Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/great-eastern-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13993:1" rel="noopener">Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP)</a> has consistently traded through <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oversea-chinese-banking-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:114:1" rel="noopener">OCBC (OCBC SP)</a>'s Offer terms from the onset. </li>
<li>OCBC did not declare its S$25.60 cash Offer final. And someone appears to be accumulating a stake to block an Exit/Delisting Offer, presumably towards negotiating a bump in terms.</li>
<li>But what happens if GE's free float falls &lt;10% at the close of the Offer and GE is suspended? And OCBC has no intention of restoring the float?</li>
</ul>



Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP) has consistently traded through OCBC (OCBC SP)'s Offer terms from the onset. 
OCBC did not declare its S$25.60 cash Offer final. And someone appears to be accumulating a stake to block an Exit/Delisting Offer, presumably towards negotiating a bump in terms.
But what happens if GE's free float falls &lt;10% at the close of the Offer and GE is suspended? And OCBC has no intention of restoring the float?


ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The past week saw insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goto-gojek-tokopedia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/industri-jamu-dan-farmasi-sido-muncul-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6033:1" rel="noopener">Sido Muncul (SIDO IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/great-eastern-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13993:1" rel="noopener">Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-airlines-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:74:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Airlines (SIA SP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lippo-malls-indonesia-retail-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10946:1" rel="noopener">Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust.</a>
</li>
<li>There were also macro insights on Malaysia, the Philippines, and Singapore, and the latest CrossASEAN Ground Zero insight on the digital economy and other ASEAN themes. </li>
<li>The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across Southeast Asia.</li>
</ul>


The past week saw insights on GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ), Sido Muncul (SIDO IJ), Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP), Singapore Airlines (SIA SP), and Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust.

There were also macro insights on Malaysia, the Philippines, and Singapore, and the latest CrossASEAN Ground Zero insight on the digital economy and other ASEAN themes. 
The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across Southeast Asia.


The CrossASEAN Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - GoTo Transformed, Sido Muncul, and Great Eastern

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oversea-chinese-banking-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:114:1" rel="noopener">OCBC (OCBC SP)</a> has made a <a href="https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/Offer%20Announcement.ashx?App=Announcement&amp;FileID=802886" target="_blank" rel="noopener">voluntary unconditional general Offer </a>for the 11.56% in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/great-eastern-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13993:1" rel="noopener">Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP)</a> not held. </li>
<li>The S$25.60 cash Offer for the life/non-life insurer is a 36.9% premium to last close; and a 30% discount to its <a href="https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/GEH_Annual%20Report%20FY2023.ashx?App=Announcement&amp;FileID=794329" target="_blank" rel="noopener">S$36.59/share embedded value</a> (as at 31st Dec 2023).</li>
<li>The Offer is unconditional in all respects. This will trade tight.  A delisting Offer is next on the cards.</li>
</ul>



OCBC (OCBC SP) has made a voluntary unconditional general Offer for the 11.56% in Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP) not held. 
The S$25.60 cash Offer for the life/non-life insurer is a 36.9% premium to last close; and a 30% discount to its S$36.59/share embedded value (as at 31st Dec 2023).
The Offer is unconditional in all respects. This will trade tight.  A delisting Offer is next on the cards.


Great Eastern (GE SP): OCBC's S$25.60 Unconditional Offer

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Greatview Aseptic Packaging / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yichang-hec-changjiang-pharmaceutical" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21040:1" rel="noopener">Yichang HEC Changjiang Pharma (1558 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alps-logistics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3935:1" rel="noopener">Alps Logistics (9055 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hollysys-automation-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26078:1" rel="noopener">Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ansarada-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30718:1" rel="noopener">Ansarada Group Ltd (AND AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/southern-cross-media-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10374:1" rel="noopener">Southern Cross Media (SXL AU)</a>. </li>
<li>Lowest spreads: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chilled-frozen-logistics-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40987:1" rel="noopener">Chilled &amp; Frozen Logistics Holdings (9099 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mma-offshore-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:594:1" rel="noopener">Mma Offshore (MRM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/great-eastern-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13993:1" rel="noopener">Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pact-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:692:1" rel="noopener">Pact Group Holdings (PGH AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alumina-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:939:1" rel="noopener">Alumina Ltd (AWC AU)</a>. </li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads: Yichang HEC Changjiang Pharma (1558 HK), Alps Logistics (9055 JP), Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US), Ansarada Group Ltd (AND AU), Southern Cross Media (SXL AU). 
Lowest spreads: Chilled &amp; Frozen Logistics Holdings (9099 JP), Mma Offshore (MRM AU), Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP), Pact Group Holdings (PGH AU), Alumina Ltd (AWC AU). 


Merger Arb Mondays (13 May) - GA Pack, HEC Pharma, L'Occitane, Alps Logistics, Great Eastern

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oversea-chinese-banking-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:114:1" rel="noopener">OCBC (OCBC SP)</a> has announced a voluntary unconditional general offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/great-eastern-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13993:1" rel="noopener">Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP)</a> at S$25.60 per share, a 36.90% premium to the undisturbed price.</li>
<li>OCBC aims to privatise Great Eastern by delisting resolutions or exercising compulsory acquisition rights. The offer has not been declared final.</li>
<li>While the offer is reasonable, it is not a knockout bid which would comfortably allow OCBC to privatise through either option. A bump is highly likely.   </li>
</ul>



OCBC (OCBC SP) has announced a voluntary unconditional general offer for Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP) at S$25.60 per share, a 36.90% premium to the undisturbed price.
OCBC aims to privatise Great Eastern by delisting resolutions or exercising compulsory acquisition rights. The offer has not been declared final.
While the offer is reasonable, it is not a knockout bid which would comfortably allow OCBC to privatise through either option. A bump is highly likely.   


Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP): OCBC’s Offer Needs a Bump to Achieve Privatisation Ambitions

Singapore

Great Eastern Holdings Limited operates in the life insurance business. The Company provides fund management services including retirement plans and endowments as well as life and health insurance, personal accident insurance, and general insurance

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Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP)

Great Eastern (GE SP): Getting Technical

Someone is clearly accumulating. Terms may get bumped. Who will tender if trading thru terms? IF you think this gets bumped. enter around here....

David Blennerhassett

The CrossASEAN Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - GoTo Transformed, Sido Muncul, and Great Eastern

The past week saw insights on GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ), Sido Muncul (SIDO IJ), Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP), Singapore Airlines (SIA SP),...

Angus Mackintosh

Great Eastern (GE SP): OCBC's S$25.60 Unconditional Offer

With Great Eastern trading through terms, potentially as someone seeks to block a delisting - 25% of the float is <3% stake - and negotiate a bump...

David Blennerhassett

Merger Arb Mondays (13 May) - GA Pack, HEC Pharma, L'Occitane, Alps Logistics, Great Eastern

This week, the highest gross spreads are HEC Pharma (58.1%), Alps Logistics (14.3%), Hollysys (12.9%), Ansarada (8.7%), Southern Cross (8.7%), QV...

Arun George

Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP): OCBC’s Offer Needs a Bump to Achieve Privatisation Ambitions

While the offer is reasonable, it is not a knockout bid which would comfortably allow OCBC to privatise Great Eastern. Shares are trading slightly...

Arun George

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