CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

We pick stocks. We construct portfolios. All our effort is focused on how to better pick stocks and construct portfolios. We serve fund management companies, family offices, and high net worth individuals.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We highlight 10 stocks in China that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology</li>
<li>Portfolio changes: Two stocks remain, eight new join the fray</li>
<li>Since inception, it has gained 171% versus the CSI 300 Index’s return of 91%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 10 stocks in China that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology
Portfolio changes: Two stocks remain, eight new join the fray
Since inception, it has gained 171% versus the CSI 300 Index’s return of 91%


HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>AUX mainly relies on low-price strategy to compete in the industry and has maintained robust growth in revenue/net profit.However, there's already a significant gap in scale compared with leading peers</li>
<li>Due to higher growth, AUX’s valuation could be higher than that of Midea and Gree. However, due to risks such as high debt and weak R&amp;D, valuation premium is limited.</li>
<li>A high valuation (e.g. P/E &gt;15x) can be justified only if the transition to a technology-driven value model can be completed before the cash flow of low-price model dries up.</li>
</ul>


AUX mainly relies on low-price strategy to compete in the industry and has maintained robust growth in revenue/net profit.However, there's already a significant gap in scale compared with leading peers
Due to higher growth, AUX’s valuation could be higher than that of Midea and Gree. However, due to risks such as high debt and weak R&amp;D, valuation premium is limited.
A high valuation (e.g. P/E &gt;15x) can be justified only if the transition to a technology-driven value model can be completed before the cash flow of low-price model dries up.


Pre-IPO Aux Electric Co (PHIP Updates) - Concerns About Business Model and Valuation Outlook

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aux-electric-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45549:1" rel="noopener">Aux Electric (2580 HK)</a> has announced terms for its HKEx IPO and plans to issue 207m shares at HK$16.00-17.42 per share and will raise around US$460m.</li>
<li>The company’s low-price strategy has helped expand its top line and market share in a short span of time; however, margins lag behind large air conditioner peers.</li>
<li>We think AUX should be compared against Hisense due to their higher dependence on ODM sales and believe AUX’s IPO is valued attractively compared to Hisense.</li>
</ul>



Aux Electric (2580 HK) has announced terms for its HKEx IPO and plans to issue 207m shares at HK$16.00-17.42 per share and will raise around US$460m.
The company’s low-price strategy has helped expand its top line and market share in a short span of time; however, margins lag behind large air conditioner peers.
We think AUX should be compared against Hisense due to their higher dependence on ODM sales and believe AUX’s IPO is valued attractively compared to Hisense.


AUX Electric IPO: Forecasts and Valuation

<ul>
<li>AUX Electric is one of the top 5 air conditioner providers globally whose low-price strategy has helped expand its top line and market share in a short span of time.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aux-electric-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45549:1" rel="noopener">Aux Electric (2580 HK)</a> has filed for an IPO on HKEx and plans to raise proceeds of around US$460m through the issuance of 207m shares.</li>
<li>AUX’s low-price strategy and higher share of ODM brands have led to margins that are lower than domestic AC peers <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gree-electric-appliances-inc-of-zhuhai" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7622:1" rel="noopener">Gree Electric Appliances (000651 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/midea-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43993:1" rel="noopener">Midea Group (300 HK)</a> .</li>
</ul>


AUX Electric is one of the top 5 air conditioner providers globally whose low-price strategy has helped expand its top line and market share in a short span of time.

Aux Electric (2580 HK) has filed for an IPO on HKEx and plans to raise proceeds of around US$460m through the issuance of 207m shares.
AUX’s low-price strategy and higher share of ODM brands have led to margins that are lower than domestic AC peers Gree Electric Appliances (000651 CH) and Midea Group (300 HK) .


AUX Electric IPO: Low-Price AC Strategy Drives Top Line Growth; Limited Upside to Margins

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aux-electric-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45549:1" rel="noopener">Aux Electric (2580 HK)</a> is the fifth-largest air conditioner provider globally as measured by volume. It has launched an HKEx IPO to raise up to US$462 million.</li>
<li>I discussed the investment case in <strong><em><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/aux-electric-ipo-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:198161" rel="noopener">Aux Electric IPO: The Investment Case</a></em></strong>. </li>
<li>In this note, I present my forecasts and valuation. My analysis suggests that the IPO price is attractive.</li>
</ul>



Aux Electric (2580 HK) is the fifth-largest air conditioner provider globally as measured by volume. It has launched an HKEx IPO to raise up to US$462 million.
I discussed the investment case in Aux Electric IPO: The Investment Case. 
In this note, I present my forecasts and valuation. My analysis suggests that the IPO price is attractive.


Aux Electric IPO (2580 HK): Valuation Insights

China

Gree Electric Appliances, Inc. of Zhuhai manufactures and sells a series of air conditioners.  The different series of air conditioners include window type, split type, floor type, mobile type, mobile split type and ceiling type.  The Company also produces air purifier.

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Gree Electric Appliances (000651 CH)

The Stocks to Own in China – Vol. 37

We highlight 10 stocks in China that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology. Portfolio changes: Two stocks remain, eight new join the...

A. Stotz Investment Research

Pre-IPO Aux Electric Co (PHIP Updates) - Concerns About Business Model and Valuation Outlook

AUX's IPO debut revealed market concerns about its fundamentals, such as above 80% asset liability ratio, weak R&D capabilities/shortcomings in...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

AUX Electric IPO: Forecasts and Valuation

AUX Electric has announced terms for its HKEx IPO and plans to issue 207m shares at HK$16.00-17.42 per share and will raise around US$460m. In this...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

AUX Electric IPO: Low-Price AC Strategy Drives Top Line Growth; Limited Upside to Margins

AUX Electric, a global AC provider has filed for an IPO on HKEx to raise $460m. AUX's low-price strategy has helped drive top line growth however...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Aux Electric IPO (2580 HK): Valuation Insights

Aux has launched an HKEx IPO to raise up to US$462 million. In this note, I present my forecasts and valuation. My analysis suggests that the IPO...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

The Stocks to Own in China – Vol. 37

We highlight 10 stocks in China that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology. Portfolio changes: Two stocks remain, eight new join the...

A. Stotz Investment Research

Pre-IPO Aux Electric Co (PHIP Updates) - Concerns About Business Model and Valuation Outlook

AUX's IPO debut revealed market concerns about its fundamentals, such as above 80% asset liability ratio, weak R&D capabilities/shortcomings in...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

AUX Electric IPO: Forecasts and Valuation

AUX Electric has announced terms for its HKEx IPO and plans to issue 207m shares at HK$16.00-17.42 per share and will raise around US$460m. In this...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

AUX Electric IPO: Low-Price AC Strategy Drives Top Line Growth; Limited Upside to Margins

​AUX Electric, a global AC provider has filed for an IPO on HKEx to raise $460m. AUX's low-price strategy has helped drive top line growth however...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Aux Electric IPO (2580 HK): Valuation Insights

Aux has launched an HKEx IPO to raise up to US$462 million. In this note, I present my forecasts and valuation. My analysis suggests that the IPO...

Arun George

AUX Electric, a global AC provider has filed for an IPO on HKEx to raise $460m. AUX's low-price strategy has helped drive top line growth however...