External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We summarize the Mar 2024 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.</li><li>Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Feb 2024 retail sales volume for each model, as Mar 2024 retail sales volume data have not been released yet.</li><li>On the surface, the industrywide average discounts remained flat MoM in Mar 2024. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize the Mar 2024 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Feb 2024 retail sales volume for each model, as Mar 2024 retail sales volume data have not been released yet.On the surface, the industrywide average discounts remained flat MoM in Mar 2024. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - New models with lower MSRPs made discounts artificially stable

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Maintain BUY. We are of the view that the Tank brand, pick-up trucks and exports will continue to support Great Wall’s earnings in FY24E.</li><li>Great Wall’s success in the off-road style SUVs has helped its PHEV sales volume and brought higherthan-expected margins, although it is difficult to extend it into BEVs in the short term.</li><li>We project FY24E sales volume to increase 10% YoY to 1.35mn units and net profit to rise 13% YoY to RMB 7.9bn</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain BUY. We are of the view that the Tank brand, pick-up trucks and exports will continue to support Great Wall’s earnings in FY24E.Great Wall’s success in the off-road style SUVs has helped its PHEV sales volume and brought higherthan-expected margins, although it is difficult to extend it into BEVs in the short term.We project FY24E sales volume to increase 10% YoY to 1.35mn units and net profit to rise 13% YoY to RMB 7.9bnContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Great Wall Motor (2333 HK) - PHEVs Key to FY24; Earnings Likely Still Resilient

<ul><li>We summarize the Feb 2024 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.</li><li>Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Jan 2023 retail sales volume for each model, as Feb 2024 retail sales volume data have not been released yet.</li><li>The industrywide average discounts remained largely flat MoM in Feb 2024, partially due to the Chinese New Year (CNY). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize the Feb 2024 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Jan 2023 retail sales volume for each model, as Feb 2024 retail sales volume data have not been released yet.The industrywide average discounts remained largely flat MoM in Feb 2024, partially due to the Chinese New Year (CNY). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - Competition is stiffer than what discounts show

<ul><li>China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume rose 72% YoY and fell 12% MoM to 2.22mn units in Jan 2024, based on insurance data, 2% higher than our prior forecast.</li><li>China’s PV wholesale volume rose 44% YoY and fell 24% MoM to 2.11mn units in Jan 2024, according to CAAM, 10% lower than our forecast, as automakers cut more than 0.4mn units of inventories.</li><li>PV exports rose 48% YoY and fell 12% MoM to 0.37mn units in Jan, also 10% lower than our projection</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume rose 72% YoY and fell 12% MoM to 2.22mn units in Jan 2024, based on insurance data, 2% higher than our prior forecast.China’s PV wholesale volume rose 44% YoY and fell 24% MoM to 2.11mn units in Jan 2024, according to CAAM, 10% lower than our forecast, as automakers cut more than 0.4mn units of inventories.PV exports rose 48% YoY and fell 12% MoM to 0.37mn units in Jan, also 10% lower than our projectionContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - Post CNY Sales Recovery Could Be Mild

<ul><li>11 Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap and Aito reported their Feb 2024 NEV sales volumes on 1 Mar 2024.</li><li>Sales volume of the 11 automakers combined fell 19% YoY (ranging from -45% to +503%) and 39% MoM (ranging from -51% to -19%) in Feb 2024 due to the Chinese New Year holiday.</li><li>Li Auto rose YoY, Xpeng fell the most MoM. Li Auto’s deliveries rose 22% YoY and fell 35% MoM to about 20,000 units in Feb 2024, in line with our prior expectation.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

11 Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap and Aito reported their Feb 2024 NEV sales volumes on 1 Mar 2024.Sales volume of the 11 automakers combined fell 19% YoY (ranging from -45% to +503%) and 39% MoM (ranging from -51% to -19%) in Feb 2024 due to the Chinese New Year holiday.Li Auto rose YoY, Xpeng fell the most MoM. Li Auto’s deliveries rose 22% YoY and fell 35% MoM to about 20,000 units in Feb 2024, in line with our prior expectation.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - Feb NEV Sales Fell; More New Models from Mar

China

Great Wall Motor Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells pick-up trucks and sport-utility vehicles (SUVs) in China under branded names. The Company also researches and manufactures principal automotive parts and components for use in the assembly of pick-up trucks and SUVs. Great Wall Motor conducts business in China, USA, Japan, Canada, Korea, and other regions.

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Great Wall Motor (601633 CH)

Auto - New models with lower MSRPs made discounts artificially stable

Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Feb 2024 retail sales volume for each model

CMB International

Great Wall Motor (2333 HK) - PHEVs Key to FY24; Earnings Likely Still Resilient

Maintain BUY. We are of the view that the Tank brand, pick-up trucks and exports will continue to support Great Wall’s earnings in FY24E.

CMB International

Auto - Competition is stiffer than what discounts show

We summarize the Feb 2024 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report. Note that such discounts for each automaker are...

CMB International

Auto - Post CNY Sales Recovery Could Be Mild

China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume rose 72% YoY and fell 12% MoM to 2.22mn units in Jan 2024, based on insurance data, 2% higher...

CMB International

Auto - Feb NEV Sales Fell; More New Models from Mar

11 Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap and Aito reported their Feb 2024 NEV sales...

CMB International

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