Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Eva Precision Industrial Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>After rallying a fair bit at the beginning of 2023, we have seen sharp pullbacks in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eva-precision-industrial-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17511:1" rel="noopener">Eva Precision Industrial Holdings (838 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-meidong-auto-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10795:1" rel="noopener">China MeiDong Auto (1268 HK)</a> share prices.</li>
<li>We believe the price cuts highlighted by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/victoria-li-37be10a4-61ab-4f2c-8657-201b7837050d" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:780" rel="noopener">Victoria Li</a> in her insight <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/china-auto-ice-price-war-triggered-by-dongfeng-jv-players-under-pressure" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:97517" rel="noopener">China Auto: ICE Price War Triggered by Dongfeng, JV Players Under Pressure</a> are a significant cause. </li>
<li>While we like both stocks and they are cheap, we feel both companies will face short to medium-term pain in their businesses and share prices as the saga unfolds.</li>
</ul>


After rallying a fair bit at the beginning of 2023, we have seen sharp pullbacks in Eva Precision Industrial Holdings (838 HK) and China MeiDong Auto (1268 HK) share prices.
We believe the price cuts highlighted by Victoria Li in her insight China Auto: ICE Price War Triggered by Dongfeng, JV Players Under Pressure are a significant cause. 
While we like both stocks and they are cheap, we feel both companies will face short to medium-term pain in their businesses and share prices as the saga unfolds.


Thoughts On The Recent Pullbacks in Meidong and EVA

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Hs underperformed As on average by 1.88% within the liquid AH pair universe. Defensive Hs outperform As. Others not.</li>
<li>Nine new recos last week. The one labelled saw H underperform A by 2%. Ouch. 15+ new trades this week.</li>
<li>The data tables below update on a daily basis in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Southbound Flow Monitor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/ah-shares-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Pairs Monitor</a> are both there - free - for all SK readers.</li>
</ul>


Hs underperformed As on average by 1.88% within the liquid AH pair universe. Defensive Hs outperform As. Others not.
Nine new recos last week. The one labelled saw H underperform A by 2%. Ouch. 15+ new trades this week.
The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The Southbound Flow Monitor and AH Pairs Monitor are both there - free - for all SK readers.


A/H Premium Tracker (Week to 21 Nov 2025):  Hs Sharply Underperform As. Year-End Unwinding?

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
Bearish fundamental views are strengthening: Recent Smartkarma Insights argue <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> is overvalued, with slowing sales growth and valuation multiples pointing to limited upside.</li>
<li>
Call overwriting offers efficient yield: Implied volatility in the mid-30s enables attractive income generation.</li>
<li>
Strike and expiry selection matter: Short-dated December options provide the best liquidity, while higher strikes balance premium income with room for near-term upside.</li>
</ul>



Bearish fundamental views are strengthening: Recent Smartkarma Insights argue BYD (1211 HK) is overvalued, with slowing sales growth and valuation multiples pointing to limited upside.

Call overwriting offers efficient yield: Implied volatility in the mid-30s enables attractive income generation.

Strike and expiry selection matter: Short-dated December options provide the best liquidity, while higher strikes balance premium income with room for near-term upside.


BYD (1211 HK): Leverage Softening Fundamentals with Short Calls

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be 3 constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-china-large-cap-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:766:1" rel="noopener">iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) (FXI US)</a> ETF in December. That could easily increase to 4.</li>
<li>Two of the forecast inclusions will also have inflows from the FGlobal Index at the same time, increasing the impact. The third is a potential <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI INDEX</a> add in December.</li>
<li>The HA premiums for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-technology-catl-co-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45179:1" rel="noopener">CATL (3750 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-hengrui-pharmaceuticals-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44224:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Hengrui (1276 HK)</a> have dropped ahead of lock-up expiry and there could be premium expansion closer to index/ETF inclusion.</li>
</ul>


There could be 3 constituent changes for the iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) (FXI US) ETF in December. That could easily increase to 4.
Two of the forecast inclusions will also have inflows from the FGlobal Index at the same time, increasing the impact. The third is a potential HSCEI INDEX add in December.
The HA premiums for CATL (3750 HK) and Jiangsu Hengrui (1276 HK) have dropped ahead of lock-up expiry and there could be premium expansion closer to index/ETF inclusion.


FXI Rebalance Preview: New Listings, Potential Inclusions, H/A Premiums

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>China has announced that it will significantly boost the share of domestic consumption in its next five years, while maintaining tech and manufacturing as top priorities.</li>
<li>The nation's banks will be instrumental in providing consumption financing to spur a virtual growth driver for the economy.  Easing monetary policies will be in addition to the trade-in programs.</li>
<li>Consumer in service sectors like e-commerce, travel &amp; tourism, healthcare, elderly care and AI will benefit from increasing consumption.  Local brands stand to gain market share against foreign competitors.</li>
</ul>


China has announced that it will significantly boost the share of domestic consumption in its next five years, while maintaining tech and manufacturing as top priorities.
The nation's banks will be instrumental in providing consumption financing to spur a virtual growth driver for the economy.  Easing monetary policies will be in addition to the trade-in programs.
Consumer in service sectors like e-commerce, travel &amp; tourism, healthcare, elderly care and AI will benefit from increasing consumption.  Local brands stand to gain market share against foreign competitors.


CHINA HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION: Unlocking Growth Potential in Five-Year Plan

China

Great Wall Motor Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells pick-up trucks and sport-utility vehicles (SUVs) in China under branded names. The Company also researches and manufactures principal automotive parts and components for use in the assembly of pick-up trucks and SUVs. Great Wall Motor conducts business in China, USA, Japan, Canada, Korea, and other regions.

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Great Wall Motor (601633 CH)

Thoughts On The Recent Pullbacks in Meidong and EVA

Price cuts in the China auto sector are forcing downgrades and share prices to retrace. We understand there will be short/medium-term pain but EVA...

Sameer Taneja

A/H Premium Tracker (Week to 21 Nov 2025): Hs Sharply Underperform As. Year-End Unwinding?

Hs underperformed As in the pairs reasonably sharply. Defensive stocks saw Hs outperform somewhat. Looks like the tide is turning here. Lots of new...

Travis Lundy

BYD (1211 HK): Leverage Softening Fundamentals with Short Calls

Amid bearish views, a targeted call-overwrite strategy delivers efficient yield through well-chosen strikes and expiries.

Gaudenz Schneider

FXI Rebalance Preview: New Listings, Potential Inclusions, H/A Premiums

There could be 3/4 changes for the FXI in Dec. 2/3 adds will also have flows from global index trackers. H/A premiums have been shrinking ahead of...

Brian Freitas

CHINA HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION: Unlocking Growth Potential in Five-Year Plan

China has announced that it will significantly boost the share of domestic consumption in its next five years, while maintaining tech and...

David Mudd

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