

Grasim Industries Limited is a diversified operating company and part of the Aditya Birla group. The group manufactures a wide range of products, including Viscose Staple Fiber(VSF), cement, chemicals and textiles.

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Grasim Industries (GRASIM IN)

EQD | Is the NIFTY A BUY Here?

The NIFTY Index closed the week down, now the question is: IS THIS A GOOD TIME TO (RE)ENTER LONG? As always, the Market Reversal Matrix models...

Nico Rosti

# 62 India Insight: HDFC Bank Plans INR 60K Loan Sale, L&T Order, NHPC INR 2,300 Crore Expansion

Indian infrastructure companies secure major contracts and funding for expansion in the Middle East and domestically, driving stock prices up.

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Channel Insight | Asian Paints (APNT IN) | Mindshare Master

Exploring competitive intensity in the paint industry, current signals favor incumbent Asian Paints over Akzo Nobel India despite Opus influence...

Pranav Bhavsar

ABFRL's Demerger: A Game-Changer or a Gamble?

Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd announces vertical demerger of Madura brand portfolio, sparking debate on value creation vs strategic gimmick...

Nimish Maheshwari

Asian Paints (APNT IN) | Hold Your Guns

We interact with a couple of paint dealers across Delhi, Dehradun, and Dimapur to gauge the sentiment on the ground in terms of Grasim's Paint Foray.

Pranav Bhavsar

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

EQD | Is the NIFTY A BUY Here?

​The NIFTY Index closed the week down, now the question is: IS THIS A GOOD TIME TO (RE)ENTER LONG? As always, the Market Reversal Matrix models...

Nico Rosti

# 62 India Insight: HDFC Bank Plans INR 60K Loan Sale, L&T Order, NHPC INR 2,300 Crore Expansion

​Indian infrastructure companies secure major contracts and funding for expansion in the Middle East and domestically, driving stock prices up.

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Channel Insight | Asian Paints (APNT IN) | Mindshare Master

​Exploring competitive intensity in the paint industry, current signals favor incumbent Asian Paints over Akzo Nobel India despite Opus influence...

Pranav Bhavsar

ABFRL's Demerger: A Game-Changer or a Gamble?

​Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd announces vertical demerger of Madura brand portfolio, sparking debate on value creation vs strategic gimmick...

Nimish Maheshwari

Asian Paints (APNT IN) | Hold Your Guns

We interact with a couple of paint dealers across Delhi, Dehradun, and Dimapur to gauge the sentiment on the ground in terms of Grasim's Paint Foray.

Pranav Bhavsar

The NIFTY Index closed the week down, now the question is: IS THIS A GOOD TIME TO (RE)ENTER LONG? As always, the Market Reversal Matrix models...

Indian infrastructure companies secure major contracts and funding for expansion in the Middle East and domestically, driving stock prices up.

Exploring competitive intensity in the paint industry, current signals favor incumbent Asian Paints over Akzo Nobel India despite Opus influence...

Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd announces vertical demerger of Madura brand portfolio, sparking debate on value creation vs strategic gimmick...